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Forums - Sales Discussion - How many units do you think SWITCH will sell in 2018 (sold through)?

 

Sold through in 2018

Less than 10 million 6 5.45%
 
10 million 2 1.82%
 
12 million 1 0.91%
 
15 million 21 19.09%
 
18 million 51 46.36%
 
20 million 21 19.09%
 
25 million 3 2.73%
 
More than 25 million 5 4.55%
 
Total:110
MasonADC on 31 March 2018
The_Liquid_Laser said:
about 12m. Momentum will decrease during the second half of the year.

Why would you think that? The lineup is stronger in the second half of the year then the first



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The_Liquid_Laser on 31 March 2018
MasonADC said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
about 12m. Momentum will decrease during the second half of the year.

Why would you think that? The lineup is stronger in the second half of the year then the first

2017 had 4 "big" selling titles: Mario, Zelda, Mario Kart, and Splatoon 2.  Hardware is still selling into 2018 because of the momentum from these 4 games.  That momentum is going to gradually wear off.  The only "big" title this year is Smash Bros.  Smash can move hardware, but it is still only one title.  Last year's line up was really a lot stronger than this year's.



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MasonADC on 31 March 2018
The_Liquid_Laser said:
MasonADC said:

Why would you think that? The lineup is stronger in the second half of the year then the first

2017 had 4 "big" selling titles: Mario, Zelda, Mario Kart, and Splatoon 2.  Hardware is still selling into 2018 because of the momentum from these 4 games.  That momentum is going to gradually wear off.  The only "big" title this year is Smash Bros.  Smash can move hardware, but it is still only one title.  Last year's line up was really a lot stronger than this year's.

I disagree, but this is one of those "we have to wait and see moment". 



Mr.Playstation on 31 March 2018

17.7 million



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TheBlackNaruto on 02 April 2018
trent44 said:

By Dec 31st 2017, Nintendo Switch was 14.86m shipped and ~13m sold-through.

It will probably be at 18m shipped and ~16m sold-through by March 31st 2018.

So, By Dec 31st 2018 I would say Switch will be around 37.86m shipped and ~36m sold-through.

And by March 31st 2019, 42m shipped and ~40m sold-through.

>>>So, for just Jan 1 2018 to Dec 31st 2018, my prediction is 23 million sold-through

Whoa 23 million SOLD through......now that is a bold prediction.....even with the current start(which is not bad at all) do you still think it will hit 23 million SOLD THROUGH? And what are you basing such a bold and huge prediction off of to cause the sales to spike THAT much?

I am thinking between 15-17.5 mil.



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Alby_da_Wolf on 02 April 2018

18-20M
16M as a bare minimum only if cryptomining-related horrible RAM prices remain horrible enough to make Ninty decide to pospone a larger production boost and the first NS price cut.



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Matsku on 02 April 2018

If Pokémon comes this year 20mil if not 15mil.



Megiddo on 02 April 2018

16 mil due to a lackluster game lineup. I'm not expecting Labo to sell systems.



PotatoBug on 02 April 2018

I think that anywhere between 15-20 million units is a fair prediction. There's a lot of hype around Smash, Pokemon, Fire Emblem, and Metroid right now; delivering on those titles will be a key factor in driving more sales. (Although for me at least it's unclear if any of those games besides maybe smash bros will be out this year.) Nintendo also needs to clear away the uncertainty over their online services and launch their virtual console already.

I'm not too worried about a lack of content this year though, there's a string of great 3rd party and indie titles lined up at least. We've also already got a Kirby and a Yoshi game to start off the year which is nice. They can also continue to port over Wii U or even Wii games to keep a steady stream of first party content coming. Personally I would love to see something along the lines of a Zelda HD collections with Wind Waker, Twilight Princess, and possibly Skyward Sword bundled together.



Intrinsic on 02 April 2018
PwerlvlAmy said:
zorg1000 said:

That makes no sense, Pokemon cant cause 10 million extra sales over the course of a couple months.

you underestimate the power of the dark side

No. The Swith isn't the dark side. That title belongs tp sony being that every console they released since after the OG PS1 was black. Get your references in order damn it.

And to OP

25M+

 

This way whatever it does I can come say it didn't meet my expectations.

 

For the record I have the PS4 pegged to sell more than 7M in 2018.

 

And no. I am not biased at all.