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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Xbox 2021 1st party and Exclusives Metacritic Prediction League

Rules

1. Predict as many or as few games as you like, but those who make predictions on all games will have an advantage in the overall leaderboard

2. Metascores from 1 week after release will be used for comparison with predictions, unless the game still doesn't have enough reviews after 1 week (let's say 12 reviews), in which case scores will be obtained at some point later on once there are more reviews

3. You can change or post a prediction up until a week before the game releases

Scoring

Scoring will be handled like this:

Prediction is the same as the actual score 7 points
1-3 points difference 5 points
4-6 points difference 3 points
7-9 points difference 2 points
10 or more points difference 1 point

Leaderboard

Place User Points
1 FloatingWaffles 5
LudicrousSpeed 5
Ryuu96 5
Versus Evil 5
5 AngryLittleAlchemist 3
sales2099 3
QUAKECore89 3
DeusXMachina 3
9 shikamaru317 2
ice 2
ManlyTears 2
12 IronmanDX 1
WoodenPints 1
Azzanation 1
Shanodon 1
DroidKnight 1
17 derpysquirtle64 0

1st Party

Psychonauts 2

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 85
AngryLittleAlchemist 84
FloatingWaffles 86
Azzanation 75
IronmanDX 83
sales2099 86
QUAKECore89 88
VersusEvil 86
Manlytears 86
Ryuu96 86
Shaunodon 85
DeusXMachina 87
DroidKnight 88
derpysquirtle64 82

Grounded

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 82
AngryLittleAlchemist 75
FloatingWaffles 79
Azzanation 75
IronmanDX 81
sales2099 81
VersusEvil 76
Manlytears 77
Ryuu96 78
Shaunodon 78
DeusXMachina 78
DroidKnight 85
derpysquirtle64 71

Flight Simulator

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 89
AngryLittleAlchemist 90
FloatingWaffles 88
Azzanation 90
IronmanDX 89
sales2099 90
QUAKECore89 85
VersusEvil 92
Manlytears 89
Ryuu96 88
Shaunodon 88
DeusXMachina 89
DroidKnight 85
derpysquirtle64 91

Halo Infinite

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 89
AngryLittleAlchemist 88
FloatingWaffles 92
Azzanation 85
IronmanDX 89
sales2099 91
QUAKECore89 90
VersusEvil 88
Manlytears 83
Ryuu96 86
Shaunodon 88
DeusXMachina 86
DroidKnight 91
derpysquirtle64 84

3rd Party Exclusives/Timed Exclusives

The Medium

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 78 7 2
DroidKnight 90 19 1
AngryLittleAlchemist 75 4 3
ice 79 8 2
IronmanDX 84 13 1
FloatingWaffles 72 1 5
WoodenPints 81 10 1
Azzanation 85 14 1
sales2099 75 4 3
QUAKECore89 76 5 3
VersusEvil 74 3 5
LudicrousSpeed 70 1 5
ManlyTears 79 8 2
Ryuu96 74 3 5
Shaunodon 83 12 1
DeusXMachina 76 5 3

MechWarrior 5

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 72
AngryLittleAlchemist 75
FloatingWaffles 75
Azzanation 60
IronmanDX 79
sales2099 73
QUAKECore89 70
Ryuu96 75
Shaunodon 70
DroidKnight 71
derpysquirtle64 68

CrossFire X

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 82
AngryLittleAlchemist 80
FloatingWaffles 81
Azzanation 70
IronmanDX 82
sales2099 82
QUAKECore89 74
Manlytears 74
Ryuu96 80
Shaunodon 74
DroidKnight 77
derpysquirtle64 77

Hello Neighbor 2

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 60
AngryLittleAlchemist 60
FloatingWaffles 54
Azzanation 60
IronmanDX 71
Manlytears 52
Ryuu96 60
Shaunodon 55
DroidKnight 68
derpysquirtle64 56

The Gunk

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 85
FloatingWaffles 83
IronmanDX 79
sales2099 77
Manlytears 67
Ryuu96 83
Shaunodon 85
DroidKnight 90

Exomecha

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 70
FloatingWaffles 66
Manlytears 62
Ryuu96 70
Shaunodon 66
DroidKnight 80

Scorn

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 80
AngryLittleAlchemist 80
FloatingWaffles 74
Azzanation 75
IronmanDX 82
QUAKECore89 78
Manlytears 82
Ryuu96 75
Shaunodon 81
DroidKnight 85
derpysquirtle64 82

The Ascent

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 79
FloatingWaffles 81
IronmanDX 82
Manlytears 81
Ryuu96 80
Shaunodon 78
DroidKnight 81

Second Extinction

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 72
FloatingWaffles 69
IronmanDX 75
Manlytears 66
VersusEvil 46
Ryuu96 70
Shaunodon 68
DroidKnight 76
Iceland 71

Echo Generation

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 82
FloatingWaffles 85
VersusEvil 84
Ryuu96 76
Shaunodon 84
DroidKnight 77

Tunic

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 80
AngryLittleAlchemist 73
FloatingWaffles 83
Azzanation 70
IronmanDX 75
VersusEvil 84
Ryuu96 78
Shaunodon 70
DroidKnight 73
derpysquirtle64 76

Twelve Minutes

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 83
FloatingWaffles 82
IronmanDX 84
Ryuu96 83
Shaunodon 78
DroidKnight 73

Warhammer 40K: Darktide

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 83
AngryLittleAlchemist 84
FloatingWaffles 80
Azzanation 75
IronmanDX 82
Manlytears 73
Ryuu96 80
Shaunodon 82
DroidKnight 80
derpysquirtle64 78

Shredders

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 72
FloatingWaffles 72
IronmanDX 76
Ryuu96 70
Shaunodon 68
DroidKnight 66

Sable

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 84
FloatingWaffles 82
Ryuu96 80
Shaunodon 82
DroidKnight 79

Last Stop

User Meta prediction Difference Points
shikamaru317 82
FloatingWaffles 77
Ryuu96 76
Shaunodon 81
DroidKnight 78

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 21 April 2021

Around the Network

There are more 3rd party exclusives than just the ones that I put into the league, but I tried to pick the most significant ones, the ones that have the best chance of getting a good number of reviews on metacritic. I chose based on how many views each game got on youtube, as well as based on how many reviews previous games by the developer got in some cases.



My preliminary predictions:

Psychonauts 2- 85

Grounded- 82

Flight Sim- 89

Halo Infinite- 89

The Medium- 78

MechWarrior 5-72

CrossFireX- 82

Hello Neighbor 2- 60

The Gunk- 85

Exomecha- 70

Scorn- 80

The Ascent- 79

Second Extinction- 74

Echo Generation- 82

Tunic- 80

Twelve Minutes- 83

Warhammer- 83

Shredders- 72

Sable- 84

The Last Stop- 82

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 27 January 2021

Game snuck up on me. If it's not too late I'll go 90 for the Medium. What game is next after that one?



...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

Tagging, I'll start posting some predictions tomorrow.



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DroidKnight said:

Game snuck up on me. If it's not too late I'll go 90 for the Medium. What game is next after that one?

I'll take The Medium predictions right up until the embargo drops on 9AM eastern on January 27th since the league is just starting out. For future releases I will cutoff sooner, like maybe 2 or 3 days before. 

Not sure what game is next, we have so few announced release dates so far for MS exclusives, just release windows for few games. I would guess one of the games that got delayed out of 2020 into 2021 will release next, like CrossFire X, 12 Minutes, The Ascent, or Psychonauts 2. 



Just realized that MechWarrior 5 is getting an Xbox release in Spring 2021. Will add it to the league.

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 26 January 2021

I assume this is only for the Xbox platform version, right? It seems that way given Flight Simulator being available and not having split guesses between Psychonauts platforms. Or are we supposed to make an aggregate for all platforms a game releases on? 

Psychonauts 2: 

84

Grounded: 

75

Flight Simulator: 

90

Halo Infinite: 

88

The Medium: 

75

MechWarrior 5: 

75

CrossFireX: 

80

Hello Neighbor 2: 

60

Scorn: 

80

Tunic: 

73

Warhammer 40k: Darktide:

84

I'll fill in the rest later. 



Link to the VGChartz Discord server: https://discord.gg/2uMTaYtv

Someday you will die somehow 

And something's gonna steal your carbon 

AngryLittleAlchemist said:

I assume this is only for the Xbox platform version, right? It seems that way given Flight Simulator being available and not having split guesses between Psychonauts platforms. Or are we supposed to make an aggregate for all platforms a game releases on? 

Just the Xbox version, yes.



The Medium - 79