Forums - Sony Discussion - The big 3 for Shenmue lll (Metacritic, Sales, purchase)

18 years after the release of Shenmue ll, Shenmue lll is finally releasing and what a miracle it must be for Yu Suzuki and for all those who have waited almost 2 decades for this. For the rest of us it is something that needs to expressed in numbers; so lets begin.

Almost hour demo of the final build with no commentary. Skip to 30 minute mark for combat.

1. Predict the Metacritic 

* What do you think the biggest criticism will be?

2. Predict end of the year sales rank and then give a direct estimate

- Rank 1: 0 - 250k

- Rank 2: 250k - 500k

- Rank 3: 500k - 750k

- Rank 4: 750K - 1mill

- Rank 5: 1mill+

* Now give a direct estimate (example - Rank 1 - 144k)

* Where do you think Shenmue lll will end up when its all said and done (lifetime)? (example - Rank 3: 550k)

3. Will you be buying the game?



Around the Network

Metacritic: 75
Sales: 500-750k
Will I buy it? Maybe, I've never played the series before so not sure yet.



Metacritic: 70
I think people will not like the slow pace.

Sales: 750k-1Mil

Will I buy it? Waiting for it in the mail, should be delivered later today.



Meta: 70s
Sales: between 500-750k

My kickstarter physical copy should be arriving tomorrow.



Whoever said life to be like a box of chocolates clearly didn't know what he was talking about. 

Life is more like a game of bumper cars. At every turn there is a possibility you will get screwed.

I bet it will review high, in the 80's. Did you see how EZA reacted when it was shown? Lots of journalists feel that way. Nostalgia and emotion will overrule any criticisms or flaws the game might have.

I'm guessing a couple million sales. It'll come to Xbox eventually, probably be ported to next gen too in a complete collection or something.



Around the Network

1. ~76
2. ~750K - 1mill
3. Nope.



Metacritic: 65-75
Sales: 500K-750K

Will I buy? Probably not.

Biggest criticism? Controls. Going by recent news articles, critics are saying that it's just as clunky as Shenmue I&II and plays like it should've released back in 2002.



Metacritic - 70 - biggest complain will be outdated concept, low grade visuals, those will be made worse by the high expectations since I and II were big at their time.
Sales - Rank 2 - 350mil
Yes I'll buy it after either price is right or confirming the reviews and let's play.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

I really have no idea, I haven't followed the game that closely, but I'll throw out a few predictions anyway

Meta: 81
Criticism: too similar to past two games aka feels/play-style outdated.

Sales: 314k (rank 2)

Won't be buying (at least not in the near future) unless it somehow comes to Switch



Not good on the meta... currently it have a 50 and a 60 score.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994