While it is a bit early I could easily see it doing 35 mil+ lifetime.
Honestly think the poll should have been shifted a bit higher since the game is likely to already be closing in on 17,5 mil in the next quarterly report juding by the sell-through number.

Edit: Spoke too soon since 40 mil just got added. It'll stick with 35 to 40 mil though.

I’ll go 38mil lifetime, it’ll keep on selling for years and I’m predicting BotW doing 35mil so I have no choice.

Q1: 11.77mil
Q2: 19.3mil
Q3: 21.1mil
Q4: 24.9mil (end of year)

Going off the Famitsu data, Animal Crossing has been consistently selling through 80-100% of its stock. Probably around the 85-90% range if I had to guess. If that were true for that 13.41 million sell-through figure, then an 80% stock would put 6-week shipments at 16.76 million. And this is just for the main three regions. If we include the overall, worldwide total, the sell-through figure is likely between 14-15 million already. So, the actual worldwide shipment total after 6 weeks could range anywhere from 17.5 million to 18.75 million.
Again, that's assuming if the Famitsu percentages are applicable everywhere else.

Anyways, even though the sample we have now is small, I'm going to go all in and say over 40 million.

over 30, comfortably around 35 but it will not make it to 40.

Betweem 30 to 32 million

You're forgetting that a large percentage of sales have been digital and when it comes to digital sales and shipments are equal. Also since physical copies have been constantly selling out in many places I'd say we're definetly closer to 90 than 85 % of shipments having been sold, maybe even a little higher.

So I doubt we're looking at 17,5 mil shipped just yet, but something more along the lines of 16 mil perhaps.

so I'm not that crazy when I say Animal Crossing passing Mario Kart cannot be ruled out?

I believe it can do anywhere between 25 and 35 million, it all depends how far the word of mouth can take it - II guess we'll have a clearer picture the next 1-2 months

I think it will end up as the switch's 2nd best selling game at around 34m. Heres how much i think the current top 10 will sell life time and of course other games like BOTW2 and SM3DWorld deluxe would dump some of these games out the top 10.

1. MK8D: 42m
2. ACNH: 34m
3. SSBU: 29m
4. BOTW: 27m
5. PM S&S: 24m
6. SMO: 23.5m
7. SMP: 15m
8. PM LG: 14.5m
9. NSMBUD: 14m
10. SPL2: 12m

Really difficult to say. Animal crossing titles usually depend on legendary legs but this time, the launch period has literally blown all the other AC games out of the water! Will the launch sales ultimately affect the legs? If not, possibly upwards of 40m. If so, then probably we should still expect around 28m+. I'll say somewhere in the middle, so around 34m LT.

I feel anyone doubting 30m at this point is deluding themselves. This had the biggest Nintendo launch in history and will have strong evergreen legs to boot.

Thinking 35m atm.