Just going by the numbers you posted, CoD sold 43.3k during launch week (PS4+XB1).  So even if you double that to 86.6k that is still less than the Sword/Shield number of 102k (and we aren't even adding any digital to Sword/Shield).  But NPD breaks up Sword/Shield into 2 SKU's.  So each SKU will only sell approximately 51K.  NPD combines the CoD numbers between 2 platforms but it breaks up Pokemon instead of combining it.  Pokemon is outselling CoD both individually and combined, but NPD still does whatever they can to make CoD come out on top in the rankings.  (This is all assuming your numbers are a decent representation of nationwide sales.)

Week ending 11-23:

Jedi: Fallen Order (week 1):

• PS4: 10,400 (standard), 1,900 (limited)
• XB1: 6,600 (standard), 1,300 (limited), 300 (XB1S bundle), 200 (XB1X bundle)

Pokemon Sword & Shield (week 2):

• Sword: 23,600
• Shield: 17,300
• Steelbook double pack: 6,100
• Standard double pack: 1,600

Death Stranding (week 3): 1,500

Luigi's Mansion 3 (week 4): 9,800

Ring Fit Adventure (week 5): 2,200

Link's Awakening (week 10): 2,300

Splatoon 2:

• 1,100 (standard edition), 100 (strategy guide bundle)

Astral Chain (week 13): 200

Looking forward to Black Friday numbers.  Hope you can take a glimpse at some of NSW's evergreens!

Week ending 11-30 (Black Friday):

• Final Fantasy XII (Switch) (60% off): 3900
• Super Mario Odyssey (50% off): 30,600
• Mario Kart 8 (full price, I think): 16,800
  • Plus 73,700 console bundles
• Mario + Rabbids (50% off): 19,900
• Astral Chain (full price): 800 (week 14)
• Zelda: BotW (50% off): 58,900
• Splatoon 2 (both SKUs, full price I think): 4600
• Pokemon Sword & Shield (full price), counting double packs as 2 games: 79,900 (week 3)
  • Sword: 30,700
  • Shield: 20,000
  • Regular double pack: 2800
  • Steelbook double pack: 6800
• Luigi's Mansion 3 (full price): 24,900 (week 5)
• Dragon Quest XI Switch (full price): 800 (week 10)

EDIT: Yes, I somehow forgot to check Smash Bros. Sue me.

Wow! MK8D w/bundles moved almost as many units as Pokemon' launch week.

Pokemon itself has some 2.3x it's launch week.

And BOTW LOL. That number is higher than some launches.

First major discount since release and Nintendo underestimated stock I think. It blew up to #1 on Amazon Best Sellers and then ran out of stock mid-Friday and tanked. Ran out of stock again this week as well.

50% discounted was a killer price for BOTW, it went past above Link's Awakening spot in a yearly chart in just 3-4 hours before the stock ran out. In digital front with 30% discounted price it managed to rank in number 7 position in N/A behind Fortnite(one of the biggest games in this gen), Smash Bros Ultimate(8m units sold-through), Pokemon SwSh(3m units opener), Luigi's Mansion 3(another big opener), Minecraft(Digital monster), and Zelda Botw. 

Last year Q3 without aggressive pricing for BOTW = 1.4m shipped and I do think it will ship around 2m-2.5m in this Q3 after that discount. 

Yeah I think that's the range as well.

LTD is going to be an absurd total, among the best ever for 1P-focused games.

2M to close out this year puts it at ~4.9M for the calendar year, basically flat from 2018, and sitting at ~16.5M total.  Greater than 2M results in an increase for Cal 18 > 19.

Even a 25% YoY in 2020 gets it over 20M by the end of the year.  More promotions and/or BOTW2 marketing cycle can boost it as well (think a direct sequel is more likely to boost it, not hamper it), depending on when it releases.

I think it's got its sights set on >25M LTD, maybe closer to 30M.  And then 1.61M from the Wii U version as gravy on top of that.

Also BOTW2's launch perf is going to be almost at Pokemon/Smash levels with this kind of WOM for the first. In the US it could be higher.

Unfortunately, I couldn't get any data this week.

So for some reason some of the 2017 Switch games I know we still sell aren't in the database, so there are a few glaring omissions this week.

Week ending 12-14:

Jedi: Fallen Order (week 4)

• PS4 (standard): 18,000
• XB1: missing from db
• Xbox One S bundles: 800
• Xbox One X bundles: 1700

Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice (week 39, Game Awards GOTY winner week)

• PS4: 500
• XB1: 200

Death Stranding (week 6): 3100

Super Mario Odyssey: 5300

Smash Ultimate: 19,100

Gears 5 (week 14): 1700

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe: 21,400

Great!!

Super Saturday week is up next!