Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction ps4 will sell 130+mill systems.

Ps4 will end at?

110mill 16 22.22%
 
120mill 24 33.33%
 
130mill 18 25.00%
 
140mill 7 9.72%
 
It will beat ps2. 7 9.72%
 
Total:72

I had a rather interesting discussion with a longtime friend of mine about next gen and ps4 sales, he firmly believes the rumours of ps5 being annouced and released next. Year.

 

I on the other hand firmly disagrees.

My prediction for ps5 is set on middel or the end of 2020 or begin middle 2021 release, sony just doesnt need to rush the ps5 and in 2019 not only will all big sony devs still working on ps4 games so i wonder what games ps5 would get in 2019 i also wonder how more powerfull and expensive can and would it be compared to the xbox one x, i just dont see sony doing that.

 

I then claimed ps4 would easily hit 130+mill where he started lauging and believes it wont even hit 110mill.

 

Here is what i predict.

250 or 200 dollar/euro ps4 2018.

20mills (250 price) or 22mill (200 price)

Then another 16-18 mill in 2019.

12-14mill if ps5 gets released or else 14-16mill in 2020.

2021 150dollar/euro ps4.

8-12mill

2022 ps5 will finnaly start selling much more and ps4 will slow down a lot

Prob around 4-6mill.

2023 maybe if lucky 2-3mill

Making the totall of around 130-140mill when all is said and done.



 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

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Your friend is a pessimist.
If he thinks it wont hit 110m lifetime sales.

After 2018, it ll be around 95m or so (imo) if it does like 20m this year.
2019, 2020,2021 ect.... how does it not do another 15m to go over 110m (in those 3 years)?



110m+ is all but guaranteed, 130m is possible but might be pushing it a bit.



LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m

2020: PS4 - 9m, Switch - 22.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m

JRPGfan said:

Your friend is a pessimist.
If he thinks it wont hit 110m lifetime sales.

After 2018, it ll be around 95m or so (imo) if it does like 20m this year.
2019, 2020,2021 ect.... how does it not do another 15m to go over 110m (in those 3 years)?

He belives ps5 will be announced this year at e3 or psx and ps4 sales will crumble down.

 

Many gamers really dont understand that damn thing is officaly still 299 after 5 years, there is enough room for growth.



 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

Barkley said:
110m+ is all but guaranteed, 130m is possible but might be pushing it a bit.

Yeah I think 110m is set in stone, theres just no way it does less lifetime imo.
120m+ is pretty likely to happend.
130m+ is if things go "right" for them the next 2-3 years (like it things go well).

Sony does have to start cutting prices though, it shouldnt be 299$ in its 5th year.

Last edited by JRPGfan - on 24 March 2018

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JRPGfan said:
Barkley said:
110m+ is all but guaranteed, 130m is possible but might be pushing it a bit.

Yeah I think 110m is set in stone, theres just no way it does less lifetime imo.
120m+ is pretty likely to happend.
130m+ is if things go "right" for them the next 2-3 years (like it things go really well).

Sony does have to start cutting prices though, it shouldnt be 299$ in its 5th year.

Being $299 in its fifth year matters less if sales are being sustained over the year prior. So far, that is the case. Making money is top priority. They’ll make it to, and beyond, 110m even with the price still being what it is. They’ll cut when absolutely necessary.



                                                                                                             

CGI-Quality said:
JRPGfan said:

Yeah I think 110m is set in stone, theres just no way it does less lifetime imo.
120m+ is pretty likely to happend.
130m+ is if things go "right" for them the next 2-3 years (like it things go really well).

Sony does have to start cutting prices though, it shouldnt be 299$ in its 5th year.

Being $299 in its fifth year matters less if sales are being sustained over the year prior. So far, that is the case. Making money is top priority. They’ll make it to, and beyond, 110m even with the price still being what it is. They’ll cut when absolutely necessary.

I dont own stock in sony.
To me top priority is getting the console into as many hands as possible, that can then enjoy what I do.
Is it silly that I want others to enjoy games because I do? probably,... I could just be happy Im able to do so but yeah.

Yes I think in its 5th year it should be cheaper, and they have done deals before (where I assume their still makeing profit).
So yeah they could cut price, and just sell it at break even point (like 199?) that would be cool.



CGI-Quality said:
JRPGfan said:

Yeah I think 110m is set in stone, theres just no way it does less lifetime imo.
120m+ is pretty likely to happend.
130m+ is if things go "right" for them the next 2-3 years (like it things go really well).

Sony does have to start cutting prices though, it shouldnt be 299$ in its 5th year.

Being $299 in its fifth year matters less if sales are being sustained over the year prior. So far, that is the case. Making money is top priority. They’ll make it to, and beyond, 110m even with the price still being what it is. They’ll cut when absolutely necessary.

Dont they only make a bit of a profit with a hardware sale? And prob a lot more with the services and games a person buys when they bought the hardware?

 

A bigger instal base does mean a lot more revenue so cutting the price could and should in the long term make them much more money.

 

Yet,ps4 is still selling like hot cakes so i understand that they want to wait as long as possible.

Last edited by xl-klaudkil - on 24 March 2018

 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

I think it'll end up more like 120 million, 130 million sounds too high for me.



120M has been my prediction since it was announced, but I would be happy if it does cross 130.