1. Animal Crossing: New Horizons will be the only 5m+ seller that Nintendo releases in the first half of 2020; Q2 will have to make do with smaller Nintendo IPs, plus the long awaited additional story DLC for Fire Emblem: Three Houses. The second half of 2020 will have more and also bigger games.
2. After a safe initial prediction, I am going with something more out of left field. The remade Xenoblade Chronicles won't be the only Xenoblade release in 2020. Nintendo will expand the IP with a spinoff developed by Tecmo-Koei, so Xenoblade Warriors. Despite only three games to choose protagonists from (XC1: 7 characters, XCX: Elma and Lin, XC2: 9 including expansion), the roster of playable characters will be easily filled because there are also a couple of antagonists, and a sizeable amount of blades appearing in XC2 that can stand on their own.
3. Sony and Microsoft especially will play into Nintendo's hands by talking up game streaming and how cool it is to play your games away from your console. Naturally, Nintendo has no need for questionable streaming when their console can go anywhere with proper control inputs and without a required internet connection and the resulting input lag. On top of offering a vastly superior solution, Nintendo's is cheaper to boot.
4. Sony will be brought down to Earth because it dawns on people that the PS4's success received major help from Nintendo and Microsoft. Without those companies messing up so badly, the PS5 won't be able to be the same runaway success that the PS4 was.
5. Microsoft will show that they've learned from the XB1 blunders, but also show that they still don't quite understand the console business. They will pursue a two SKU strategy for the next Xbox right out of the gate, thinking that it is a good offering to be both more expensive (Series X) and cheaper (presumably Series S) than the PS5 at the same time. However, the gamers who anticipate next gen PS and Xbox consoles aren't looking for something gimped, so the cheaper Xbox will be perceived as a gimped version that will be ignored by default, making the decision process effectively the choice of paying for more power (Series X) or not (PS5). While this won't be a problem in the initial rush for the new consoles in 2020, it won't be a sustainable position for Microsoft in the mid to long term of a generational cycle, so they'll either cut the price or eat dust.
6. Gamers will be eager to buy into promises of Sony and Microsoft. Many of the announced next gen games will be years away from release, but treated as if they would come out within one year of a console's launch.
7. Switch is going to be doomed because its current success relies on ports of AAA third party games, something that will fade quickly with the imminent release of the PS5 and XSX. I predict that a lot of people will make bad predictions such as this one.
8. The PS4 and XB1 will see a more substantial decline in sales in 2020 than they already saw in 2019. The staggered regional launches of older generations, including developing countries, are a thing of the past, so the legs of the PS4 and especially the XB1 won't be long. An additional factor is how disposable PS and Xbox consoles are, so the market will see a flood of used consoles because of people selling off their PS4s and XB1s to put the money towards next gen consoles. More used consoles in the marketplace means that retailers will try to sell those rather than order new boxes from Sony and Microsoft.
9. The 3DS will be discontinued in 2020. I know, a real relevation.
10. No new Switch SKU nor a price cut in 2020. In September the hybrid SKU will become a value-added bundle as standard: $299 including a preinstalled copy of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe or Super Mario Odyssey. Switch Lite remains at $199, but comes with a preinstalled copy of New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe.
Bonus: Google will annoy people with partially exclusive content for AAA third party games on Stadia. That will be most of the attention that Stadia can draw because Google's platform itself will be hardly relevant in gaming discussions outside of such third party deals.
Last edited by RolStoppable - on 01 January 2020