Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Prediction:Switch will go on to sell 100+ million units

Pyro as Bill said:
Guitarguy said:

THANK YOU!!!!

Some people on the internet seem to think that soccer mums, aunties, grandparents etc will be begging Nintendo to be able to buy the Switch like what happened with the Wii. But the Wii was extremely affordable as it was essentially an up-clocked Gamecube with no expensive large LCD/OLED portable 720P screen. Just because a reveal has X million views in Y amount of days does not correlate to day one or even lifetime sales.

It might be a mega success, it might be an utter failure. You can never really tell. The Dreamcast broke US launch records at the time and that console barely broke the 10 million unit barrier AND it had great third party support.

F*ck the Wii

The 'casuals' loved this too and it smashed Wii's sales

You are not wrong, but handheld gaming has definately seen a steep decline with the rise of mobile gaming. I think Nintendo is wrong in targeting casuals/non-gamers. I don't think that non-gamers make up a decent percentage of of the PS4's massive success. Casuals and non-gamers(soccer moms, grandparents etc) don't splash out $299+ for a console anymore, at least not in droves of tens of millions. The Wii was an anomaly and prior to tablets and smart phone gaming. I think the majority of people that buy consoles now are people specifically interest in video games as a medium, not someone's aunty.



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Tagging, I'll read your thoughts later..

..but I do think it has the potential to hit 100M, whether it will is a different story



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Prediction: In 5 years Nintendo will Lauch a "Core Mario game"  very similar to Astro Bot. That said, many will Ignore Astro Bot existence and say Nintendo created this concept.

Ryng_Tolu said:

The first impression from internet looks really good. It's nowhere close to what was the Wii U back in 2011, where people didn't even knew was a new console... the youtube trailer is now at over 15 million views in only 3 days, already half of PS4 in almost 4 years.

You do realize that the PS4 got the VAST majority of those views in the first few days, or a week, right?  So, the 4 years things doesn't really mean anything.



Pyro as Bill said:
Guitarguy said:

THANK YOU!!!!

Some people on the internet seem to think that soccer mums, aunties, grandparents etc will be begging Nintendo to be able to buy the Switch like what happened with the Wii. But the Wii was extremely affordable as it was essentially an up-clocked Gamecube with no expensive large LCD/OLED portable 720P screen. Just because a reveal has X million views in Y amount of days does not correlate to day one or even lifetime sales.

It might be a mega success, it might be an utter failure. You can never really tell. The Dreamcast broke US launch records at the time and that console barely broke the 10 million unit barrier AND it had great third party support.

F*ck the Wii

The 'casuals' loved this too and it smashed Wii's sales

Let's see...Launch price of $149, in a world with NO mobile gaming VS. launch price of possibly $299, in a world where casuals have moved over to mobile gaming in large numbers.  Hmmm? Not exactly apples to apples is it?



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Guitarguy said:
Pyro as Bill said:

F*ck the Wii

The 'casuals' loved this too and it smashed Wii's sales

You are not wrong, but handheld gaming has definately seen a steep decline with the rise of mobile gaming. I think Nintendo is wrong in targeting casuals/non-gamers. I don't think that non-gamers make up a decent percentage of of the PS4's massive success. Casuals and non-gamers(soccer moms, grandparents etc) don't splash out $299+ for a console anymore, at least not in droves of tens of millions. The Wii was an anomaly and prior to tablets and smart phone gaming. I think the majority of people that buy consoles now are people specifically interest in video games as a medium, not someone's aunty.

 

thismeintiel said:

Let's see...Launch price of $149, in a world with NO mobile gaming VS. launch price of possibly $299, in a world where casuals have moved over to mobile gaming in large numbers.  Hmmm? Not exactly apples to apples is it?

Non-gamers/casuals have never paid for a console.

They did pay nearly $200 for Brain Training and $350 for Wii Fit with a free copy of Wii Sports.

The most they've paid (if anything) for a mobile game is $5



Nov 2016 - NES outsells PS1 (JP)

Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!

Portable Splatoon, in the form of an upgraded port or sequel. as a launch title? 25mil sold in Japan alone by end of 2017 lol



Gaming content for gamers, by gamers. It's just common sense.

I think it could be possible if Nintendo is going all in. Which looks to be the case.



In the wilderness we go alone with our new knowledge and strength.

Pyro as Bill said:

 

Non-gamers/casuals have never paid for a console.

They did pay nearly $200 for Brain Training and $350 for Wii Fit with a free copy of Wii Sports.

The most they've paid (if anything) for a mobile game is $5

Well the Wii was a console...




Yea I dont see it happening. You really underestimate the impact of mobile and pc gaming in gaming industry lately