Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo Switch total shipment fiscal 2018 prediction

How many shipment for the NS in the FY2018

Less than 17M 8 16.67%
 
17-17,5M 3 6.25%
 
17,5-18M 2 4.17%
 
18-18,5M 7 14.58%
 
18,5-19M 10 20.83%
 
19-19,5M 3 6.25%
 
19,5-20M 7 14.58%
 
20-20,5M 4 8.33%
 
20,5-21M 2 4.17%
 
More than 21M 2 4.17%
 
Total:48
Amnesia on 17 November 2018

So, let's see the Gaussian that VGCHARTZ will generate here...

Can we disturb Nintendo's share curve with this prediction thread.

The 2 first Q1 and Q2 result is : 5,07M

 

Q1 2018 1.88 19.68
Q2 2018 3.19 22.87
Q3 2018 11.3 34.17
Q4 2018 3.6 37.77

(Q3 and Q4 are my personnal predictions for the optimistical scenario where they could reach 20M.)

Last edited by Amnesia - on 18 November 2018

Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TI MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

LET'S FACE THIS FACT : The Switch is the last physical video game system of the history who has a chance to beat PS2's sales.

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Barkley on 17 November 2018

18.5m



LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m

2020: PS4 - 9m, Switch - 22.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m

Amnesia on 17 November 2018
Barkley said:
18.5m

You forgot the vote ! :)



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TI MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

LET'S FACE THIS FACT : The Switch is the last physical video game system of the history who has a chance to beat PS2's sales.

MasonADC on 17 November 2018

18.5



PortisheadBiscuit on 17 November 2018

Keeping my prediction of 17-18m



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jonathanalis on 17 November 2018

Q1+Q2=5M
Q3=9.5M (+/- 1M)
Q4=3.5M (+/- 0.5M)
18M (+/- 1.5M)



Green098 on 17 November 2018

17.5-19.5M for April 1st 2018-March 31st 2019 (FY18)



Amnesia on 18 November 2018

Next wednesday with Japan charts release with Pokemon, we will have a big clue about this Q3.



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TI MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

LET'S FACE THIS FACT : The Switch is the last physical video game system of the history who has a chance to beat PS2's sales.

Miyamotoo on 18 November 2018

OP should mention that shipment of first two quarters was 5.15m.

In any case I wote for 18.5-19m (around 10m for Q3 and around 4m for Q4).



Amnesia on 18 November 2018

So we are on a ~18,7M... It will be interesting to see the result but this looks pretty realistic.

 



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TI MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

LET'S FACE THIS FACT : The Switch is the last physical video game system of the history who has a chance to beat PS2's sales.