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Forums - Sony Discussion - PS5 build cost more than 450 USD , Sony probably having a hard time deciding the retail price

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What do you think

Sony should eat the cost ... 27 42.19%
 
I don't mind 499 USD PS5 ... 18 28.13%
 
499 USD is very cheap i will buy 3 5 7.81%
 
As long it comes with Kna... 10 15.63%
 
Shut up just give us the ... 4 6.25%
 
Total:64
drkohler said:

The real question is: Where are the Chinese hiding the Zombies?

I mean, this virus outbreak has the exact plotline of every tv series currently showing or being made for US tv. A worldwide plague that instantly turns people into zombies is pretty much what we get from the studios nowadays.

As for the Bloomberg thingie: One line tells everything we need to know. In case you haven't noticed, it's the "memory prices went up" story line. Sony and MS have ordered their memories a long time ago. This stuff is ordered 1-3 years ahead of production start. The prices, delivery times, pretty much everything else were agreed upon at the time the contracts were signed and sealed. Those contracts are phonebook sized books that leave no interpretations (hoards of company lawyers make a living out of that). Let's not forget the first batches of memories are probably on the way to the fabs right now for production starts. Neither Sony nor MS cares a shit about what happened since with memory prices. If the prices had gone down, well, bad luck for Sony/MS . If the prices went up, well, bad luck for the fabs who get less money than they could have. That's the way mass manufacturing works. A fab will always prioritise a customer who can occupy a line at full capacity for a prolonged time. That is where the money is for a fab. It is an art for customers do fall in that cathegory with their orders to get good prices, and I'd guess both Sony and MS have ordered enough chips to be there.
If we had to speculate about things getting problematic (=more expensive), we could argue about the state of the SoCs. One more respin needed and the r&d bill would go up significantly.

Good point. The prices might actually be going up because MS and Sony are hoarding all the 'cheap' chips for the same period launches.



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sethnintendo said:
HollyGamer said:

You can be right , and everything are difficult to predict . We might have have an asteroids hit  earth next month and the world ends :P 

Yea or my current president could stop being such an asshole but we all know those two scenarios are highly unlikely to happen.

The virus will probably blow over in a couple months is my guess and then factories in China will return to normal.

LOL, yeah i hope everything will be fine . I rather have console war rather than epidemi war or virus war LOL. 



HoangNhatAnh said:
trunkswd said:

That could bring it up to $499. It depends if Sony is willing to lose money on each one sold or not. 

It seems even at $499, Sony still take a loss

Obviously. And no shop I'm aware of sells stuff without a minimum margin (which depends on the kind of stuff being sold).

In short, not going into the intrinsic parts of the process, every good produced requires a certain markup to be profitable, all things considered. The markup heavily depends on the question "What does it take to sell the product?". That question includes about 1234 things people tend to overlook. Some examples: For Haute Couture, this markup is way above 1000%. For high end electronics and special equipment, it is several hundred %, for good clothes, it is around 80% (actually higher for cheap clothes), for bread and butter electronics, like toasters for example, it rarely reaches 30-50%. So the question is: where do consoles fall? As a rough guess, I'd say it is somewhere between 30% and 60%.

So if the bill of material alone is around $450 (I certainly doubt that Bloomberg article for reasons given before), a console would require a sales price in the $600-$700 region. That would be the fair price if the console had to stand on its own.

So if that $450 components only bill were true, even at $599 at your retailer's cashier, a console would sell at a loss to the manufacturer. There is a reason the regular price of a PS4 still is over $300 over here (outside of promotions),, that tells us mf costs still are around $200 (and Sony doesn't want to lose money on it).

The problem for Sony and MS is the question on just how much money they are willing to lose on their hardwares. The question is not whether they take a loss, the question is how much. From a corporate standpoint, both want to sell in the $600-$650 region, but both know the customers would not buy (even if that is a fair price). So they are both waiting for the other company to show its willingness for taking losses.

Last edited by drkohler - on 15 February 2020

drkohler said:

The real question is: Where are the Chinese hiding the Zombies?

I mean, this virus outbreak has the exact plotline of every tv series currently showing or being made for US tv. A worldwide plague that instantly turns people into zombies is pretty much what we get from the studios nowadays.

As for the Bloomberg thingie: One line tells everything we need to know. In case you haven't noticed, it's the "memory prices went up" story line. Sony and MS have ordered their memories a long time ago. This stuff is ordered 1-3 years ahead of production start. The prices, delivery times, pretty much everything else were agreed upon at the time the contracts were signed and sealed. Those contracts are phonebook sized books that leave no interpretations (hoards of company lawyers make a living out of that). Let's not forget the first batches of memories are probably on the way to the fabs right now for production starts. Neither Sony nor MS cares a shit about what happened since with memory prices. If the prices had gone down, well, bad luck for Sony/MS . If the prices went up, well, bad luck for the fabs who get less money than they could have. That's the way mass manufacturing works. A fab will always prioritise a customer who can occupy a line at full capacity for a prolonged time. That is where the money is for a fab. It is an art for customers do fall in that cathegory with their orders to get good prices, and I'd guess both Sony and MS have ordered enough chips to be there.
If we had to speculate about things getting problematic (=more expensive), we could argue about the state of the SoCs. One more respin needed and the r&d bill would go up significantly.

Often buyers will have written in to the contract that any cost savings made over the time of the contract are passed on, Sony and MS made sure of this after Nvidia continued to charge the same contract price making it hard for MS to use cost saving to cut the price, memory contracts I assume work a bit differently but I wouldn't be surprised if they have a contracted price that allows them to take advantage of any  price drops with the contract price being a ceiling.



Research shows Video games  help make you smarter, so why am I an idiot

TheBraveGallade said:
one other factor to consider is that sony is considerably worse off then they were back even in the ps3's days, right now around half of sony inc's total profits are from PS, it used to be way, WAY lower than that. they used to have spare cash lying around, now they don't (nintendo's war chest, while rediculously large for such a small company, is only slightly smaller than sony's a megacorperation)

You really need to fact check your information while PS is making great bank for Sony it's around 25% not half, its last few years have seen better results than when it was valued at 200+ billion in the late 1980's, the reason its market cap at 70 odd billion hasn't moved back toward that 200 billion range despite its turnaround is according to most experts because of its conglomerate structure it is seen to have too many moving parts so share price isunderperforming compared to its profitability.



Research shows Video games  help make you smarter, so why am I an idiot

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konnichiwa said:
399 With not HD and 449 with one. The loss is only for a short time because people buy games,extra controller, ps plus, ps now etc that makes money and the losses will be regained fast.

Impossible, they cant sell you a console where you couldn't even install the game, basically they would never sell you a console where you couldn't play games on, the backlash would be too much and would hurt the brand name.

Sony has said before they wouldn't sell consoles at a loss anymore, I remember that from the beginning of current generation, so that wont happen.



thismeintiel said:
I'd just go with a $449 price point and take the ~$25-$30 loss per console. They'd break even with the sale of a single 1st party game. A similar situation to this gen.

Though, if they really want people to move on to the PS5 quicker and completely crush it again next gen, it may be worth it to just take the ~$75-$80 hit per console. It's much less than the PS3's losses of $200+, and considering that they are using more off the shelf parts, prices will drop much quicker.

They wont do it, I know Sony, they will rather lower the build quality than to take a loss.

They are not worried, people will move quicker from ps4 to ps5 than last time, this is a certainty, 100% sure it will happen. So they are not worried at all, the key thing this generation is backwards compatibility which will improve visuals and performance of current gen games.

The other key thing is, Microsoft did much worse this generation, so many will move to playstation this time around.

I will bet with anyone any kind of bet that sony will outsell the xbox series X, I am 100% sure.

They will rather lower build quality because they know for a fact that the general public doesn't care, how many of your friends have complained that the xbox X has a better cooling system and materials than the pro? Not many, that's why they know its wiser to just give us the cheapest materials possible, while maintaining profits. Bear in mind, materials are not just the plastic, for example the wiiU and xbox X have a better disc drive, by far, when you insert and remove a disc on those consoles its quiet and smooth, in the case of wiiU it even has a light when theres a disc inside, also pick up a wiiU and youll see the plastic is strong and firm, very unlike the playstation. The only time sony invested in quality materials was original ps3 and public complained because of the price, so they know for a fact that people prefer cheap rather than quality.

How many people complained that the original ps4 sounded like a jet taking off? Not many, so there you go, they will do it again.



sales2099 said:
It’s gonna be $499. Question is whether MS is willing to eat the cost and make Series X the same price

There is no question at all here, Microsoft has shown they are willing to take a bit hit on hardware, just look at the xbox X for example. And Microsoft can actually afford to take a loss, Microsoft is worth over 1 trillion dollars, that's more than 15x the value of sony. If there is any gaming company capable of taking a huge loss is only Microsoft.

Microsoft will be smart, they will release a top of the range console for most likely 550 dollars, and other console for around 400-450 dollars.

The cheaper model will be close to the xbox X in power, the higher end console will be more powerful than the ps5. If they do not include the vapor cooling from the xbox X, it would mean they could easily give as the cheaper console at 400dollars, 500gb SSD, slightly weaker than ps5 but still enough for all games to look amazing, in fact the xbox X already has the power to make games look amazing if they were build from the ground up to those specs.



victor83fernandes said:
thismeintiel said:
I'd just go with a $449 price point and take the ~$25-$30 loss per console. They'd break even with the sale of a single 1st party game. A similar situation to this gen.

Though, if they really want people to move on to the PS5 quicker and completely crush it again next gen, it may be worth it to just take the ~$75-$80 hit per console. It's much less than the PS3's losses of $200+, and considering that they are using more off the shelf parts, prices will drop much quicker.

They wont do it, I know Sony, they will rather lower the build quality than to take a loss.

They are not worried, people will move quicker from ps4 to ps5 than last time, this is a certainty, 100% sure it will happen. So they are not worried at all, the key thing this generation is backwards compatibility which will improve visuals and performance of current gen games.

The other key thing is, Microsoft did much worse this generation, so many will move to playstation this time around.

I will bet with anyone any kind of bet that sony will outsell the xbox series X, I am 100% sure.

They will rather lower build quality because they know for a fact that the general public doesn't care, how many of your friends have complained that the xbox X has a better cooling system and materials than the pro? Not many, that's why they know its wiser to just give us the cheapest materials possible, while maintaining profits. Bear in mind, materials are not just the plastic, for example the wiiU and xbox X have a better disc drive, by far, when you insert and remove a disc on those consoles its quiet and smooth, in the case of wiiU it even has a light when theres a disc inside, also pick up a wiiU and youll see the plastic is strong and firm, very unlike the playstation. The only time sony invested in quality materials was original ps3 and public complained because of the price, so they know for a fact that people prefer cheap rather than quality.

How many people complained that the original ps4 sounded like a jet taking off? Not many, so there you go, they will do it again.

Lol, then you obviously don't know Sony.  They have taken a loss on every single console at launch.  Also, the PS4 feels like a quality built machine.  Not sure what machine you have been touching.  The noise is a problem for some users.  However, according to this article, Sony is putting in a high quality cooling method, so that shouldn't be a problem this time around.

As for your above comment on Xbox, if anything, this gen has proven that MS isn't looking to take a loss on HW.  If they wanted to, they could have launched the XBO for $399, too, even with Kinect.  Instead they didn't.  It also took them almost 7 months to lower it to match the PS4's price. This is around the time PS4's BOM dropped to the point Sony was making a profit on each console sold.  My guess is MS got the XBO's price to where they were at least breaking even at $399. Likewise, they could have easily launched the XSX at $399 to take on the Pro.  Instead, they didn't want to lose any money on it, so, again, released it for $499.

Remember, MS's $ =/= Xbox's money.  MS is not going to throw money down a hole to push HW.  Especially not when they are focusing on services.



victor83fernandes said:
sales2099 said:
It’s gonna be $499. Question is whether MS is willing to eat the cost and make Series X the same price

There is no question at all here, Microsoft has shown they are willing to take a bit hit on hardware, just look at the xbox X for example. And Microsoft can actually afford to take a loss, Microsoft is worth over 1 trillion dollars, that's more than 15x the value of sony. If there is any gaming company capable of taking a huge loss is only Microsoft.

Microsoft will be smart, they will release a top of the range console for most likely 550 dollars, and other console for around 400-450 dollars.

The cheaper model will be close to the xbox X in power, the higher end console will be more powerful than the ps5. If they do not include the vapor cooling from the xbox X, it would mean they could easily give as the cheaper console at 400dollars, 500gb SSD, slightly weaker than ps5 but still enough for all games to look amazing, in fact the xbox X already has the power to make games look amazing if they were build from the ground up to those specs.

My only reply would be that it doesn’t really matter how much a corporation is worth, that budgets do matter. Because a successful corporation Gets to where it is by not giving their money away. 

If the Series X matches PS5 at $499, they can make the pitch that for the same price you get more power. And then the $399 Lockhart console to undercut it. 



Xbox: Best hardware, Game Pass best value, best BC, more 1st party genres and multiplayer titles.