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Forums - Sales Discussion - How many units do you think SWITCH will sell in 2018 (sold through)?

 

Sold through in 2018

Less than 10 million 6 5.45%
 
10 million 2 1.82%
 
12 million 1 0.91%
 
15 million 21 19.09%
 
18 million 51 46.36%
 
20 million 21 19.09%
 
25 million 3 2.73%
 
More than 25 million 5 4.55%
 
Total:110

Knowing what we do right now about the lineup for the year, which is to say Smash is the only huge title, I'm gonna say 16 million (voted 15 mil). Now if there are 3-4 other huge games coming from Nintendo and third parties that we don't know about then it could be like 18 million. Or if Pokemon comes then that and Smash alone would make 18 million, though I'm not expecting Pokemon.



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18M with no pokemon announcement, and no price cut



I'm gonna go with a lower 15 mil. The system will need a strong 2nd half to sell more I feel, more than simply Smash Bros.



 

              

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about 12m. Momentum will decrease during the second half of the year.



By Dec 31st 2017, Nintendo Switch was 14.86m shipped and ~13m sold-through.

It will probably be at 18m shipped and ~16m sold-through by March 31st 2018.

So, By Dec 31st 2018 I would say Switch will be around 37.86m shipped and ~36m sold-through.

And by March 31st 2019, 42m shipped and ~40m sold-through.

>>>So, for just Jan 1 2018 to Dec 31st 2018, my prediction is 23 million sold-through



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18m sold through and 20m shipped (no Pokémon, no pricecut and Labo not blowing up).



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

17-18M



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18M.

Looking on course WW to be slightly short of PS4 this year. PS4 already looking like it'll be fairly similar to last year, potentially ever-so-slightly less. (~19/20M).

With taking the above into account, and it'll be up somewhat YoY, I'll say 18M.

That said, there's potential for 20M+ (Pokemon, etc.), just the way it's looking right now, it'll be just below that, sold through.



Wait a minute, my prediction was about shipments not sell through, this is what I understood from this thread cos they all give shipment numbers



15 - 20 million, depending on the line-up of the second half of the year.

So I'll go with the middle, 17.5M.