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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Prediction: Labo is going to flop

 

Sales prediction of Labo (in millions)?

<1 17 13.49%
 
1 12 9.52%
 
2 22 17.46%
 
3 16 12.70%
 
4 5 3.97%
 
5 16 12.70%
 
6 2 1.59%
 
7 1 0.79%
 
8 1 0.79%
 
>8 34 26.98%
 
Total:126

This might just be me being pessimistic, but I really don't think Labo is going to be the success that Nintendo is hoping that it will be. I'm predicting around 1 Million sales, 2 million if I'm being very optimistic. Less than 1 million if I'm being pessimistic.

If the price was around the same as the google cardboard this would be a different story, but it's not. I think it just too expensive for most people, considering what you get.

Last edited by Tmfwang - on 19 March 2018

Predicted 15+ million lifetime-sales for God of War:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=234612&page=1

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What do you think you get?



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

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I would say that 1m cardboard sales are pretty darn good sales. We are not on the Wii days anymore, and Nintendo knows it. Experiments like this are not expected to become the next hot thing, just to keep Nintendo in the minds of the consumers and to make some decent money.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

kirby007 said:
What do you think you get?

Cardboard.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

yea i think it will flop as well.



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kirby007 said:
What do you think you get?

Cardboard and minigames. However the general public (just an assumption, based on comments on it) thinks it just the cardboard. 

Still way too expensive for what it actually is.



Predicted 15+ million lifetime-sales for God of War:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=234612&page=1

Would 1 or 2 million really be a flop though? I can't see it costing much to develop/produce so that should be a pretty nice profit if it can sell that well.



Bet Shiken that COD would outsell Battlefield in 2018. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8749702

Whereas with Switch itself I was feeling like it's either a big hit or a flop, I'm not feeling much success with this one. I kind of hope I'm wrong, but at great as it sounds, I'm just not feeling it.



Tmfwang said:
kirby007 said:
What do you think you get?

Cardboard and minigames. However the general public (just an assumption, based on comments on it) thinks it just the cardboard. 

Still way too expensive for what it actually is.

Well thats where you made your first mistake. Comments about a casual/family focused product will always be negative on a "hardcore" gaming forum.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

ok, but you must define, what is a flop. Nintendo Labo is a really niche thing, so i dont think it is expected to sell that much. Nintendo is keeping iut really separate from their main line of games, that's why you will never see a nintendo labo peripheral for a mainstream game. Price wise, it's not that much really. Clearly you never bougth kids toys lately if you think the thing is overprice. a small lego set is around 50$ in canada. heck, last week i went to a disney on ice show, and for 65$ i got two mugs, a cheap plastic crown, cotton candy and a popcorn. my 89$ invested in the variety kit will get me much more for my money...

But, especially with the nintendo garage, which allow you to create your own labo contraptions, and program different things, it migth get the attention of schools at some point. I think it might be the poiint of the thing actually.

and remember that the target audience is not all switch owners., i preorder mine, because i have two kids that i hope will be thrill to build and draw on the thing, but i wouldnt have order it just to myself.

So prediction wise, i say it will sell less than a million, by the end of the year i expectg around 500k units, but i dont think nintendo will see that number as a flop.