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Forums - Sales Discussion - I was wrong: Wii U will sell < GC

Here are my predictions:

-Last Gen>Current Gen regarding console sales

-Wii>PS4

-WiiU>Xbox1>NGC

WiiU is at the moment the best console to own considering games, network and how it runs. I personally have a Wii U and a PS4 and family & friends go for WiiU. That cannot be coincidence.

What is WiiU missing? Promotion and Marketing! Nintendo MUST focus on pushing its products intensively. It does push Mario Kart 8 well but can do better.

I think WiiU will do the same as PS4 at the end of this GEN. Many years lie till then, but just my prediction.
And to explain myself, till 3 million for me it is not a big difference.

Cheers :)



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I think the Wii U has potential, untapped potential.



Yakuzaice said:

Just how long do you think the Wii U lifespan will be?  If it won't be "until another 2-3 years" that it picks up the slack, and a price drop "won't happen for a bit yet", when is it going to sell the rest of its 75m?  Why will dropping the price carry the Wii U to 75m when it couldn't do it for the NES/SNES/N64/GC?  The Wii also probably wouldn't have made it to 75m if its casual games had performed like they have on the Wii U.  It isn't only system price either, casual games have done much worse compared to last generation on the 3DS as well.  Plus, adjusted for inflation a $250 Wii in 2006 is nearly the same price as a $300 WIi U today.  Then of course there is the fact that there have been numerous clearance deals for even cheaper than the Wii and they haven't moved the needle.

There just isn't any evidence that the market that wants a second system to play Nintendo games is large enough to carry the Wii U to 75m.  Even the 3DS is looking like it might only limp across 75m, and that did substantially better than the Wii U in its early years.

You seem to miss the idea of "wait and see", that implies that there's nothing but useless back and forth conversations until it either performs as I expected or not. The difference between the other systems was that they were heavily early adopter systems, whereas people steered clear of the Wii U, due to lack of interesting games and high price.



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lol.................no, it won't. But cheers.



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Maybe.....

If the Mario Kart 8 bundle gets restocked (sold out everywhere), I can see WiiU sales sky-rocket.

If the Mario Kart 8 bundle was a limited edition bundle, then WiiU will struggle to top Gamecube.

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Either way I still think WiiU > GCN in terms of sales, console lifetimes are longer now, WiiU will be around more then 5 years (like Gamecube).



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phaedruss said:
Smear-Gel said:
Max King of the Wild said:
Aerys said:
Yes and no.

Wii U will sell less than GC in the same time, but since Wii U could have a longer life, it could sell more


Why would nintendo stick with a product longer then they stuck with a product that was selling better? Wii U won't make it past 2017.


http://www.joystiq.com/2014/06/21/nintendo-of-america-president-wii-u-has-a-very-long-life-ahea/

How long is a "very long life"?

 

To Ohmylanta: I meant 3 more years and that's being optimistic because I think they'll have a new console out by the end of 2016.

 

A long life is definitely not 2012 to 2016, at the very least.



It's pretty sad really, Wii-U should have been Wii HD and have launched one or two years earlier for $250 without the gamepad. Then the gamepad could have been launched later on with one or two killer apps(Mario maker?).



I think Wii U will have great christmas 2014 and decent 2015 sales, something like this seems possible :
July 2014 : 6,5 mils
Mid-november 2014 : 8 mils
January 2015 : 12 mils
Mid-november 2015 : 15 mils
January 2016 : 18 mils
January 2017 : 22 mils
Life-time : ~25/30 mils (PS4 : ~100/110 mils, XBone : 35/40 mils)

So between GameCube and Nintendo 64 sales.



I wonder if your just decided you was wrong after seeing this weeks sales because I disagree to be honest. I think they can and still plenty of time to prove it.