Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Can Nintendo clear its FY2019 forecast in only 3 quarters ?

Can Nintendo beats its forecast in only 3 quarters ?

Impossible 8 26.67%
 
They will be close 14 46.67%
 
Strong probability for it 6 20.00%
 
Easily 2 6.67%
 
Total:30

It is a possibility, it might be the reason why they stick to a modest 18M, but this scenario doesn't look impossible at all, if the launch of the Lite is strong, if the combinaison of Shield/Sword/Lite + the whole line up of Q2-Q3 works more than expected, we could have this :

FY2019 Q1 : 2,13 M

FY2019 Q2 : 4,5 M

FY2019 Q3 : 11,5 M

Total at this point would be 18,13 M



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TGM3 MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Western record on TGM3 EASY : 1484
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

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Unlikely, I think they will do over 20m for the full year, but I don't think they'll do 18m in the first 3 quarters. Maybe 17.5m



They should be able to, 3 trimesters = 1 year :)

I think the term you mean is 3 quarters.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

Jumpin said:
They should be able to, 3 trimesters = 1 year :)

I think the term you mean is 3 quarters.

oh



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TGM3 MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Western record on TGM3 EASY : 1484
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

Maybe, but it depends on how much Switch Lite stock they'll have on hand because I have a feeling Nintendo is going to underestimate demand which will move a lot of those 3rd quarter sales into the 4th quarter.



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wombat123 said:
Maybe, but it depends on how much Switch Lite stock they'll have on hand because I have a feeling Nintendo is going to underestimate demand which will move a lot of those 3rd quarter sales into the 4th quarter.

Oh you think they will "really" underestimate it ?....

Apologize, I am one of those who believe that they can accurately estimate and plan an artificial shortage...Just a little bit, enough to make a strong marketing punch.



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TGM3 MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Western record on TGM3 EASY : 1484
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

What about Q4? Jan - Mar 2020 also belongs to FY2019... ^^



Amnesia said:
wombat123 said:
Maybe, but it depends on how much Switch Lite stock they'll have on hand because I have a feeling Nintendo is going to underestimate demand which will move a lot of those 3rd quarter sales into the 4th quarter.

Oh you think they will "really" underestimate it ?....

Apologize, I am one of those who believe that they can accurately estimate and plan an artificial shortage...Just a little bit, enough to make a strong marketing punch.

Eh, they definitely underestimated the original Switch launch, that thing was impossible to find throughout the entirety of 2017 pretty much.

On-topic, though, I think it's possible, yeah. Switch Lite and Pokémon will be (unfortunately) insane.



siebensus4 said:
What about Q4? Jan - Mar 2020 also belongs to FY2019... ^^

That's the point. He's saying can Nintendo pass their own fiscal year prediction in just 3 quarters of the fiscal year. 



Amnesia said:
wombat123 said:
Maybe, but it depends on how much Switch Lite stock they'll have on hand because I have a feeling Nintendo is going to underestimate demand which will move a lot of those 3rd quarter sales into the 4th quarter.

Oh you think they will "really" underestimate it ?....

Apologize, I am one of those who believe that they can accurately estimate and plan an artificial shortage...Just a little bit, enough to make a strong marketing punch.

I think Nintendo can accurately gauge demand in Japan but I also feel like they misjudge the west from time to time and this feels like one of those times.