Forums - Sales Discussion - NPD: PS4 2016 vs Switch 2019

How much more will Switch sell compared to PS4?

Switch will not outsell PS4 7 15.56%
 
500k-1 million 2 4.44%
 
1 million-1.5 million 12 26.67%
 
1.5 million-2 million 6 13.33%
 
2 million-2.5 million 5 11.11%
 
2.5 million-3 million 5 11.11%
 
Over 3 million 8 17.78%
 
Total:45

570k lead and Pokemon and the holiday season are yet to come... yeah, I don't see the Switch losing that one anymore.



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Updated with recent NPD leaks.

-Switch's 2019 easily beats PS4's 2016. Both consoles got revisions (Switch Lite, PS4 Slim, PS4 Pro)
-Switch managed to sell 2 million in December, making it the first console to do so since the Wii in 2010.
-Switch selling 6.5 million in 2019 is larger than any year PS4 has done. Its also the highest yearly sales since 2011.



Thanks for the comparation, was interesting to see.



2020 predictions: NSW 21m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 9m, XB1 3m
(PS5 and XSX predictions will most likely change after we know enough about them)

Good thread that was fun to follow throughout the year. If you eventually do a similar thread for Switch 2020 vs PS4 2017, can you post the link here?



Signature goes here!

Nice thread



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These results should silence all who doubted that Switch can beat the PS4's lifetime sales in the USA.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

RolStoppable said:
These results should silence all who doubted that Switch can beat the PS4's lifetime sales in the USA.

How much do you think Switch will end up at the end(USA)? 



LGBTDBZBBQ said:
RolStoppable said:
These results should silence all who doubted that Switch can beat the PS4's lifetime sales in the USA.

How much do you think Switch will end up at the end(USA)? 

45-50m. Revisions lead to repurchases of hardware and the latter half of Switch's lifecycle will see Switch take on the job that Nintendo handhelds have always fulfilled in the past, so a cheap handheld-only SKU will keep adding sales to the grand total until Switch's successor can start to satisfy the same purpose.

It's only now in 2020 that the 3DS is reaching the end of its run, and the 3DS was a far less popular console than Switch throughout its entire life. For perspective, the 3DS sold 4.0m in 2013 and was at 11.8m LTD by the end of 2013 whereas Switch sold 6.5m in 2019 and is at 17.0m LTD. That's a clear advantage in sales for Switch despite Nintendo frontloading the 3DS with more price cuts and revisions. Because of that, the gap between the 3DS and Switch will begin to grow at a much faster pace. ~7m for Switch in 2020 is what most people consider realistic, the 3DS sold only 2.6m in 2014. So the current gap of 5.2m through three years is going to grow by another 4.4m in only one year.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

MasonADC said:
Wow, the switch might end the year with around 6.5 million

lol great prediction, exactly spot on! :)



Bet with flashfire926: I think switch will win November NPD, and he thinks xbox one will win (if ps4 is victorious, it's a draw). Loser has to state that they lost in the signature for some time.

Excellent thread.



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