Forums - Sales Discussion - Early Nintendo Switch Sales Predictions

Now that Nintendo has unveiled the Nintendo Switch I'm curious to see what you all think how well it will sell at launch/lifetime? I know we still don't know the price and what kind of third party support it will get, so these are just early predictions and guesses.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

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25-30mln LTD. Even at that, I am feeling like I am significantly overrating it.



100+ million lifetime.Im going to make a thread today to explain myself.



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

I believe that, if Nintendo manages a good launch and keeps droughts in check, it coud reach 50m units. 60m at best. The bulk of the profits are going to be the software sales.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

If it is $300 and has a mainline Pokemon game I see 30m-40m easily. If it gets third party support as good as the PS4 and Xbox One I believe it could sell 50m+. Right now Sony has such a strong foothold (and even Microsoft has turned things around) that I don't see it selling 100m+.

Worst case scenario I see is sales in the 10m-20m range. That is if the price is $400 or more with poor third party support past launch and no mainline Pokemon games.

 

I could be completely wrong though. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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20M. This topic reminds me of the WiiU one where 60M was about the consensus.



Lawlight said:
20M. This topic reminds me of the WiiU one where 60M was about the consensus.

These are just early guesses. I expect most of us to be way off. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

I'm going to say 70M lifetime



Its impossible without knowing the price. If its $250, 70 million, if its $300, 55 million. Anything higher... RIP. Provided Nintendo doesn't have any other device in the works.



             

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trunkswd said:
Lawlight said:
20M. This topic reminds me of the WiiU one where 60M was about the consensus.

These are just early guesses. I expect most of us to be way off. 

Sure but it'll be great for people to explain why they think it'll be that number. Mine is because of the general Nintendo console trend.