The flu doesn't spread in first world countries? The primary source for flu etc to spread are schools. Getting kids has been an enormous stress on my wife's immune system from the moment they went to school. Avoid people with kids!
It does but what I meant is that we know much faster about if someone has the virus in better developed countries and we have probably much better measurements against it. If some people in Kinshasa (or smaller less developed towns) will be infected I'm not sure if it will be even recognized before you already have hundreds of infected who will infect thousands more before they will be in quarantine.
I just don't see half of Europe, China or USA/Canada to be infected by it. I mean, right now it does look as if the number of new infections per day in China doesn't increase much anymore but it needs to be much worse to reach 50% of the population.
To balance that, first world countries are far more interconnected with 2.7 million daily airline passengers. The WHO doesn't believe it matters
"All countries are vulnerable because all countries have two things. All countries have vulnerable populations, people within, (no matter how developed their economy is) there are many, many older people with underlying conditions who may be negatively impacted if this virus arrives and spreads.
Secondly, many of our health systems even in the most developed countries, in fact, very often in the most developed countries are operating at nearly 100% efficiency or impact all the time. You don’t see many extra beds in hospitals in Europe so the problem for the European countries and other countries in the developed world is that the health systems may come under a lot of extra pressure. We see that with the seasonal influenza every winter. But slowing down the virus, even now slowing down the virus spreading in Europe in order for the flu season to end will free up significant capacity in the health system. Even Slowing down the virus by a month or six week will have a massive positive benefit to the system.
Isolated places will be more safe.