Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo FY Q3 Results (Switch 32.3m LT, Smash Bros 12m, Pokemon 10m..)

wombat123 said:
PAOerfulone said:
So out of the 22 million sellers on Switch, 7 of them are 3rd parties.
We obviously know that Octopath Traveler is one of them, what are the other 6?

My guessese
- Skyrim
- FIFA 18
- Crash N Sane Trilogy
- Sonic Mania
... That's the best I can come up with, I got no clue about the other two.

If I had to guess:
- FIFA 18
- Skyrim
- Crash Trilogy
- Mario + Rabbids
- Minecraft
- Super Bomberman R
- Stardew Valley

I didn't put Octopath Traveler because I don't know if it counts since 1m of its sales came from Nintendo publishing it.

I can't believe I completley forgot about Mario + Rabbids. That's obviously one of them. And I count Octopath because Nintendo only published it overseas. In Japan, Square Enix is the publisher and they are the ones who developed it. So I consider it a 3rd party title. 



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

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PAOerfulone said:
wombat123 said:

If I had to guess:
- FIFA 18
- Skyrim
- Crash Trilogy
- Mario + Rabbids
- Minecraft
- Super Bomberman R
- Stardew Valley

I didn't put Octopath Traveler because I don't know if it counts since 1m of its sales came from Nintendo publishing it.

I can't believe I completley forgot about Mario + Rabbids. That's obviously one of them. And I count Octopath because Nintendo only published it overseas. In Japan, Square Enix is the publisher and they are the ones who developed it. So I consider it a 3rd party title. 

It's Mario so it's easy to assume that it's a 2nd party game until you see that Ubisoft also published it.



zorg1000 said:
colafitte said:

Hahaha, i saw it earlier.... I guess VGC hates me.

 

If VGC shows Switch ended 2018 with 30'3M then, there's only 1'9M on shelves after shipping more than 9M in a month?....Excuse me but i doubt it. Probably there's more adjustments left. Last year Switch shipped 14'86M shipped total and around 7'5M shipped in Q3, with a lot of news everywhere saying there was no stock for Switch and still there was around 1'7M on shelves. If you ask me, there should be at least 2'5M on shelves and more close to 3'0M.

No, stock problems at the end of 2017 were pretty much exclusive to Japan. Also 2017 numbers were part of the adjustment.

End of 2017

Sold-13.18

Shipped-14.86

Difference-1.68

 

End of 2018

Sold-30.22

Shipped-32.27

Difference-2.05

 

I see nothing wrong with the numbers. If its overtracked than it's by such a low number that its not really worth arguing about.

Even if it was only in JP this would be the first time i see such minimal gap between shipped and sold after Q3, after selling more than 8 or 9M in Q3 even by Nintendo standars. And after knowing JP, US, and most important markets in Europe, everything still points to VGC overtracking some markets, like it happened with XBO recently. 

Edit: I find funny that VGC decide to adjust up the numbers after the official shipments. Was VGC then expecting even less shipments than me then??XD

Edit 2: For comparison in 2010, Wii after selling 17'3M according to VGC, VGC showed 82'1M sold when Wii had 84'64M shipped. So a difference of 2'5M units....It's the better comparison i can find.

Last edited by colafitte - on 31 January 2019

Acevil said:
zorg1000 said:

If by right you mean, right on his 3rd guess than I guess.

He originally said it was on track to do 8 million then changed it to 13 million before finally getting it right.

That's what I love about certain individuals that come troll the switch. They act like quick ly and think they are right because it didn't reach 20 million, when their prediction was originally much much lower at the start of it all. 

Are you talking about me, since I haven't ever made any prediction about Switch sales. I just found it funny that even though Pachter gets so much hate, this time it looks like he is the one who is going to be right.



"The rumours of my death have been greatly exaggerated."

- Single-player Game

colafitte said:

Edit: I find funny that VGC decide to adjust up the numbers after the official shipments. Was VGC then expecting even less shipments than me then??XD

Kinda funny, I concur. Let them be. Soon it will be shipped=sold for Switch here.

Kinda funny that PS4 sold more to consumers than Switch to retailers if u ask me.



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Do the software sales numbers reflect units shipped or sold through consumers. Numbers are still impressive though.



ratolmc said:
Do the software sales numbers reflect units shipped or sold through consumers. Numbers are still impressive though.

Shipped. It's always shipped.



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

colafitte said:
zorg1000 said:

No, stock problems at the end of 2017 were pretty much exclusive to Japan. Also 2017 numbers were part of the adjustment.

End of 2017

Sold-13.18

Shipped-14.86

Difference-1.68

 

End of 2018

Sold-30.22

Shipped-32.27

Difference-2.05

 

I see nothing wrong with the numbers. If its overtracked than it's by such a low number that its not really worth arguing about.

Even if it was only in JP this would be the first time i see such minimal gap between shipped and sold after Q3, after selling more than 8 or 9M even by Nintendo standars. And after knowing JP, US, and most important markets in Europe, everything still points to VGC overtracking some markets, like it happened with XBO recently. 

This is the first time you have seen such minimal gaps? Here are comparable Nintendo platforms after 2nd post-launch holiday.

DS end 2006

Sold-34.62m

Shipped-35.61m

Difference-0.99m

 

Wii end 2008

Sold-43.70m

Shipped-44.96m

Difference-1.26m

 

3DS end 2012

Sold-26.05m

Shipped-27.73m

Difference-1.68m

 

Switch end 2018

Sold-30.22m

Shipped-32.27m

Difference-2.05m

 

Bonus: PS4 end 2015

Sold-35.9m

Shipped-37.7m

Difference-1.8m



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

WhatATimeToBeAlive said:
Acevil said:

That's what I love about certain individuals that come troll the switch. They act like quick ly and think they are right because it didn't reach 20 million, when their prediction was originally much much lower at the start of it all. 

Are you talking about me, since I haven't ever made any prediction about Switch sales. I just found it funny that even though Pachter gets so much hate, this time it looks like he is the one who is going to be right.

Why are you ignoring that he originally said 8 million then 13 million before finally getting "right" with 16-17 million?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
colafitte said:

Even if it was only in JP this would be the first time i see such minimal gap between shipped and sold after Q3, after selling more than 8 or 9M even by Nintendo standars. And after knowing JP, US, and most important markets in Europe, everything still points to VGC overtracking some markets, like it happened with XBO recently. 

This is the first time you have seen such minimal gaps? Here are comparable Nintendo platforms after 2nd post-launch holiday.

DS end 2006

Sold-34.62m

Shipped-35.61m

Difference-0.99m

 

Wii end 2008

Sold-43.70m

Shipped-44.96m

Difference-1.26m

 

3DS end 2012

Sold-26.05m

Shipped-27.73m

Difference-1.68m

 

Switch end 2018

Sold-30.22m

Shipped-32.27m

Difference-2.05m

I'm not sure if you have seen my edit in that post. But 2008 is an unfair comparison because Wii in those holidays was impossible to find. That's why i used as a more accurate data 2010 numbers, where like i explained to were 2'5M on shelves. The same can be said about DS in 2006. The thing is when you ship more than 8M in Q3.

The fact that Nintendo is conservative about Q4 is another clue that there's still a lot of stock left.

Edit: Now i see your bonus for PS4 in 2015. An "exception that confirms the rule"..... This is just a theory, i could be wrong, i'm just  going by my instintcs... I just don't believe Switch is so low on shelves after today news...

Last edited by colafitte - on 31 January 2019