Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan Sales- Switch Year 1 vs 3DS and Wii U

Miyamotoo said:

Around 4 weeks until Switch hits 1m in Japan. Also only around 6 weeks of sales until Switch take 3DS in same time frame (Switch is 123k behing 3DS in same time frame).

This could actually get a close one as who reaches the million first, Switch or 3DS. It will probably be the 3DS, but considering the 3DS dropping down on weeks 12 and 13 and Switch production getting upped (thus possibly larger shipments inkoming) it's not safe yet



Around the Network

Nice Switch numbers.



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


Bofferbrauer said:
Miyamotoo said:

Around 4 weeks until Switch hits 1m in Japan. Also only around 6 weeks of sales until Switch take 3DS in same time frame (Switch is 123k behing 3DS in same time frame).

This could actually get a close one as who reaches the million first, Switch or 3DS. It will probably be the 3DS, but considering the 3DS dropping down on weeks 12 and 13 and Switch production getting upped (thus possibly larger shipments inkoming) it's not safe yet

not a chance... 3ds hits it in 2 weeks. Switch would need to sell amazing numbers for the next 2 weeks to do that before 3ds. It could pass 3ds in a few weeks, but not pass 1 mil before it does.



Follow my Gaming and Graphics Business on facebook and on Twitter:

https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=101878997952596&ref=br_rs

https://twitter.com/KellyGGWD

Miyamotoo said:

Around 4 weeks until Switch hits 1m in Japan. Also only around 6 weeks of sales until Switch take 3DS in same time frame (Switch is 123k behing 3DS in same time frame).

 

It'll be close. If Switch averages 45k weekly it will have very little wiggle room, only about 5k to spare. Then 3DS had a relatively strong week 17 due to the release of Ocarina of Time 3D. So I'd say 6 weeks or less is optimistic, 8 weeks if you want to be a little cautious and allow Switch to drop to the 40-45k range a few times. That's assuming no sudden bursts of new shipments or surprising drops in sales.



uran10 said:
Bofferbrauer said:

This could actually get a close one as who reaches the million first, Switch or 3DS. It will probably be the 3DS, but considering the 3DS dropping down on weeks 12 and 13 and Switch production getting upped (thus possibly larger shipments inkoming) it's not safe yet

not a chance... 3ds hits it in 2 weeks. Switch would need to sell amazing numbers for the next 2 weeks to do that before 3ds. It could pass 3ds in a few weeks, but not pass 1 mil before it does.

Ah ok, thought it would have taken a bit longer for the 3DS.

Btw, could you include the sales of the upcoming week for Wii U and 3DS in the chart so we could see what the Switch will be up against? It's sometimes really stressful to see the Switch numbers in the Media Create thread and not knowing if it's enough to beat both combined or not - and in the future probably if the Switch can keep up with the 3DS sales after it's pricecut



Around the Network

I got this, Miyamotoo. I'm the charts guy around here.



the_dengle said:
Miyamotoo said:

Around 4 weeks until Switch hits 1m in Japan. Also only around 6 weeks of sales until Switch take 3DS in same time frame (Switch is 123k behing 3DS in same time frame).

 

It'll be close. If Switch averages 45k weekly it will have very little wiggle room, only about 5k to spare. Then 3DS had a relatively strong week 17 due to the release of Ocarina of Time 3D. So I'd say 6 weeks or less is optimistic, 8 weeks if you want to be a little cautious and allow Switch to drop to the 40-45k range a few times. That's assuming no sudden bursts of new shipments or surprising drops in sales.

3DS also had few weeks below 20k, so around 6 weeks where Switch makes around 20k difference compared to 3DS sales will be enuf.



The Switch is nearing 1 million in Japan, will likely reach it by the end of this month.



It's doing better worldwide I guess



God bless You.

My Total Sales prediction for PS4 by the end of 2021: 110m+

When PS4 will hit 100m consoles sold: Before Christmas 2019

There were three ravens sat on a tree / They were as blacke as they might be / The one of them said to his mate, Where shall we our breakfast take?


0D0 said:
It's doing better worldwide I guess

What do you mean? it's doing better than the PS4 did.