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Forums - Sales Discussion - January 2025 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

January 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the four-week period from January 5 to February 1 and will be released on February 21.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

  1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
  2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
  3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for January 2024:

  1. PS5 - 395K
  2. NS - 258K
  3. XSX|S - 241K

Upcoming Circana (NPD) release dates (subject to change as Circana has delayed reports in the past):

  • Jan (Jan 5 - Feb 1) - Feb 21
  • Feb (Feb 2 - Mar 1) - Mar 19
  • Mar (Mar 2 - Apr 5) - Apr 23
  • Apr (Apr 6 - May 3) - May 21

Upcoming U.S. video game market results from Circana:
Coverage Month - Public Release Date

Dec (Dec 1 - Jan 4) - Jan 23
Jan (Jan 5 - Feb 1) - Feb 21
Feb (Feb 2 - Mar 1) - Mar 19
Mar (Mar 2 - Apr 5) - Apr 23
Apr (Apr 6 - May 3) - May 21

Digital Data Sharing Participating Publishers:

[image or embed]

— Mat Piscatella (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) December 20, 2024 at 11:58 AM

Last edited by trunkswd - 5 days ago

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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I have a really hard time with revenue... but..

1. Playstation (both in units and revenue)
2. Switch (both in units and revenue)
3. Xbox (last in both units and revenue)

My estimates:
PS5 ~380k
NS ~210k
XSXs ~ 170k

I just pulled it outta my arse... so its just a rough guess (to get the thread started).

*edit: 
Am I going to low?
"..covers the four-week period from January 5 to February 1"    Maybe not?