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Forums - Sales Discussion - Global Hardware 5 Oct 2019

zorg1000 on 14 October 2019
curl-6 said:

Worth noting this is the week the new taxes came into effect in Japan, which is why Switch dropped so much. PS4 sales were halved too, but half is a smaller drop when you're selling 24k than when you're selling 190k.

Taxes played a role but they are being overblown.

PS4 had a promotion going on in the last few weeks which has now ended.

Switch had Lite+Zelda 2 weeks ago and DQXI+special edition OG model last week.

Big drops were going to happen regardless of the tax hike.



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DonFerrari on 14 October 2019

Well it looks strange that Switch would get such small lead so short after Lite.



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Intrinsic on 14 October 2019
Alex_The_Hedgehog said:
Just a few more weeks and Switch will hit the 40 million mark.

The question is will it do 100M in under 6yrs.

And of the PS4 and Switch who got to 40M/50M first.



Mbolibombo on 14 October 2019
Intrinsic said:
Alex_The_Hedgehog said:
Just a few more weeks and Switch will hit the 40 million mark.

The question is will it do 100M in under 6yrs.

And of the PS4 and Switch who got to 40M/50M first.

PS4

  • 40M at roughly 30 months on the market
  • 50M at roughly 37 months on the market

NSW 

  • 36.87M at 28 months on the market - Will likely be at 41-42M shipped at 31 months on the market, depending on how large the Lite shipment were
  • 50M shipped might just happen at 34 months on the market, and sell through very likely at more than 50M on 37 months in to it's life. Lead will change when ever there's a holiday upcoming.

So.. sellthrough.. 40M probably PS4, 50M probably Switch. I'd say. 100M is just too far away to look at right now :P But safe bet would be PS4 since it has had a tremendously long peak.



curl-6 on 14 October 2019
zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

Worth noting this is the week the new taxes came into effect in Japan, which is why Switch dropped so much. PS4 sales were halved too, but half is a smaller drop when you're selling 24k than when you're selling 190k.

Taxes played a role but they are being overblown.

PS4 had a promotion going on in the last few weeks which has now ended.

Switch had Lite+Zelda 2 weeks ago and DQXI+special edition OG model last week.

Big drops were going to happen regardless of the tax hike.

I agree drops were going to happen anyway, it's just that the new taxes are a significant factor worth mentioning.



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Intrinsic on 14 October 2019
Mbolibombo said:
Intrinsic said:

The question is will it do 100M in under 6yrs.

And of the PS4 and Switch who got to 40M/50M first.

PS4

  • 40M at roughly 30 months on the market
  • 50M at roughly 37 months on the market

NSW 

  • 36.87M at 28 months on the market - Will likely be at 41-42M shipped at 31 months on the market, depending on how large the Lite shipment were
  • 50M shipped might just happen at 34 months on the market, and sell through very likely at more than 50M on 37 months in to it's life. Lead will change when ever there's a holiday upcoming.

So.. sellthrough.. 40M probably PS4, 50M probably Switch. I'd say. 100M is just too far away to look at right now :P But safe bet would be PS4 since it has had a tremendously long peak.

great info..

I would give 100M to the switch though. It got to $199 faster than the PS4. There still isn't a $199 model PS4. Then again you never know, as you said it's still too early to call.



PAOerfulone on 14 October 2019

I expect the Switch should stay within that 250-300k range until Sword/Shield comes out.
Maybe it'll get a good boost from Luigi's Mansion 3 to over 300k, but I'm not too sure.
Will have to wait and see.



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The_Liquid_Laser on 14 October 2019

Japan and North America: "The PS4 is old.  Time to move on.  We all want a Switch now."

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Chrkeller on 14 October 2019

Nintendo has a real winners on their hand. Clearly gamers don't just care about power.



kirby007 on 14 October 2019
Chrkeller said:
Nintendo has a real winners on their hand. Clearly gamers don't just care about power.

Those that do play on pc



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