I'm still going with my alternate prediction of March 12th for the next Direct with the announcement coming on March 10th.

ye of little faith

In 19 days, that sounds like a perfect day for a Direct

I feel like the only one in this forum who couldn't give a crap about a general direct.

I've always felt that Treehouse segments and in depth focuses on games, like the last Animal Crossing Direct are infinitely more rewarding. Otherwise, I think a single annual direct, showcasing key software for the next 1-2 years is really all that's needed; and it feels much more special when it's infrequent. Having them 6-12 times a year like they did before was major overkill. People keep saying they want them all the time, but when they were happening all the time, it was constant "that sucked" "that was disappointing" responses. Nintendo at its best is giving an in depth look at their key software and just keep the constant stream of info on new games with their youtube and Nintendo News Switch channel. Their marketing and messaging will be a lot better as a result of keeping the "look at this list of games coming up in the future" to a minimum.

I think 3-4 Nindies per year will work well. Generally those smaller games work on a single hook, and don't need the in depth looks.

As I've said in other threads, Nintendo has been phasing out the general directs in favour of Nindies, focused directs, their youtube channel, and their Switch news channel. It won't get phased out completely, as they'll still have the summer show, and probably a Spaceworld slot show.

I do not watch treehouse or segments focused on one game. To me they are a pure bore-fest.
Short presentation of a lot of different games to know what is coming is what I want. Since games get delayed all the time I rather have a few such presentations per year with what I can look forward to in the upcoming months. Presenting near finished games rather than "Look at what you might be playing 2 years from now, oh no wait 3 years, 4... canceled."

I prefer quick burst reveals and trailers. I'm really not a fan of spoilers in video games or movies (even color pallete revelations bother me as I really want to be surprised as the game or movie progresses), so while I appreciate what a Treehouse event can do to get people unfamiliar with the title excited, usually all I need to know is the hook and get a general gist of the graphical fidelity or tone of the game to get hyped.

Just to keep in mind, they usually announce their General Directs about 24-48 hrs before they go live.
Usually, the direct goes live on a Wednesday or a Thursday because Friday is when the market closes and the news cycle sorta slows down until the new week.
Fridays, I guess in a business sense, are used for announcing bad news (i.e., Metroid Prime 4 restarting development) so the news cycle is relatively short instead of having the news linger for most of the week.

So, this is by far the longest period without a general Nintendo direct. I couldn't imagine that I would feel this abstention so hard 😫

I think coronavirus has thrown off their planned early-year direct. Their production lines are shut down and it doesn't really make sense to hype people up for Switch when it's impossible to buy one (literally impossible here in Japan; going to be progressively more difficult in the West in the next few weeks). I want one ASAP, but I wouldn't be surprised if we get into April without one tbh

Bravely Default 2 and No More Heroes 3 were announced at the Game Awards. Third party but Switch exclusive like Ultimate Alliance and Daemon ex Machina which you counted. Even still, that's only 3 games past March that don't even have dates so I totally agree with your post otherwise. I fear the lack of a direct is because they lack games. Can't have a direct if nothing is releasing from April to July.