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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - How many million sellers will the Switch have in its third year?

 

How many million sellers will the Switch have in its third year?

1-5 2 7.14%
 
6-10 0 0%
 
11-15 5 17.86%
 
16-20 6 21.43%
 
21-25 7 25.00%
 
26-30 5 17.86%
 
31-35 0 0%
 
36-40 1 3.57%
 
41-45 0 0%
 
More than 45 million sellers. 2 7.14%
 
Total:28
Darwinianevolution on 03 March 2019

Well, after this thread, I'm going to continue to follow the rate of million sellers the Switch has. How many million sellers will the Switch have in its third year? I'm also going to take into account games released last year and the previous one that manage to reach the million this year.

I do hope we get numbers for digital sales, though.

EDIT: To clarify, I'm counting the amount of games crossing the million from March 3rd 2019 to March 3rd 2020. If they released in 2017 or 2018 and they are now crossing the line they count.

Switch Confirmed Million sellers (Year 1).

The Legend of Zelda Breath of the Wild
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
1-2 Switch
Arms
Splatoon 2
Super Mario Odyssey
Xenoblade Chronicles 2
Mario+Rabbids Kingdom Battle
Pokken Tournament DX
Super Bomberman R (¿?)

 

Switch Confirmed Million sellers (Year 2).

Kirby Star Allies
Stardew Valley
Pokemon Quest [FREE TO PLAY]
Fortnite [FREE TO PLAY]
Mario Tennis Ace
Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze
Nintendo Labo (combined sales)
FIFA 18
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
OctopathTraveller
Super Mario Party
Pokémon Let's Go Pikachu/Eevee
Warframe [FREE TO PLAY]
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate
Minecraft
Crash Bandicoot N. Sane Trilogy
Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker
Enter the Gungeon

Million sellers: 15

Million downloads: 3

 

Switch Confirmed Million sellers (Year 3).

Yoshi's Crafted World
 New Super Mario Bros U (2019)
Super Mario Maker 2
Fire Emblem: Three Houses
The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening (2019)
Pokémon Sword/Shield
Ring Fit Adventure
Astral Chain
Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3
Luigi's Mansion 3

Million sellers: 10

Million downloads:0

Last edited by Darwinianevolution - on 02 February 2020

You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

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The_Liquid_Laser on 03 March 2019

Wow, you made the poll a lot harder to guess this time. Before you could just click 10+ and be done. I know they are going to have a lot of million sellers this year, especially when you include previous releases that are crossing over the million mark this year. The question is, "how many"?

I guessed 26-30, but I really have no clue. It is going to be significantly more than the 15 that 2018 got though.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

Darwinianevolution on 03 March 2019
The_Liquid_Laser said:
Wow, you made the poll a lot harder to guess this time. Before you could just click 10+ and be done. I know they are going to have a lot of million sellers this year, especially when you include previous releases that are crossing over the million mark this year. The question is, "how many"?

I guessed 26-30, but I really have no clue. It is going to be significantly more than the 15 that 2018 got though.

Making the last one that easy was a mistake, I regreted it immediately when the million seller started to come. Plus, now that more games can reach the million, makes sense to reach higher numbers.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

Wyrdness on 03 March 2019

Million sellers in total out of the library or just how many will cross the 1m mark?



melbye on 03 March 2019

I chose the 16-20 option



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Darwinianevolution on 03 March 2019
Wyrdness said:
Million sellers in total out of the library or just how many will cross the 1m mark?

How many games will reach the million mark this year.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

peachbuggy on 03 March 2019

21-25 was my guess. Pretty hard to predict tho.



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TH3-D0S3R on 03 March 2019

21-25 for me.

It's just a mystery in terms of how 3rd parties will do and what they bring. If they eventually bring over games like GTA V, Kingdom Hearts, Persona 5, and the like, I could see it being above 30 titles.



The_Liquid_Laser on 03 March 2019
Darwinianevolution said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
Wow, you made the poll a lot harder to guess this time. Before you could just click 10+ and be done. I know they are going to have a lot of million sellers this year, especially when you include previous releases that are crossing over the million mark this year. The question is, "how many"?

I guessed 26-30, but I really have no clue. It is going to be significantly more than the 15 that 2018 got though.

Making the last one that easy was a mistake, I regreted it immediately when the million seller started to come. Plus, now that more games can reach the million, makes sense to reach higher numbers.

Yeah this way makes a lot more sense. 

Also I'm already laughing at the person who already voted 1 - 5 for this time.  Some votes aren't predictions so much as "I hate Nintendo" votes, lol.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

Shiken on 04 March 2019

Are we talking games that are only released in 2019? I would say 20-25 easy. Pretty much every exclusive is likely to at least break 1 mil on their own.



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