Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Very pessimistic Switch shipment analyse for 2019

I don't know from where that comes, my english is not strong enough and my VGC culture is still too weak to know how to consider this one :

 

https://nintendosoup.com/nintendo-switch-shipments-shrinking-by-25-in-2019-according-to-suppliers/



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Hmm, I wonder why.
I thought Switch sales were climbing as the library grows.



I LOVE ICELAND!

Why would Switch sales decrease in 2019 when they are releasing Animal Crossing, Next Gen Pokemon, Luigi's Mansion ans whatever other heavy hitter Nintendo hasn't announced yet, plus still riding the Smash wave? If anything, maybe they either are gearing up for a new Switch model and thus they don't need as many of the old pieces as possible, or they have gathered a lot of stock, and don't need new units produced with the same urgency.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

This is just one fucking " report" made by one guys with " connections"
Call it BS, have a nice day.



I saw this a week or so ago and my reading of it was that it's not shipments that are decreasing - production is decreasing. Nintendo ordered 24 million units for the current financial year and planned to ship 20 million of them but will likely ship 18 to 19 million. That should result in a stock of 4 to 6 million for Nintendo to ship in the next financial year (starting April 2019) on top of the 14 to 15 million units Nintendo have ordered as their production run for the next financial year. In all likelihood, it means Nintendo expect sales to stay at the current pace, rather than accelerate, which might suggest there's no plans in the next financial year for a major price cut or new model. Alternatively, a production run of 14 to 15 million for the current model might suggest Nintendo are preparing to introduce a new model in the next financial year and perhaps phase out the existing model.

There's also a good chance this report simply isn't accurate. The report does have some inconsistencies and hasn't been picked up by any mainstream gaming website - which suggests to me it simply isn't accurate or reliable information. For example, they claim sell through of 40 million units currently - which is around 10 million higher than what's likely. They also state that a Switch revision is definitely coming this year, but that's not been confirmed yet at all.



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Seems like a bunch of crap to me



Nothing to see here, move along

I think not for the whole 2019...
Say hello to Nintendo switch lite!
;)



Asriel said:
I saw this a week or so ago and my reading of it was that it's not shipments that are decreasing - production is decreasing. Nintendo ordered 24 million units for the current financial year and planned to ship 20 million of them but will likely ship 18 to 19 million. That should result in a stock of 4 to 6 million for Nintendo to ship in the next financial year (starting April 2019) on top of the 14 to 15 million units Nintendo have ordered as their production run for the next financial year. In all likelihood, it means Nintendo expect sales to stay at the current pace, rather than accelerate, which might suggest there's no plans in the next financial year for a major price cut or new model. Alternatively, a production run of 14 to 15 million for the current model might suggest Nintendo are preparing to introduce a new model in the next financial year and perhaps phase out the existing model.

There's also a good chance this report simply isn't accurate. The report does have some inconsistencies and hasn't been picked up by any mainstream gaming website - which suggests to me it simply isn't accurate or reliable information. For example, they claim sell through of 40 million units currently - which is around 10 million higher than what's likely. They also state that a Switch revision is definitely coming this year, but that's not been confirmed yet at all.

Another possibility is that Nintendo is shifting their orders from Taiwan to another country, so a rumor that has only Taiwanese sources wouldn't have the complete picture.

But most likely it's all bogus because the LTD figure is clearly off the mark.



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Are nintendo expecting it to sell less in 2019? huh? why?
At the very least, I expect it to match 2018..... sales wont go lower in 2019.

Rumor cant be right.



It's just a redistribution shakeup. Nintendo has been reshifting stock and selling more in new markets, so this is expected. Nothing to see here.