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Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo Quarterly Results Prediction Thread

 

Holiday Software Result

60-70 million 1 5.56%
 
70-80 million 6 33.33%
 
80-90 million 8 44.44%
 
100+ million 3 16.67%
 
Total:18

2019 Holiday Result 

Hardware: 10.8M

Software: 64.6M

Top Software

  1. Pokémon Sword / Shield - 16M
  2. Luigi's Mansion 3 - 5.37M

Last Quarter

Hardware: 6.85M

Software: 49.82M

Top 5 Software: 

  1. Super Mario 3D Collection - 5.21M
  2. New Horizon - 3.64M
  3. Paper Mario - 2.82M
  4. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 2.24M
  5. Ring Fit Adventure - 1.94M 

Predictions

Hardware: 14M

Software: 100M

Top 5 Software:

  1. New Horizon - 8M
  2. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 6M
  3. Ring Fit Adventure - 5.5M
  4. Super Mario 3D All-Stars - 5.25M
  5. Age of Calamity - 5M

Bonus: Digital revenue is up over 150% due to Pokemon Sword / Shield and huge holiday sales

*all figures and predictions are shipped + digital

Last edited by noshten - 4 days ago

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noshten said:

2019 Holiday Result 

Hardware: 10.8M

Software: 64.6M

Top Software

  1. Pokémon Sword / Shield - 16M
  2. Luigi's Mansion 3 - 5.37M

Last Quarter

Hardware: 6.85M

Software: 49.82M

Top 5 Software: 

  1. Super Mario 3D Collection - 5.21M
  2. New Horizon - 3.64M
  3. Paper Mario - 2.82M
  4. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 2.24M
  5. Ring Fit Adventure - 1.94M 

Predictions

Hardware: 14M

Software: 100M

Top 5 Software:

  1. New Horizon - 8M
  2. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 6M
  3. Ring Fit Adventure - 5.5M
  4. Super Mario 3D All-Stars - 5.25M
  5. Age of Calamity - 5M

Bonus: Digital revenue is up over 150% due to Pokemon Sword / Shield and huge holiday sales

*all figures and predictions are shipped + digital

Your hardware sold prediction seems too high, based off of recent data from the November NPD and Famitsu Switch sales in the U.S and Japan are slightly lower than 2019 as Nintendo is struggling with stock this holiday. While October was way up YoY, November and December are the biggest months and based off of the data it seems like the Switch sales numbers will be very similiar to 2019s with close to 11M sold being the most likely.



My Hardware Prediction: 11 Million Shipped
Software: 94 Million

Top 5 Software:
1.Animal Crossing: 8 Million
2.Mario Kart 8 DX 6 Million
3.Age of Calamity 5 Million
4.Mario 3D All Stars 4 Million
5.Super Smash Bros 3.5 Million



It will all depend if Nintendo shipped a lot more to ROTW compared to last year. If not I expect shipments to be about 10-11 million due to reading a comment (not sure if from Ninty) that for Q2 they shipped quite a bit more than usual in anticipation of the holidays.



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

Hardware 11-12m
Software 70-80m



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I'm just going to predict what the totals will look like after the quarter:

Hardware: 79.5 mil
Software: 530 mil

MK8DX: 33.2 mil (easily on track for my 50 mil prediction)
AC NH: 31 mil
Ring Fit: 8 mil
3D All-Stars: 7.3 mil
Age of Calamity: 4.8 mil

Last edited by UnderwaterFunktown - 4 days ago

UnderwaterFunktown said:

I'm just going to predict what the totals will look like after the quarter:

Hardware: 69.5 mil

Wat

Hardware was at 68 million on September 30th, do you really think they sold 1.5 million in 3 months ? During the holidays ?



"Quagmire, are you the type of guy who takes 'no' for an answer ?"
"My lawyer doesn't allow me to answer that question"

PSN ID: skmblake | Feel free to add me

SKMBlake said:
UnderwaterFunktown said:

I'm just going to predict what the totals will look like after the quarter:

Hardware: 69.5 mil

Wat

Hardware was at 68 million on September 30th, do you really think they sold 1.5 million in 3 months ? During the holidays ?

Whoops, meant 79.5 ofc. Fixed it now.