Forums - Sales Discussion - Ghost of Tsushima sold through 2.4m in its first three days. Lifetime sales expectations (PS4 only)?

Ghost of Tsushima sold through 2.4m in its first three days. Lifetime sales expectations (PS4 only)?

Less than 4 million 51 5.27%
 
4.0 - 4.9 million 49 5.06%
 
5.0 - 5.9 million 95 9.81%
 
6.0 - 6.9 million 96 9.92%
 
7.0 - 7.9 million 110 11.36%
 
8.0 - 8.9 million 141 14.57%
 
9.0 - 9.9 million 72 7.44%
 
10.0 - 10.9 million 187 19.32%
 
11.0 - 12.0 million 44 4.55%
 
More than 12 million 123 12.71%
 
Total:968

Sony's samurai adventure debuted with 2.4m units sold through in its first three days.

https://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2020-07-24-ghost-of-tsushima-is-sonys-fastest-selling-new-playstation-4-ip

What are your lifetime sales expectations for the PS4 version alone? While it's not a given that the game will be re-released on the PS5, I decided to make the poll unambiguous, so that really everyone will be voting on the same basis.

...

Bonus question: What's your favorite new IP from Sony during the PS4 era?



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

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Well I think I said at one point that it had a shot at 10 mil, so now I'm comitting to it.
I can only see that happening if it doesn't get a PS5 re-release though, but I'm starting to think Sony won't do as many of those this time around.



Random guess based on no research, 7 million.
Though I do expect it to get a PS5 patch, and possibly a re-release for PS5.

Bonus question: I guess it is Ghost of Tsushima. I'm about halfway through the story though.

Last edited by Hiku - on 03 August 2020

I am not sure if it has the word of mouth effect enough to sustain a steady sales stream like let's say HZD. The new system is also coming so I think in the long run it will suffer from being the last game of a soon to be replaced system.




8m, Late gen well received games tend to sell well, but they don't push hardware.



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I think it will sell from 7 to 8M, and GoT is my favorite game this gen so of course it is also favorite new IP.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

10 Million+ lifetime.



The pandemic has changed gaming in the short term, so it's hard to say. Those first weekend sales are huge. If that happened a year ago, I'd say it's going to sell 10mm lifetime. But, games are selling exceptionally well right, and will probably slow a lot as things normalize. So, I don't know how to extrapolate lifetime sales out of first weekend sales that are happening right now.

I chose 7+ million in the poll.



7-8m seems reasonable for a new IP with good word of mouth like this one has.

Bonus: Horizon and Bloodborne. I'd put GoT as third place after these.



OTBWY said:
I am not sure if it has the word of mouth effect enough to sustain a steady sales stream like let's say HZD. The new system is also coming so I think in the long run it will suffer from being the last game of a soon to be replaced system.

honestly I've seen more footage of it being shared of twitter than any game bar Animal crossing, the word of mouth is really strong what I've witnessed.