Xbox 2021 1st party and Exclusives Metacritic Prediction League

shikamaru317

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Far Cry 2 (PC)

shikamaru317 on 15 January 2021

Rules

1. Predict as many or as few games as you like, but those who make predictions on all games will have an advantage in the overall leaderboard

2. Metascores from 1 week after release will be used for comparison with predictions, unless the game still doesn't have enough reviews after 1 week (let's say 12 reviews), in which case scores will be obtained at some point later on once there are more reviews

3. You can change or post a prediction up until a week before the game releases

Scoring

Scoring will be handled like this:

Prediction is the same as the actual score	7 points
1-3 points difference	5 points
4-6 points difference	3 points
7-9 points difference	2 points
10 or more points difference	1 point

Leaderboard

Place	User	Points
1	FloatingWaffles	5
	LudicrousSpeed	5
	Ryuu96	5
	Versus Evil	5
5	AngryLittleAlchemist	3
	sales2099	3
	QUAKECore89	3
	DeusXMachina	3
9	shikamaru317	2
	ice	2
	ManlyTears	2
12	IronmanDX	1
	WoodenPints	1
	Azzanation	1
	Shanodon	1
	DroidKnight	1
17	derpysquirtle64	0

1st Party

Psychonauts 2

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	85
AngryLittleAlchemist	84
FloatingWaffles	86
Azzanation	75
IronmanDX	83
sales2099	86
QUAKECore89	88
VersusEvil	86
Manlytears	86
Ryuu96	86
Shaunodon	85
DeusXMachina	87
DroidKnight	88
derpysquirtle64	82

Grounded

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	82
AngryLittleAlchemist	75
FloatingWaffles	79
Azzanation	75
IronmanDX	81
sales2099	81
VersusEvil	76
Manlytears	77
Ryuu96	78
Shaunodon	78
DeusXMachina	78
DroidKnight	85
derpysquirtle64	71

Flight Simulator

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	89
AngryLittleAlchemist	90
FloatingWaffles	88
Azzanation	90
IronmanDX	89
sales2099	90
QUAKECore89	85
VersusEvil	92
Manlytears	89
Ryuu96	88
Shaunodon	88
DeusXMachina	89
DroidKnight	85
derpysquirtle64	91

Halo Infinite

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	89
AngryLittleAlchemist	88
FloatingWaffles	92
Azzanation	85
IronmanDX	89
sales2099	91
QUAKECore89	90
VersusEvil	88
Manlytears	83
Ryuu96	86
Shaunodon	88
DeusXMachina	86
DroidKnight	91
derpysquirtle64	84

3rd Party Exclusives/Timed Exclusives

The Medium

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	78	7	2
DroidKnight	90	19	1
AngryLittleAlchemist	75	4	3
ice	79	8	2
IronmanDX	84	13	1
FloatingWaffles	72	1	5
WoodenPints	81	10	1
Azzanation	85	14	1
sales2099	75	4	3
QUAKECore89	76	5	3
VersusEvil	74	3	5
LudicrousSpeed	70	1	5
ManlyTears	79	8	2
Ryuu96	74	3	5
Shaunodon	83	12	1
DeusXMachina	76	5	3

MechWarrior 5

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	72
AngryLittleAlchemist	75
FloatingWaffles	75
Azzanation	60
IronmanDX	79
sales2099	73
QUAKECore89	70
Ryuu96	75
Shaunodon	70
DroidKnight	71
derpysquirtle64	68

CrossFire X

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	82
AngryLittleAlchemist	80
FloatingWaffles	81
Azzanation	70
IronmanDX	82
sales2099	82
QUAKECore89	74
Manlytears	74
Ryuu96	80
Shaunodon	74
DroidKnight	77
derpysquirtle64	77

Hello Neighbor 2

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	60
AngryLittleAlchemist	60
FloatingWaffles	54
Azzanation	60
IronmanDX	71
Manlytears	52
Ryuu96	60
Shaunodon	55
DroidKnight	68
derpysquirtle64	56

The Gunk

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	85
FloatingWaffles	83
IronmanDX	79
sales2099	77
Manlytears	67
Ryuu96	83
Shaunodon	85
DroidKnight	90

Exomecha

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	70
FloatingWaffles	66
Manlytears	62
Ryuu96	70
Shaunodon	66
DroidKnight	80

Scorn

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	80
AngryLittleAlchemist	80
FloatingWaffles	74
Azzanation	75
IronmanDX	82
QUAKECore89	78
Manlytears	82
Ryuu96	75
Shaunodon	81
DroidKnight	85
derpysquirtle64	82

The Ascent

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	79
FloatingWaffles	81
IronmanDX	82
Manlytears	81
Ryuu96	80
Shaunodon	78
DroidKnight	81

Second Extinction

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	72
FloatingWaffles	69
IronmanDX	75
Manlytears	66
VersusEvil	46
Ryuu96	70
Shaunodon	68
DroidKnight	76
Iceland	71

Echo Generation

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	82
FloatingWaffles	85
VersusEvil	84
Ryuu96	76
Shaunodon	84
DroidKnight	77

Tunic

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	80
AngryLittleAlchemist	73
FloatingWaffles	83
Azzanation	70
IronmanDX	75
VersusEvil	84
Ryuu96	78
Shaunodon	70
DroidKnight	73
derpysquirtle64	76

Twelve Minutes

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	83
FloatingWaffles	82
IronmanDX	84
Ryuu96	83
Shaunodon	78
DroidKnight	73

Warhammer 40K: Darktide

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	83
AngryLittleAlchemist	84
FloatingWaffles	80
Azzanation	75
IronmanDX	82
Manlytears	73
Ryuu96	80
Shaunodon	82
DroidKnight	80
derpysquirtle64	78

Shredders

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	72
FloatingWaffles	72
IronmanDX	76
Ryuu96	70
Shaunodon	68
DroidKnight	66

Sable

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	84
FloatingWaffles	82
Ryuu96	80
Shaunodon	82
DroidKnight	79

Last Stop

User	Meta prediction	Difference	Points
shikamaru317	82
FloatingWaffles	77
Ryuu96	76
Shaunodon	81
DroidKnight	78

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 21 April 2021

shikamaru317

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Currently Playing:

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shikamaru317 on 15 January 2021

There are more 3rd party exclusives than just the ones that I put into the league, but I tried to pick the most significant ones, the ones that have the best chance of getting a good number of reviews on metacritic. I chose based on how many views each game got on youtube, as well as based on how many reviews previous games by the developer got in some cases.

shikamaru317

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Currently Playing:

Far Cry 2 (PC)

shikamaru317 on 15 January 2021

My preliminary predictions:

Psychonauts 2- 85

Grounded- 82

Flight Sim- 89

Halo Infinite- 89

The Medium- 78

MechWarrior 5-72

CrossFireX- 82

Hello Neighbor 2- 60

The Gunk- 85

Exomecha- 70

Scorn- 80

The Ascent- 79

Second Extinction- 74

Echo Generation- 82

Tunic- 80

Twelve Minutes- 83

Warhammer- 83

Shredders- 72

Sable- 84

The Last Stop- 82

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 27 January 2021

DroidKnight

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DroidKnight on 25 January 2021

Game snuck up on me. If it's not too late I'll go 90 for the Medium. What game is next after that one?

...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

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Ryuu96 on 25 January 2021

Tagging, I'll start posting some predictions tomorrow.

shikamaru317

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shikamaru317 on 25 January 2021

DroidKnight said:

Game snuck up on me. If it's not too late I'll go 90 for the Medium. What game is next after that one?

I'll take The Medium predictions right up until the embargo drops on 9AM eastern on January 27th since the league is just starting out. For future releases I will cutoff sooner, like maybe 2 or 3 days before.

Not sure what game is next, we have so few announced release dates so far for MS exclusives, just release windows for few games. I would guess one of the games that got delayed out of 2020 into 2021 will release next, like CrossFire X, 12 Minutes, The Ascent, or Psychonauts 2.

shikamaru317

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shikamaru317 on 26 January 2021

Just realized that MechWarrior 5 is getting an Xbox release in Spring 2021. Will add it to the league.

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 26 January 2021

AngryLittleAlchemist

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AngryLittleAlchemist on 26 January 2021

I assume this is only for the Xbox platform version, right? It seems that way given Flight Simulator being available and not having split guesses between Psychonauts platforms. Or are we supposed to make an aggregate for all platforms a game releases on?

Psychonauts 2:

84

Grounded:

75

Flight Simulator:

90

Halo Infinite:

88

The Medium:

75

MechWarrior 5:

75

CrossFireX:

80

Hello Neighbor 2:

60

Scorn:

80

Tunic:

73

Warhammer 40k: Darktide:

84

I'll fill in the rest later.

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shikamaru317

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shikamaru317 on 26 January 2021

AngryLittleAlchemist said:

I assume this is only for the Xbox platform version, right? It seems that way given Flight Simulator being available and not having split guesses between Psychonauts platforms. Or are we supposed to make an aggregate for all platforms a game releases on?

Just the Xbox version, yes.