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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS5 Lifetime Sales Predictions

 

How well do you think PS5 will sell lifetime?

Under 50 million 2 1.38%
 
50-75 million 4 2.76%
 
75-100 million 24 16.55%
 
100-125 million 85 58.62%
 
125-150 million 29 20.00%
 
150+ million 1 0.69%
 
Total:145

It might be early days in the lifespan of the PlayStation 5, especially with how hard it is to find one to purchase. But let's do some early predictions for how well you think Sony's latest console might sell in its lifetime. 

Here are the sales of the other PlayStation consoles:

  • PS1 - 102.49 million
  • PS2 - 157.68 million
  • PS3 - 87.41 million
  • PS4 - 115.44 million and counting. (Likely to end up around 120m lifetime)


VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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Before the PS5 launched I thought it would sell less than the PS4, if not by much, like 105-110 million units, because of healthier competition, but now after it's launch I think it can outsell the PS4.

A huge launch on its own obviously doesn't say everything, the Switch had a way smaller launch for example, but demand being even way higher even though it already had the biggest launch ever I think it will definitely sell over 120 million units. How far it will go beyond that is uncertain. That's why I voted for 100-125 million even though it could sell over 130 million units.



Kakadu18 said:

Before the PS5 launched I thought it would sell less than the PS4, if not by much, like 105-110 million units, because of healthier competition, but now after it's launch I think it can outsell the PS4.

A huge launch on its own obviously doesn't say everything, the Switch had a way smaller launch for example, but demand being even way higher even though it already had the biggest launch ever I think it will definitely sell over 120 million units. How far it will go beyond that is uncertain. That's why I voted for 100-125 million even though it could sell over 130 million units.

That is what I have been thinking. 100 million, while technically not guaranteed, is almost certain to happen. The PS3 is the only Sony console to not reach 100 million lifetime and that was due to Sony messing up the launch of the console with it being priced at $499 and $599, while the Xbox 360 was $299 and $399 with a year headstart. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:

It might be early days in the lifespan of the PlayStation 5, especially with how hard it is to find one to purchase. But let's do some early predictions for how well you think Sony's latest console might sell in its lifetime. 

Here are the sales of the other PlayStation consoles:

  • PS1 - 102.49 million
  • PS2 - 157.68 million
  • PS3 - 87.41 million
  • PS4 - 115.44 million and counting. (Likely to end up around 120m lifetime)

I think it will sell around PS4 numbers.

As for finding one to purchase, it's not difficult if you jump on eBay or Facebook Marketplace and do a search.



Nintendo with the Switch:

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scottslater said:
trunkswd said:

It might be early days in the lifespan of the PlayStation 5, especially with how hard it is to find one to purchase. But let's do some early predictions for how well you think Sony's latest console might sell in its lifetime. 

Here are the sales of the other PlayStation consoles:

  • PS1 - 102.49 million
  • PS2 - 157.68 million
  • PS3 - 87.41 million
  • PS4 - 115.44 million and counting. (Likely to end up around 120m lifetime)

I think it will sell around PS4 numbers.

As for finding one to purchase, it's not difficult if you jump on eBay or Facebook Marketplace and do a search.

I was thinking more of buying them at MSRP and not at inflated prices. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:
scottslater said:

I think it will sell around PS4 numbers.

As for finding one to purchase, it's not difficult if you jump on eBay or Facebook Marketplace and do a search.

I was thinking more of buying them at MSRP and not at inflated prices. 

Yeah, I think retailers are failing badly right now at this. I wonder if there is a real possibility that the scalping combined with parts shortages could hurt PS5 lifetime sales.

Makes one wonder if everyone that could afford one was able to buy one right now what PS5, Switch, PC and Xbox sales numbers would be right now.

Last edited by scottslater - on 05 May 2021

Nintendo with the Switch:

scottslater said:
trunkswd said:

I was thinking more of buying them at MSRP and not at inflated prices. 

Yeah, I think retailers are failing badly right now at this. I wonder if there is a real possibility that the scalping plus parts shortages could hurt PS5 lifetime sales.

There is only so much retailers can do to stop scalping. I wouldn't be surprised if there are people who go and buy one PS5 and turn around to sell it on eBay and other places. Retailers can stop scalpers from purchasing more than one PS5 at a time, but that is really it. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:
scottslater said:

Yeah, I think retailers are failing badly right now at this. I wonder if there is a real possibility that the scalping plus parts shortages could hurt PS5 lifetime sales.

There is only so much retailers can do to stop scalping. I wouldn't be surprised if there are people who go and buy one PS5 and turn around to sell it on eBay and other places. Retailers can stop scalpers from purchasing more than one PS5 at a time, but that is really it. 

Oh, it is for sure happening. I bet there is people even buying from resellers and then trying to resell it themselves at an even higher price point, lol.

Even then, scalpers can and will use other means to buying more than one at a time (friends and family for example).



Nintendo with the Switch:

I'll go with 110-130 million. Like the PS4 no big mistakes were made so unless they screw up big time later the vast majority of PS4 users should decide against switching to Xbox though with the Xbox Series X/S being much more appealing than the Xbox One was some market share will be lost but it shouldn't be a ton lost or anything like that so things will be at least somewhat more competitive this time around.