Forums - Sales Discussion - Animal Crossing: New Horizons shipped 11.77m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

Animal Crossing: New Horizons shipped 11.77m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

Less than 17.5 million 69 6.88%
 
17.5 - 20.0 million 126 12.56%
 
20.1 - 22.5 million 146 14.56%
 
22.6 - 25.0 million 163 16.25%
 
25.1 - 27.5 million 144 14.36%
 
27.6 - 30.0 million 106 10.57%
 
30.1 - 32.5 million 97 9.67%
 
32.6 - 35.0 million 40 3.99%
 
35.1 - 40.0 million 35 3.49%
 
More than 40 million 77 7.68%
 
Total:1,003

Nintendo announced that Animal Crossing: New Horizons was off to a strong start with global shipments reaching 11.77m by March 31st. Since the latest installment in the Animal Crossing series launched on March 20th, only the first 12 days since release were covered by the financial report.

Furthermore, Nintendo provided a sell-through graph for the regions Japan, USA and Europe through the first six weeks:

What are your lifetime sales expectations for Animal Crossing: New Horizons?

...

Bonus question: How does it make you feel that a big name game like Animal Crossing: New Horizons sells so well despite containing a myriad of bugs? Are you okay with it, are you indifferent, does it upset you?



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

Around the Network

While it is a bit early I could easily see it doing 35 mil+ lifetime.
Honestly think the poll should have been shifted a bit higher since the game is likely to already be closing in on 17,5 mil in the next quarterly report juding by the sell-through number.

Edit: Spoke too soon since 40 mil just got added. It'll stick with 35 to 40 mil though.



UnderwaterFunktown said:
While it is a bit early I could easily see it doing 35 mil+ lifetime.
Honestly think the poll should have been shifted a bit higher since the game is likely to already be closing in on 17,5 mil in the next quarterly report juding by the sell-through number.

I thought the same thing about the poll after the first five votes had been casted. Adjusted "more than 35m" to a 35.1-40m range and added a tenth option to vote for 40m+.

As for the low end options, I don't discriminate against trolls.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

I’ll go 38mil lifetime, it’ll keep on selling for years and I’m predicting BotW doing 35mil so I have no choice.

Q1: 11.77mil
Q2: 19.3mil
Q3: 21.1mil
Q4: 24.9mil (end of year)



Going off the Famitsu data, Animal Crossing has been consistently selling through 80-100% of its stock. Probably around the 85-90% range if I had to guess. If that were true for that 13.41 million sell-through figure, then an 80% stock would put 6-week shipments at 16.76 million. And this is just for the main three regions. If we include the overall, worldwide total, the sell-through figure is likely between 14-15 million already. So, the actual worldwide shipment total after 6 weeks could range anywhere from 17.5 million to 18.75 million.
Again, that's assuming if the Famitsu percentages are applicable everywhere else.

Anyways, even though the sample we have now is small, I'm going to go all in and say over 40 million.



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

Around the Network

over 30, comfortably around 35 but it will not make it to 40.



Switch!!!

Betweem 30 to 32 million



Pocky Lover Boy! 

PAOerfulone said:
Going off the Famitsu data, Animal Crossing has been consistently selling through 80-100% of its stock. Probably around the 85-90% range if I had to guess. If that were true for that 13.41 million sell-through figure, then an 80% stock would put 6-week shipments at 16.76 million. And this is just for the main three regions. If we include the overall, worldwide total, the sell-through figure is likely between 14-15 million already. So, the actual worldwide shipment total after 6 weeks could range anywhere from 17.5 million to 18.75 million.
Again, that's assuming if the Famitsu percentages are applicable everywhere else.

Anyways, even though the sample we have now is small, I'm going to go all in and say over 40 million.

You're forgetting that a large percentage of sales have been digital and when it comes to digital sales and shipments are equal. Also since physical copies have been constantly selling out in many places I'd say we're definetly closer to 90 than 85 % of shipments having been sold, maybe even a little higher.

So I doubt we're looking at 17,5 mil shipped just yet, but something more along the lines of 16 mil perhaps.



so I'm not that crazy when I say Animal Crossing passing Mario Kart cannot be ruled out?

I believe it can do anywhere between 25 and 35 million, it all depends how far the word of mouth can take it - II guess we'll have a clearer picture the next 1-2 months



don't mind my username, that was more than 10 years ago, I'm a different person now, amazing how people change ^_^

I think it will end up as the switch's 2nd best selling game at around 34m. Heres how much i think the current top 10 will sell life time and of course other games like BOTW2 and SM3DWorld deluxe would dump some of these games out the top 10.

1. MK8D: 42m
2. ACNH: 34m
3. SSBU: 29m
4. BOTW: 27m
5. PM S&S: 24m
6. SMO: 23.5m
7. SMP: 15m
8. PM LG: 14.5m
9. NSMBUD: 14m
10. SPL2: 12m