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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Post E3 2017 - Predict Nintendo Switch’s lifetime sales

 

What will the lifetime sales of the Nintendo Switch be?

Less than 20m 2 0.83%
 
20m - 40m 10 4.13%
 
40m - 60m 27 11.16%
 
60m - 80m 68 28.10%
 
80m - 100m 77 31.82%
 
100m - 120m 32 13.22%
 
120m - 140m 7 2.89%
 
140m - 160m 6 2.48%
 
More than 160m 13 5.37%
 
Total:242

from 70mln to 120mln



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Switch could be on par with the Wii if the sales don't drop like the latter one's did. So, about 100M



65-75 mirrion troops!


It's basically gonna retain the 3DS install base without expanding it. Between the US and Japan it should do 50M, I dont expect it to be as yuge elsewhere.

110M? 160M?? Beware of crazy predictions, Nintendo fans really love their big numbers I remember the craziness for the Wii.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=55801

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=25067



Right now I'd guess.... 62m.



wish i could find what i predicted before

but right now, I think it could get to 75m



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celador said:
wish i could find what i predicted before

I know right after the horrible January presentation I predicted 35m. But after the "paid online", then the "Zelda only big launch title" and just seeing 10 minutes of 1-2-Switch a lot of people made very low predictions.

Then Zelda got 97 on metacritic, Mario Kart 8 still did great even though it's an old game and the paid online is only $20 and now isn't coming till 2018.



spemanig said:
Acevil said:
I started off really low and I will now raise it to 50-60 million max right now with 1/3 coming from purely Japan.

Switch is doing the worst in japan and the best in the US. Might want to update your numbers.

Switch is doing the worst in japan because it's getting the smallest shipments in japan. It has been selling through every single shipment it has gotten with ease. People are entering lotteries to get their hands on the Switch.

Switch sales numbers in japan don't reflect on actual demand in japan, but on nintendos shipping policy. Acevils prediction of ~20m in japan is just as possible as anything else, since we havent seen a normal non-supply contrained baseline in japan yet.



60-80M is my guess



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