Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo Software Predictions! Guess End of 2018 Lifetime Sales for SMO/Kirby/BotW.....

 

So again this is for the following titles only. 2017 releases are only the ones we know that will hit 1mil+ 100%  so no arms. 

 

You can edit or change predictions but you cant do it after apr 25th. Thats the deadline. 

 

Guess what the "Total" lifetime these games will have by end of 2018 (dec 31st). Shipped+digital

2018 releases that we have dates on (no ssb intill part 2 thread later date)

 

 

1st Party only

Super Mario Odyssey (9.07mil currently)

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (7 33mil currently)

Zelda: Breath of the Wild (6.70mil currently) Switch only

Splatoon 2 (4.91mil currently)

Kirby Star Allies (March)

Mario Tennis Aces (June)

 



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SMO: 14.1mil
MK8D: 12.8mil
BotW: 9.9mil
Splat2: 7.3mil
KSA: 2.1mil
MTA: 1.7mil



SMO:- 14m
MK8D:- 11.8m
BOTW:- 9.6m
Spla2n:- 8.5m
Kirby:- 1.75m
Mario Tennis:- 1.3m



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XC 2: 2.2 mi
SMO: 17mi
MK8D: 11.5mi
BotW: 10.5mi
Splat2: 8.7mi
KSA: 1.6mi
MTA: 1.5mi



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

The lack of XC 2 information in the OP is disturbing!



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

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Nautilus said:
The lack of XC 2 information in the OP is disturbing!

XC2 is amazing it and botw are amoung probably my top 25 games of all time.... That said it did amazingly well to even hit 1mil.... It wont hit 2mil. Even my over optimistic ass dont believe in 2mil lifetime.

 

Your free to predict XC2 though, i got no problem lol. I didnt add it or arma because nintendo doesn't update (usually) games that sell less than 1mil thay fy



tbone51 said:
Nautilus said:
The lack of XC 2 information in the OP is disturbing!

XC2 is amazing it and botw are amoung probably my top 25 games of all time.... That said it did amazingly well to even hit 1mil.... It wont hit 2mil. Even my over optimistic ass dont believe in 2mil lifetime.

 

Your free to predict XC2 though, i got no problem lol. I didnt add it or arma because nintendo doesn't update (usually) games that sell less than 1mil thay fy

Hohoho, and therein lies your mistake.It will do 2 millions, and it will hit it this year.

First of all, if Im not mistaken, Nintendo update numbers for the 10 best selling games on said platform, save exceptions(Like a game doing far better than expected).So given that there are few high profile first party games until mid 2018, we will get new numbers for XC2, simply because there wont be more than 10 million sellers first party games on the system, or at the very least not enough to drop XC 2 out of the list.

So until then we will get numbers for the title.And with it, comes my prediction:By the end of this quarter(so end of March), XC 2 will sell an extra 400 k, putting it very close to 1.5 million.And with 9 months left on the year, it will be easy to sell an extra 500k.Why do I say that?Well, simply because the legs of the game have been far better than any other in the series, and digital sales seems to be relatively high for the title.

We will see come end of April, but im pretty sure of this, and you will eat crow!



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

SMO: 15.2 mil
MK8D: 14.8 mil
BotW: 10.3 mil
Splat2: 8.5 mil
KSA: 1.7 mil
MTA: 2.5 mil



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tbone51 said:
Nautilus said:
The lack of XC 2 information in the OP is disturbing!

XC2 is amazing it and botw are amoung probably my top 25 games of all time.... That said it did amazingly well to even hit 1mil.... It wont hit 2mil. Even my over optimistic ass dont believe in 2mil lifetime.

 

Your free to predict XC2 though, i got no problem lol. I didnt add it or arma because nintendo doesn't update (usually) games that sell less than 1mil thay fy

In this case, even if it doesnt hit 1M fy, Nintendo will still display it until there are 10 titles that are ahead of xenoblade 2. Right now there are six titles ahead.

Kirby, Mario Tennis, Smash surpassing XC2 will make it have nine titles ahead of it, but lets not forget Xenoblade will likely surpass ARMS.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

flashfire926 said:
tbone51 said:

XC2 is amazing it and botw are amoung probably my top 25 games of all time.... That said it did amazingly well to even hit 1mil.... It wont hit 2mil. Even my over optimistic ass dont believe in 2mil lifetime.

 

Your free to predict XC2 though, i got no problem lol. I didnt add it or arma because nintendo doesn't update (usually) games that sell less than 1mil thay fy

In this case, even if it doesnt hit 1M fy, Nintendo will still display it until there are 10 titles that are ahead of xenoblade 2. Right now there are six titles ahead.

Kirby, Mario Tennis, Smash surpassing XC2 will make it have nine titles ahead of it, but lets not forget Xenoblade will likely surpass ARMS.

Not sure if thats the rule, with that said arms is selling better and its still ahead by a good amount. And we dont kno what the rest of the year has in store (like AC or FE)

 

That said your welcome to predict xc2 sales. I domt mind