from 70mln to 120mln
What will the lifetime sales of the Nintendo Switch be? | |||
Less than 20m | 2 | 0.83% | |
20m - 40m | 10 | 4.13% | |
40m - 60m | 27 | 11.16% | |
60m - 80m | 68 | 28.10% | |
80m - 100m | 77 | 31.82% | |
100m - 120m | 32 | 13.22% | |
120m - 140m | 7 | 2.89% | |
140m - 160m | 6 | 2.48% | |
More than 160m | 13 | 5.37% | |
Total: | 242 |
Switch could be on par with the Wii if the sales don't drop like the latter one's did. So, about 100M
The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing
The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/
Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/
65-75 mirrion troops!
It's basically gonna retain the 3DS install base without expanding it. Between the US and Japan it should do 50M, I dont expect it to be as yuge elsewhere.
110M? 160M?? Beware of crazy predictions, Nintendo fans really love their big numbers I remember the craziness for the Wii.
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=55801
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=25067
wish i could find what i predicted before
but right now, I think it could get to 75m
celador said: wish i could find what i predicted before |
I know right after the horrible January presentation I predicted 35m. But after the "paid online", then the "Zelda only big launch title" and just seeing 10 minutes of 1-2-Switch a lot of people made very low predictions.
Then Zelda got 97 on metacritic, Mario Kart 8 still did great even though it's an old game and the paid online is only $20 and now isn't coming till 2018.
spemanig said:
Switch is doing the worst in japan and the best in the US. Might want to update your numbers. |
Switch is doing the worst in japan because it's getting the smallest shipments in japan. It has been selling through every single shipment it has gotten with ease. People are entering lotteries to get their hands on the Switch.
Switch sales numbers in japan don't reflect on actual demand in japan, but on nintendos shipping policy. Acevils prediction of ~20m in japan is just as possible as anything else, since we havent seen a normal non-supply contrained baseline in japan yet.
60-80M is my guess
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