Forums - Sales Discussion - How many units do you think SWITCH will sell in 2018 (sold through)?

Sold through in 2018

Less than 10 million 6 5.45%
 
10 million 2 1.82%
 
12 million 1 0.91%
 
15 million 21 19.09%
 
18 million 51 46.36%
 
20 million 21 19.09%
 
25 million 3 2.73%
 
More than 25 million 5 4.55%
 
Total:110

18M.

Looking on course WW to be slightly short of PS4 this year. PS4 already looking like it'll be fairly similar to last year, potentially ever-so-slightly less. (~19/20M).

With taking the above into account, and it'll be up somewhat YoY, I'll say 18M.

That said, there's potential for 20M+ (Pokemon, etc.), just the way it's looking right now, it'll be just below that, sold through.



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Wait a minute, my prediction was about shipments not sell through, this is what I understood from this thread cos they all give shipment numbers



15 - 20 million, depending on the line-up of the second half of the year.

So I'll go with the middle, 17.5M.



The_Liquid_Laser said:
about 12m. Momentum will decrease during the second half of the year.

Why would you think that? The lineup is stronger in the second half of the year then the first



MasonADC said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
about 12m. Momentum will decrease during the second half of the year.

Why would you think that? The lineup is stronger in the second half of the year then the first

2017 had 4 "big" selling titles: Mario, Zelda, Mario Kart, and Splatoon 2.  Hardware is still selling into 2018 because of the momentum from these 4 games.  That momentum is going to gradually wear off.  The only "big" title this year is Smash Bros.  Smash can move hardware, but it is still only one title.  Last year's line up was really a lot stronger than this year's.



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The_Liquid_Laser said:
MasonADC said:

Why would you think that? The lineup is stronger in the second half of the year then the first

2017 had 4 "big" selling titles: Mario, Zelda, Mario Kart, and Splatoon 2.  Hardware is still selling into 2018 because of the momentum from these 4 games.  That momentum is going to gradually wear off.  The only "big" title this year is Smash Bros.  Smash can move hardware, but it is still only one title.  Last year's line up was really a lot stronger than this year's.

I disagree, but this is one of those "we have to wait and see moment". 



17.7 million



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trent44 said:

By Dec 31st 2017, Nintendo Switch was 14.86m shipped and ~13m sold-through.

It will probably be at 18m shipped and ~16m sold-through by March 31st 2018.

So, By Dec 31st 2018 I would say Switch will be around 37.86m shipped and ~36m sold-through.

And by March 31st 2019, 42m shipped and ~40m sold-through.

>>>So, for just Jan 1 2018 to Dec 31st 2018, my prediction is 23 million sold-through

Whoa 23 million SOLD through......now that is a bold prediction.....even with the current start(which is not bad at all) do you still think it will hit 23 million SOLD THROUGH? And what are you basing such a bold and huge prediction off of to cause the sales to spike THAT much?

I am thinking between 15-17.5 mil.



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18-20M
16M as a bare minimum only if cryptomining-related horrible RAM prices remain horrible enough to make Ninty decide to pospone a larger production boost and the first NS price cut.



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If Pokémon comes this year 20mil if not 15mil.