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Forums - Sales Discussion - When are you expecting Switch 2 to come out?

 

When are you expecting Switch 2 to be released

2022 0 0%
 
2023 6 8.57%
 
2024 37 52.86%
 
2025 23 32.86%
 
Later then 2025 4 5.71%
 
Total:70

The Switch is turning six years old next year, which is the normal lifespan of a Nintendo console, but Kimishima and Miyamoto both said that they wanted the Switch to have a longer lifespan then their other consoles back in 2018:

https://nintendosoup.com/nintendo-wants-extend-switchs-lifespan-6-years/

https://www.techtimes.com/articles/220861/20180213/shigeru-miyamoto-says-you-should-look-forward-to-a-longer-nintendo-switch-life-cycle.htm

That and the fact that they are releasing high profile releases like Splatoon 3 and BOTW2 this year, makes me think that Switch 2 won't come out before at least 2024.

What do you guys think?



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Late 2024 or early 2025. There are Mario Kart DLC tracks release into 2024. Mario Kart 9 is likely to be a launch title for the Switch successor. Not to mention current supply issues. If things remain as they are or get worse, Nintendo will be pushing the software side of things for a bit longer to take advantage of that 125-145 million user base.



I expect a short pre-launch period. No more than 6 months from the initial announcement. Unveil event ~2 months before launch, similar to the Switch. The Switch was a great example of a great launch if you take away the overly long “We won’t talk about the Nintendo NX today” nonsense that went on for like three years before.

Nintendo has largely abandoned their old shitty/annoying marketing model where 85% of the focus was on crap that’s 7 months to 4 years away. I can’t wait for them to abandon it completely.

Last edited by Jumpin - on 12 March 2022

I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

2024 would be my guess.

If we look at the Switch, it's based on Nvidia's Maxwell architecture however it came out during Nvidia's Pascal era. Since the new rumours suggest the Switch 2 will be based on Ampere and Lovelace will be out by the end of this year, 2024 makes the most sense. Plus Nintendo gets the benefit of using Samsung's 8nm while Nvidia, AMD, Intel and Apple all move to newer nodes such as TSMC's 6/5/3nm and PS5/SeriesX/S/Steam Deck all will use TSMC's 7nm. Basically should mean Nvidia should have a lot of cheap SoCs for Nintendo as the big companies won't be competing for allocation for these older nodes.



             

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Im unsure, but definitely some time between 2023 and 2123.



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March or Nov 2024.



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

2024-2025 seems the most reasonable period, Nintendo can still maximise the Switch's lifespan.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

If I were to make one definitive guess, I'd probably say sometime in 2024, as things will likely be slowing down for the Switch as far as new major releases and console sales by that point. That said, Nintendo really seems to be leaning into this being a much longer lifespan for a console than what we've seen in the past. A 2024 launch would already make this a longer lifespan than most Nintendo consoles, but I could see them riding the Switch out until 2025 if they have the games planned. I think it's a bad idea to just completely drop support for the console like they've done at times in the past. They need to basically do what they did for the 3DS at the end of its life, but I think it would work out better in the Switch's case than it did there. (given the Switch had already released by that point in the 3DS' case so none of those 3DS games sold well)

Personally I don't think there's any chance it comes later than 2025. Holiday 2025 is really pushing it, anything later than that is too late.



Since we have no idea of any plan from Nintendo beyond the end of 2023 with the MK8 Booster Pack, my gut feeling is they will still push a bit of software on it most evidently during that year.
Actually my prediction concerning Metroid Prime 4 is a dual-launch like they did for BOTW back in 2017. So I'm joining the late 2024-early 2025 camp on this one.



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Mar1217 said:

Since we have no idea of any plan from Nintendo beyond the end of 2023 with the MK8 Booster Pack, my gut feeling is they will still push a bit of software on it most evidently during that year.
Actually my prediction concerning Metroid Prime 4 is a dual-launch like they did for BOTW back in 2017. So I'm joining the late 2024-early 2025 camp on this one.

Metroid isn't really big enough for a console launch. I think it's more likely that they are going to launch Switch 2 with a 3D Mario game.