Forums - Gaming Discussion - Prediction: PS4 will sell 95,000,000 by Dec 31. 2018

2013: 4.2M
2014: 14.3M
2015: 17.4M
2016: 17.5M
2017: 20.2M
2018: ~21M ?

 

This prediction assumes a permanent $199 price cut this year, if not, it won't reach it. If it does, 2018 will be peak year.

 

My previous yearly predictions which I've been doing since the start of this gen:

Prediction: PS4 will sell 20,000,000 by Dec 31. 2014

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=176130&page=1

Prediction: PS4 will sell 37,000,000 by Dec 31. 2015

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=196338&page=1

Prediction: PS4 will sell 55,000,000 by Dec 31. 2016

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=212195&page=1

Prediction: PS4 to sell 72,000,000 by end of 2017

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=224553&page=1



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I completely agree.



Write that prediction in your sig.



I predict 93.2m! But you might be right.



LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m

2020: PS4 - 9m, Switch - 22.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m

I will refrain from countering your prediction in numbers with my own, but I don't think we will see this big a pricecut this year.



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optimistic but possible. I think it depends on how many systems rdr2 and gow can sell and if these games can create as much hype as botw and Mario did for the switch. both games need to score 95+ on Metacritic to do so.



Im thinking it will return to 2015/2016 levels. I dont think we wll see $199 permanently this year, more likely $249 with holiday deals of $199 again but this time for more than just a week.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
Write that prediction in your sig.

I forgot how to do sigs man, disabled them a long time ago, the dumb anime gifs annoyed the hell outta me.



Pretty safe bet, but the $199 permanent price drop is seeming less and less likely, seeing as the console can still put up huge numbers without it. Honestly, I think at $199, it'll sell even more than 21M for the year.



0331 Happiness is a belt-fed weapon

Nozz-A-La said:
optimistic but possible. I think it depends on how many systems rdr2 and gow can sell and if these games can create as much hype as botw and Mario did for the switch. both games need to score 95+ on Metacritic to do so.

I'm sure Spider-Man would be much more important title than GoW. Much more hype and sells. Spider-Man's trailers have tens of millions views.

PS: sorry for my poor grammar.