By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - How many will be Nintendo's forecast for FY2019 ?

 

Switch shipment forecast for FY2019 ?

below 17 5 5.10%
 
17 8 8.16%
 
18 18 18.37%
 
19 9 9.18%
 
20 34 34.69%
 
21 6 6.12%
 
22 6 6.12%
 
23 4 4.08%
 
24 1 1.02%
 
25 or more 7 7.14%
 
Total:98
AlbiNecroxz on 02 February 2019
Amnesia said:
I have been thinking (and I bought shares with this in mind), that this next Pokemon would break every launch records since the creation of the video games.
The install base will be around 45M, it is large enough to do a 10M+ first week.

I dunno, SM have sold 5.7m retail only, maybe with digital near 6m FW. If Nintendo will make bundle at 300$/euros, the 10m mark (ship+digital) it's not too far to reach imo



Zanark best Inazuma Eleven pg

Around the Network
Miyamotoo on 02 February 2019

If they can hit 17-18m in 2018. without price cut and revison, than they defiantly hit at least 20m in 2019. that will have stronger lineup than 2018. revision and price cut, so my bet is on 20m.



Kerotan on 02 February 2019

They'll probably aim for 20m again



PortisheadBiscuit on 02 February 2019

They'll be more conservative and go 17m



AngryLittleAlchemist on 02 February 2019

I think they will aim for 20M but that they can get to 22M if the revision is a lite model and comes out early in the fiscal year.



Around the Network
PAOerfulone on 02 February 2019

I think 19 million will be a safe bet too.
I'm expecting holiday 2019 to essentially be flat, or just slightly down with just Pokemon Gen 8. But I expect Animal Crossing to come out in late June or July and just about single handedly raise the Switch's baseline well above what it was from July to October 2018. If we get a new SKU/model or price cut that makes the Switch more affordable for handheld gamers, then I think it's an even safer bet.



Hardware Comparison Threads:

Current Thread

Is Hardware Getting TOO Powerful?

Older Threads:

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch: 2022 Edition

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch Hardware Battle: 2021 Edition!
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2019 vs. 2020
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2017 vs. 2018
PlayStation 4: 2015 vs. 2016 vs. 2017

xMetroid on 02 February 2019

This year is a pivital one and it will be way too hard to predict.
It depends on a new model, price cut, pokemon, animal crossing and their new game that "will make everyone happy" which i think could be the starfox gp thing.



zygote on 02 February 2019

We know we will see Animal Crossing and Pokemon this year. Possibly Mario Maker and a ton of 3rd party surprises. But the biggest element that will pull all of this Switch handheld potential together will be the Switch mini and its different color models bringing in a cheaper cost while appealing to multi system households, kids, girls, and artistic personalities. I expect more than 25 million if Nintendo markets and plays their cards correctly. If not, 20 million.



Jranation on 02 February 2019

20mil again



Pocky Lover Boy! 

Dulfite on 02 February 2019
Amnesia said:
Dulfite said:

Depends on when Pokemon and Animal Crossing launch. If late, probably close to 17, if both in the next couple months then 25 may be too small a number...

 

Especially if they launch cheaper more portable switch same time.

Could the main Pokemon alone in begining of Decembre 2019 produce more sales than Smash + the 2 Pokemon remake + Mario Party ?

Hardware sales? Yes. And especially with Animal Crossing, which does Pokemon level sales based on the last main entry, New Leaf. But again, I more think they will if they release early in the year, not December. Otherwise, it will be 2020 that has the megaton year.