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Forums - Sales Discussion - September 2022 NPD Thread + Predictions

It is that time again. September 2022 NPD drops October 21 and covers the period August 27 to October 1.

Be sure to get your predictions in before then. Excuse me while I copy how @Welfare does it over on Install Base. Since NPD leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions. 

Example prediction:

[Revenue]

  1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
  2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
  3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz September 2022 estimates before adjustments:

  1. NS: 418K
  2. PS5 401K
  3. XSX|S: 360K

VGChartz September 2022 estimates after adjustments:

  1. PS5 462K
  2. NS: 385K
  3. XSX|S: 345K

Check out the VGChartz article on September NPD figures below:

PS5 Best-Selling Console in the US in September, PS5 and Xbox Series X|S Stock Improves Again

The PlayStation 5 was the best-selling console in the US in September 2022 in terms of units sold and dollar sales, according to figures from The NPD Group. NPD includes the dates for the five week period of August 27 to October 1.

The Nintendo Switch the second best-selling console in terms of units sold, while the Xbox Series X|S was number two in terms of dollar sales. This means in terms of units sold the Xbox Series X|S came in third and in terms of dollar sales the Switch came in third.

PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S in September 2022 have seen growth by the double-digit percentage. This is the third straight month of such growth. Improving supply of the PlayStation 5 is the main reason for the increase in hardware sales.

Overall spending on video games in September decreased four percent year-over-year from $4.26 billion to $4.07 billion. Spending on video game content dropped seven percent from $3.68 billion to $3.41 billion, while video game hardware sales increased 19 percent percent from $410 million to $490 million.

Year-to-date sales for 2022 are down eight percent from $41.80 billion to $38.40 billion. Spending on video game content in 2022 dropped nine percent from $36.61 billion to $33.49 billion, while video game hardware sales dropped one percent from $3.41 billion to $3.36 billion. 

"U.S. consumer spending on video game content, hardware and accessories reached $4.1 billion during the month of September 2022, a decline of 4% when compared to the same month a year ago," said The NPD Group Executive Director and Video Game Industry Advisor Mat Piscatella.

"Hardware was the best performing segment during September, led by double-digit percentage growth for both PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series consoles. Year-to-date total video game spending across content, hardware and accessories is now 8% lower than 2021, at $38.4 billion."

He added, "Video game content spending fell 7% in the month of September vs YA, to $3.4 billion. Content performance was driven by a double-digit percentage gain in non-mobile video game subscription spending, which was offset by declines across other content segments."

There were six new games in the top eight in September, led by FIFA 23 that debuted in first place.

NBA 2K23 debuted in third place, Splatoon 3 debuted in fourth place, The Last of Us Part I debuted in fifth place, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: The Cowabunga Collection debuted in sixth place, and JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All Star Battle debuted in eighth place.

"Six new video game releases ranked among the top 8 best-selling titles of the month in tracked spending," said Piscatella.

Madden NFL 23 dropped from first to second place in September. The reboot of Saints Row fell from second to seventh place, while Elden Ring dropped five spots to ninth place. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe rounds out the top 10.

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in terms of dollars for September 2022:

Top 10 best-selling Nintendo games for September 2022:

Top 10 best-selling PlayStation games for September 2022:

Top 10 best-selling Xbox games for September 2022:

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in year-to-date 2022:

Archivie (For Oct 2021 to August 2022 links are for the VGC NPD articles)

2022: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August
2021: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugust, September, October, November, December
2020: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2019: JanuaryFebruary, March, April, MayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2018: 
JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2017: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2016: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2015: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2014: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2013: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2012: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2011: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2010: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2009: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2008: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2007: JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

Last edited by trunkswd - on 24 October 2022

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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[Revenue] 455mil

[PS5] 360,000
[XBS] 325,000
[NSW] 370,000



Revenue] 590mil

[PS5] 675,000
[NSW] 325,000
[XBS] 275,000



Switch: overtracked (slightly)
PS5 and Xbox Series: undertracked



CosmicSex said:

Revenue] 590mil

[PS5] 675,000
[NSW] 325,000
[XBS] 275,000

Just so you know, that data we got about PS5 being up that  much YOY in September is import by ship in kg. Many of these consoles weren't even sold in September. The Switch is way lighter and Nintendo is using air freight a lot currently.



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First time trying this...

[PS5] 420.000
[NSW] 340.000
[XSX] 300.000

I'm not very good at predictions, but here we go.



Switch > PS5 > Xbox. Not predicting numbers.

I pay attention to Sony's 1st party software rankings on PS Store monthlies to help me predict NPD rankings, which was partly why I knew PS5 may have outsold Switch in August. Their September rankings didn't look particularly strong (MLB and Horizon didn't even chart). Wouldn't surprise me if PS5 did outsell the Switch again though.



[REV] 451M

1. [PS5] 400K
2. [NSW] 430K
3. [XBS] 300K



So the thread OPs from October of last year up through July of this year are gone for now, huh? That sucks. I hate vandals. At least there were no major leaks posted in those threads' OPs that I can recall, and the ranking data is available elsewhere. Still, it's the principle of thing.

Anyway, if I had to guess it'd be:

[NSW] 420k
[PS5] 400k
[XBS] 350k



Visit http://shadowofthevoid.wordpress.com

In accordance to the VGC forum rules, §8.5, I hereby exercise my right to demand to be left alone regarding the subject of the effects of the pandemic on video game sales (i.e., "COVID bump").

Shadow1980 said:

So the thread OPs from October of last year up through July of this year are gone for now, huh? That sucks. I hate vandals. At least there were no major leaks posted in those threads' OPs that I can recall, and the ranking data is available elsewhere. Still, it's the principle of thing.

Anyway, if I had to guess it'd be:

[NSW] 420k
[PS5] 400k
[XBS] 350k

Sadly, yes. Well until all the deleted posts can be restored. I don't have any updates on that right now. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.