That's what I hope to see more moving forward. Exclusive or not. There is no more hiding for the AA Japanese third party developers or even the AAA third party developers like Square, Capcom, Sega, Level 5, and Namco Bandai. Ports of good games are nice like maybe Persona 5, Soul Calibur VI, or whatnot, but some more original, new games with good care and marketing like Octopath Traveler and, hopefully, Shin Megami Tensei V and Yokai Watch 4 can also do wonders in building the Switch third party library. Xenoblade Chronicles 2 shows you can make an ambitious JRPG for the Switch while Octopath Traveler showed that original third party games can find success on the Switch.

They've always been able to it just required the developers/publishers not treating the games as throw away titles something many of them struggle to do for some reason, this is why indie games are doing so well.

Especially since it seems like PS4 is stalling in Japan despite it having Sony's full attention. I think the PS4 already is starting to hit the market ceiling.

It will be interesting to see where the smaller Japanese devs go from here. The Vita is like a background character, the 3DS has already taken its victory lap and a half, the PS4 has reached to a certain point in its lifespan in Japan, and the Switch is pretty much the focus. It showed based on this week's Media Create charts when the PS4 had two big AAA games in Resident Evil 2 Remake and Kingdom Hearts 3. To just barely top the Switch by only ~200 units says a lot about the PS4 and its place in Japan. Sure, there will be people who want a PS4, but the Switch has taken the mantle emphatically since it launched.

So why resist the Switch at this point, Japanese third party developers? The user base want more games and not just nothing-to-write-home-about ports. Unless you want to rely on mobile, the Switch is a great console to find an audience for. I'm not saying we should get games that look like (the actual) FFXV or Ghosts of Tsushima. But there is potential for the AA games to make a mark on the Switch. Professor Layton, Ace Attorney, Yokai Watch, Bravely Default, Rune Factory, Etrian Odyssey, and Story of Seasons have made their mark on Nintendo platforms, mainly handhelds. Why not start providing new entries in those series along with some new original games like Octopath Traveler? I cannot say that they will definitely be successful, but I think that they will not take as many resources as creating AAA games.

Most A-AA Japanese titles this generation were either 3DS exclusives or on a combination of PSV/PS3/PS4.

Most of the 3DS exclusives will transition to Switch and the PSV/PS3/PS4 multiplats will evolve into NSW/PS4/PS5.

Switch will get a ton of A-AA Japanese titles in the next few years.

After investor briefing, its obvious that Nintendo wants to start new FY very strong, so from April, thats why dont any release date for any Nintendo game past Yoshi.

People have different understanding on words meaning. Perhaps form him 15% is slightly =p

Well, should we ignore Nintendo being wrong 3 times when forecasting and keeping forecast of 20M them?

We can say VGC have been doing great last couple years, but not whole of this gen.

If you just looked at the total number error then sure it would seem smaller error. But for the first 2 years VGC were around 1M wrong each quarter for PS4 (probably basing their tracking on PS3).

That reply makes no sense at all.

As it doesn't make much sense to complain on Patcher saying they were on track to sell 9 or 13M. He have updated his prediction as more numbers came through, Nintendo didn't. Same way a lot of people here also didn't update their prediction, they kept 20M strong all the way through even December.

Well then the entire point of my original post went over your head