I just wanted to type something. MS are always keen on pointng out the last 4 months of the year are where it's at. They've not mentioned it this year ...

14 hours since last update:

HARDWARE
#36 XB1s-500gb Halo Bundle (same)
#51 PS4 Fool's Edition (down 7)
#52 PS4 Black Ops III Bundle (down 7)
#69 XB1s-2tb (up 16)
#76 Vita (down 2)
#90 XB1s-1tf Madden Bundle (down 9)
#99 PS4 UC4 Bundle (re-entry)

SOFTWARE (pre-orders only)
#07 3DS Pokemon Sun (down 5)
#08 3DS Pokemon Moon (down 3)
#10 3DS Pokemon Sun&Moon (down 2)

I know Abdiel, the Best Buy insider on GAF said that Xbox One S hadn't exactly been explosive in his district. They did a good amount of preorders, then everything eventually evened out and settled down. PS4 did about as expected. I'm expecting just over 300k for XBOS on my end.  

Oh sorry, i thought 500k was your prediction. That's seem more reasonable then.

4 hours since last update:

HARDWARE
#32 XB1s-500gb Halo Bundle (up 4)
#51 PS4 Fool's Edition (same)
#52 PS4 Black Ops III Bundle (same)
#66 XB1s-2tb (up 3)
#82 XB1s-1tf Madden Bundle (up 8)
#83 Vita (down 7)

SOFTWARE (pre-orders only)
#03 3DS Pokemon Sun (up 4)
#05 3DS Pokemon Moon (up 3)
#10 3DS Pokemon Sun&Moon (same)

Tag

5 hours since last update:

HARDWARE
#43 XB1s-500gb Halo Bundle (down 11)
#51 PS4 Fool's Edition (same)
#53 PS4 Black Ops III Bundle (down 1)
#67 XB1s-2tb (down 1)
#85 XB1s-1tf Madden Bundle (down 3)
#87 UC4 Bundle (re-entry)
#85 Vita (down 2)

 SOFTWARE (pre-orders only) 
#06 3DS Pokemon Sun (down 3)
#08 3DS Pokemon Moon (down 3)
#09 3DS Pokemon Sun&Moon (up 1)

The XBs is performing really badly for an enhanced, slimmer, cheaper version of the XB1, especially when you consider the bundle that's slipping down the charts has also got three free games included. The PS4 is clearly being affected by news of the Slim and the Neo. People have to remember that when the PS4 was performing well, it was nearly always in the top 20 and we've already established that anything outside of the top 20 doesn't significantly affect sales numbers. As you go further down the charts the differences become smaller between the console places so having 2 PS4s after 1 XB1 is likely the reason the first update of Sep has the PS4 in the lead.

It's becoming ever clearer that to use Amazon as a clear indication of who won the month we have to have three criterias in mind: The console in question HAS to establish itself in the top 20 and stay there for most of the month, outside of the top 20 we have to consider how many of the opposing console are just below it and (of course) pe-orders are often the deciding factor even though one particular console has lead for the duration of the month. It's the latter that will decide this month and give the XB1 a decent sized win.

As Shadow pointed out in another thread, once the Slim and the Neo launch we're likely to see the PS4 in the lead again, but it HAS to sustain a top 20 position for the month in order to give us any significant numbers. I think it will.

6 hours since last update:

HARDWARE
#39 XB1s-500gb Halo Bundle (up 4)
#51 PS4 Fool's Edition (same)
#57 PS4 Black Ops III Bundle (down 4)
#78 XB1s-2tb (down 11)
#97 XB1s-1tf Madden Bundle (down 12)
#98 Vita (down 13)

 SOFTWARE (pre-orders only) 
#07 3DS Pokemon Sun (down 1)
#08 3DS Pokemon Moon (same)
#09 3DS Pokemon Sun&Moon (same)

I will take Vgchartz's prediction and stay with 10 Millions for the month.

Judging by that, without preorders, XBO may have been looking at a 10K win, again. Now, we just need to see how preorders have gone at other retailers. Like I said in another thread, a 50K or lower gap above the PS4 for August NPD will be a disappointing result for the XBO. Personally, I think I predicted 75K-100K, but we will have to wait and see.

This seem very low.

It's a new model month, sales for XBO are gonna be strong at least those two months, while PS4 has nothing which can boost sales by a decent margin (yes i don't think NMS is a system seller, even if will probabily sells good)

120-180K gap is the most likely range.