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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Will Majora's Mask 3D outsell the original?

 

Will Majora's Mask 3D outsell the N64 version?

Yes. 121 57.35%
 
No. 72 34.12%
 
See results. 18 8.53%
 
Total:211
Metallox on 10 January 2015
the_dengle said:
Metallox said:

Based on all the popularity that has been getting all these years. A Link Between Worlds wasn't that expected, I mean, not even me was that interested in it, as a huge Zelda fan. I don't know, but I truly feel it could manage to get those numbers. Of course, I can be wrong and I don't deny it, but meanwhile, I say it can.

Majora's Mask is not "popular" the way Mario Kart or Smash Bros or Ocarina of Time are popular. It is "popular" the way Mega Man Legends is popular.

We'll see what happens.



My bet with The_Liquid_Laser: I think the Switch won't surpass the PS2 as the best selling system of all time. If it does, I'll play a game of a list that The_Liquid_Laser will provide, I will have to play it for 50 hours or complete it, whatever comes first. 

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Materia-Blade on 11 January 2015
the_dengle said:
Metallox said:

I'm pretty sure that the demand s there, just enough to outsell Ocarina of Time 3D.

I'm tempted to use a laughing gif but I feel like it would be too mean in this instance. There is absolutely no reason to expect MM3D to achieve anything close to OoT3D's sales. Ocarina was practically a launch title, it had the console's full lifetime to sell. The 3DS is halfway out the door by the time MM3D comes out, it's not going to have anything that remotely resembles legs.

Where do you expect those >3.5 million sales to come from? Not from Japan, where gamers likely don't give a single damn about Majora's Mask (its apparent resurgence in popularity is a Western phenomenon). And yet certainly not from the West, where gamers don't give a single damn about the 3DS.

I should remind you that a brand new Zelda game has been released on the 3DS since Ocarina, and its sales are nothing to write home about. You are expecting Majora's Mask to outperform both of these games. Based on what? By all accounts, I expect Majora's Mask to sell worse than either of them.

Here's a lifetime sales prediction from yours truly: Japan -- 400k; USA -- 900k; Europe -- 600k. Perhaps 2 million globally when all is said and done.

 

It would have been the Bender one from Futurama. "Oh wait, you're serious. Let me laugh even harder."

being released early also means less potential buyers at launch. mm 3d will have a 50m base when it launches.



Nogamez on 11 January 2015

Well i dont.think it will outsell the original it shall d well. Thing with 3ds alot of people download games cos who wants to kart around aload of cartridges so its really hard to tell truly what a game actually sells anymore. I for one downloaded ALBW



Lucas-Rio on 11 January 2015

It won't.

OOT3D barely did and it is much more popular than MM, and was also ther first remake. ALBW which is a great new game did not beat it.

I bet for 2 millions.



NoirSon on 11 January 2015

If marketed right, it will. The problem with the original was the timing it was released, if Nintendo puts some effort into marketing it, they will not only get fans that played the original but those that heard the reviews and massive praise it gets from those fans online, plus gamers that just love playing new Zelda games and weren't around the first time it was released.

But it will all depend on how the push the game upon release, if they just drop it out there with little to know outside push besides a few online trailers, then the game will do decent numbers probably sell over 1.5 million but not much more then that.



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burning_phoneix on 11 January 2015
Metroid33slayer said:

Not a chance at all i'm afraid. MM will forever be in the shadow of OOT (sales wise) because it lacks accessibility. I dont think MM3d will come close to OOT 3D or the n64 MM, I do however think it has a shot of matching the 2.2m sales of ALBW though and what a huge kick in the teeth that would be for nintendo if remade versions of their 17 and 15 year old games were more sucessful than their most recent creation. It would really damage Miyamoto's/ Aonuma's ego as they're always banging on about innovation yet people prefer their ancient stuff, It would also show a real lack of progression or it could mean that OOT and MM are timeless classics.


You do know that ALBW is literally based on the "ancient stuff" you talk about? It's a direct sequel to A Link To the Past.

 

 

Also @OP: The expansion pack wasn't THAT much of a problem. It came free with DK64 and you needed it to play Perfect Dark so I'm sure a fair number of N64 owners had it, but it probably did hurt the sales a bit.

 

---

 

I'm gonna go big and say it will sell 4 million lifetime.

 

This is due to several factors:

"But OoT3D only sold 3.35m!"

OoT was overshadowed by the release of Skyward Sword on Wii in addition to the slow sales of the 3DS at launch, by the time most people got their 3DSes, A remake of a game they've probably already played or seen many times.

"ALBW couldn't beat OoT and it's a brand new game!"

Let's face it, the 2D original style of Zelda was never as popular as the the newer 3D style.

"It's just a remake of a poorly sold Zelda!"

Let's face it, MM is now considered the "lost masterpiece" of the Zelda series. The hype and mystique surrrounding it ( justified or not) is unreal and even Wind Waker managed to sell 1.5 mil on a system with one fifth the install base of the 3DS. A lot of people want to know what they missed back in the N64 days.

"But WWHD was a bundle!"

I'm actually expecting the New3DS will be bundled with Majora's Mask. No real logic behind my prediction, just a hunch.



the_dengle on 11 January 2015
Materia-Blade said:

being released early also means less potential buyers at launch. mm 3d will have a 50m base when it launches.

Adventure of Link, Minish Cap, Spirit Tracks, Skyward Sword, and of course the original release of Majora's Mask all had this advantage as well. Shocker, the first Zelda game released on any given console is also its best-selling. On no console has the second or third Zelda release sold more than a previous release on that console, excepting Twilight Princess on GameCube outselling Four Swords Adventures (I think we can agree that was a special case).

(There's another sort-of-exception for the Oracle games outselling Link's Awakening DX... but was that really the first Zelda game for GBC, or was it the second Zelda for GB? Well, it was both. It's weird. Anyway, the Oracles were brand-new games outselling a re-release of a 5-year-old game.)



Ryng on 16 March 2015
spemanig said:
Nah, I don't think so. 1-2.5m.

Already lost.



Nuvendil on 16 March 2015

It's possible. MM on N64 had several things going against it that OoT did not. MM required an extra piece of hardware to be played. It also came at the end of the N64's lifecycle. Plus OoT got a lot of sales on the basis of being the first 3D Zelda, an advantage MM didn't have. However, no such advantage now exists in either's favor. Also, when OoT came out, the 3DS's quality/value/future were in question. Now the 3DS is recognized as one of the strongest dedicated gaming platforms around, definitely the strongest handheld. There's a lot of variables to consider, but I think that it has a chance. It's just by no means certain.