Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict sales of TLOU2 on PS4

How much TLOU2 will sell first week?

0-1M 1 1.39%
 
1.1-2M 2 2.78%
 
2.1-3M 6 8.33%
 
3.1-4M 20 27.78%
 
4.1-5M 16 22.22%
 
5.1-6M 15 20.83%
 
6.1-7M 3 4.17%
 
7.1-8M 0 0.00%
 
8.1-9M 1 1.39%
 
9.1-10M 8 11.11%
 
Total:72

The game is a week shy of releasing so it is time to predict the sales.

How much do you think it will do first week? And first month?

Bonus question: Lifetime sales



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

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I guessed 3-4 million because I think it’s a short week, right? (Friday release). Doesn’t really matter - I think it will eventually sell over 20 million on PS4/PS5 combined



My prediction is a mind blowing 5M First week, 10M First Month and 25M Lifetime, I will be bold =p



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

3 -4 mil first week. 6 mil first month. 10 mil first year. 15 - 20 mil LTD.



Zombie9ers said:
I guessed 3-4 million because I think it’s a short week, right? (Friday release). Doesn’t really matter - I think it will eventually sell over 20 million on PS4/PS5 combined

Usually SW releases on short weeks of 2 or 3 days of sales, most of what is sold in the end is pre-order.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Around the Network

It releases on the friday so im gonna say 5m first week. It will of course be the best selling game on ps4 so 18m lifetime on ps4 is my prediction



5.2 million units FW


Bonus: Around 20 millions LT

Extra Bonus: The PS4 will sell more than 500k during that week

Last edited by kazuyamishima - on 15 June 2020

I would say 5.1 Million Units on its first week. Considering the release date being a Friday, The Last of Us 2 stands a very good chance of doing 5 Million Worldwide with little to no difficulty. As for lifetime, I would say 20.3 Million.


I would want to go to 19.7 Million as my maximum but I feel that the holiday season will help The Last of Us 2 get past that 20 Million mark. Way too many good deals in North America alone within the holiday season for TLOU2 not to exceed 20 Million even if by a little.



" It has never been about acknowledgement when you achieve something. When you are acknowledged, then and only then can you achieve something. Always have your friends first to achieve your goals later." - OnlyForDisplay

5m+ first week, 10m+ before the holiday season start, 25m Ltd (inc ps5 version)



When we say the first week do we mean the first 7 days (Friday to thursday) or the first week in which it's released so Friday to Saturday 2 days?



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