Forums - Nintendo Discussion - BOLD Prediction: Zelda BotW will do a Whopping 10mil Lifetime! Update 10mil Achieved

difficult

Wii U userbase is obviously shit, which is less of a deal for Nintendo's biggest games than for other consoles, but still important. And a lot of those people who are big Nintendo fans will be buying it on Switch. So how much will it sell on Wii U? I think 1-2m.

Then it is dependent on how successful Switch is. I think it could sell over 1m first week. It is difficult to say how much Switch itself will sell first week, but I think it should be over 1.5m, and for this game, especially given it's lack of competition, a 66% (or so) attach rate isn't ridiculous.

Then it is down to legs on the Switch. This will be pretty dependent on how successful the console is going forward. Zelda will, I imagine, be the most popular purchase overall when people buy new systems up until Mario in November (Splatoon 2 in Japan). I would guess it will be 5m-6m by the end of the year. It may have decent legs past that point given it's quality and name, and maybe even some double purchasing from Wii U owners coming forward a gen.

I will guess 8m lifetime



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RolStoppable said:
Yes, it's possible. Not because of the Metascore, but because this Zelda uses modern technology to create a game that is truly a sequel to what put Zelda on the map in the first place. Breath of the Wild has what it takes to have much better and longer legs than most of the games that came before it.

The game is going to sell 5m minimum, joining the ranks of OoT and TP is perfectly realistic, 10m+ is possible due to the direction of the game. A massive open world that allows players to play like they want, that's going to draw in people.

I think metascore will play just a small role into the road of 10mil sales. I say 10mil basically from what you said in your first paragraph. 

 

Only other factor ill add is the Switch portable system. I think japan can maybe add 1.5mil to that number if it catches on. Im expecting 750k lifetimw though for now (japan)



Goodnightmoon said:
Yes it will, the fact that you are making this thread gives me even more confidence about it.

 

I laughed to hard at this xD



If Nintendo made a launch bundle of the switch without the joycons, but instead with the pro controller and with zelda for 300 then i'd say for sure it would.



areason said:
If Nintendo made a lunch bundle of the switch without the joycons, but instead with the pro controller and with zelda for 300 then i'd say for sure it would.

That's unreasonable. We've already had a thread about how bad Switch games taste, so your idea isn't going to fly.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

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celador said:
Then it is dependent on how successful Switch is. I think it could sell over 1m first week. It is difficult to say how much Switch itself will sell first week, but I think it should be over 1.5m, and for this game, especially given it's lack of competition, a 66% (or so) attach rate isn't ridiculous.

I'd be surprised if it had less than a 80% attach rate to be honest. There is simply no other reason to get a Switch right now.



I'm thinking more 6 million combined, but it would be amazing if it could break that 10 million!



RolStoppable said:
areason said:
If Nintendo made a lunch bundle of the switch without the joycons, but instead with the pro controller and with zelda for 300 then i'd say for sure it would.

That's unreasonable. We've already had a thread about how bad Switch games taste, so your idea isn't going to fly.

So know you are using useless jokes, instead of going after my porposal? Please tell me why it is unreasonable.

For the people who aren't Mario fans and who in general want to play Zelda and maybe other action rpgs/action games such as Xenbolade 2, not having a pro controller bundle is a wasted opportunity. 

 



areason said:
RolStoppable said:

That's unreasonable. We've already had a thread about how bad Switch games taste, so your idea isn't going to fly.

So know you are using useless jokes, instead of going after my porposal? Please tell me why it is unreasonable.

For the people who aren't Mario fans and who in general want to play Zelda and maybe other action rpgs/action games such as Xenbolade 2, not having a pro controller bundle is a wasted opportunity. 

But you said "lunch bundle"...

But if you insist on a serious answer, your proposal is unreasonable because a Switch without Joy-Cons isn't a Switch out of the box anymore. That causes headaches for marketing the system.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

Sure! I doubted Zelda once, i won't make that mistake again :P