Forums - Gaming Discussion - Halo 5 vs. Uncharted 4 vs. Zelda U - Reality check necrobump!

tbone51 said:
eFKac said:
Expecting Halo 5 to sell the best, score the worst.
Uncharted 4 to sell second, score the best.
Zelda to sell the worst, score second.


For scoring wise, Uncharted + Zelda always get good scores (90+), i thinkits safe to assume both will easily do it. I cant judge Uncharted, but for LoZ its getting praised for being opened world (which literally everybody wanted for over 10 years now). It might, if it still plays as well has a chance imo to be 94-96

Of Course doesn't stop Uncharted 4 as U2 got a 96

Ohh yeah Zelda will probably score high, my reasoning for Uncharted on top, is that it looks like Uncharted 4 will be the last in the series. There will be conclusion, it will be huge, they are going to end it with a bang. Plus Druckmann & Straley duo.

"One last time"

It will be big, it will be GOTY.



So it is happening...PS4 preorder.

Greatness Awaits!

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eFKac said:
tbone51 said:
eFKac said:
Expecting Halo 5 to sell the best, score the worst.
Uncharted 4 to sell second, score the best.
Zelda to sell the worst, score second.


For scoring wise, Uncharted + Zelda always get good scores (90+), i thinkits safe to assume both will easily do it. I cant judge Uncharted, but for LoZ its getting praised for being opened world (which literally everybody wanted for over 10 years now). It might, if it still plays as well has a chance imo to be 94-96

Of Course doesn't stop Uncharted 4 as U2 got a 96

Ohh yeah Zelda will probably score high, my reasoning for Uncharted on top, is that it looks like Uncharted 4 will be the last in the series. There will be conclusion, it will be huge, they are going to end it with a bang. Plus Druckmann & Straley duo.

"One last time"

It will be big, it will be GOTY.


No Zelda Will :P

Well tbh, It seems to be 2015 will be the year for the gamers! Too many good games.



cpg716 said:
I am curious on how you think Uncharted 4 will sell 3 million more on the PS4... With an install base of only 15-20 million compared to 80+ million. Uncharted 2 and 3 both sound just barely 6 million copies.. and there was no growth between 2 and 3.. in fact it sold a little less copies..

I agree with your HALO 5 figure.. Halo 3 sold 11+ and Halo 4 sold about 9 mil. While the X1 console base will only be around 15m on release and maybe hit 20 m during Halo 5 lifespan could see a 8m in sales (as it would be a decline from previous outings)...

U2 - 6.38 in 4.5 years

U3 - 6.34 in 2.5 years



thx1139 said:
Seriously?

Halo 4 9+ million
Uncharted 3 6+ million
Zelda TP 6+ million on a console that sold over 100 million

With that in mind
Halo 5 9+ million
Uncharted 4 6+ million
Zelda Wii U 2-3 million


So the new gen means nothing in account to you?
Halo 5 will sell very well in a way lower installed base than the 360. So a little less than other Halos.
Uncharted will be the first AAA exclusive PS4 game, with a growing install base from the PS3, who did managed 6M+ Uncharted 3 even being to almost everyone inferior to Uncharted 2. So it will sell well over other Uncharteds.
Zelda wasn't hyped like this in a loooong time, and Wii U owners just showed with MK8 that they want the games, and now with a almost entirely hardcore Nintendo fanbase on the console, it will sell really high.
That's IMO of course.



cpg716 said:
Raziel123 said:
thx1139 said:
Seriously?

Halo 4 9+ million
Uncharted 3 6+ million
Zelda TP 6+ million on a console that sold over 100 million

With that in mind
Halo 5 9+ million
Uncharted 4 6+ million
Zelda Wii U 2-3 million


You're neglecting to take into account the ~10 million bigger install base on PS4 compared to xb1

He is neglecting to take into an account a number you just made up in your head??

The gap right now is less then 4 million and likely won't be increasing much over the next 6 months..    $399 price cut in June..  September marks the releases of 20 or so more markets..   Novermber is Halo: MCC..   Plus big titles of COD, Battlefield,  Fable and Sunset Overdrive. While the PS4 will maintain a healthy lead.. I dont think it will widen to 10 million within the next year. 


I think it's going to close.  I don't think Halo 5 will sell as well as Halo 4 (which didn't sell as well as Halo 3), so I see another 2 million drop.  Halo 5 is made by 343 games instead of Bungie, and Halo 4 was mildly disappointing.

I think Uncharted 4 can grow another million or 2.  

I don't think install base will have that much of an effect on lifetime sales, and quality of the game will matter most.  If install base was so important, then why didn't Halo 4 outsell Halo 3.  Halo 3 came out VERY early in xbox360 lifespan (less than 20 million xbox sold) and manage to sell 11+ million.  Halo 4 came out very late in xbox360 lifespan (probably had 50 million larger install base) and only sold 9 million.

I previously made a prediction that Uncharted 2 will outsell Halo 3 ODST, and NOBODY agreed with me.  

 

So I predict that Uncharted 4 will sell around 7.7 million lifetime.  Halo 5 will sell 7.2 million lifetime.  I have no idea how Zelda U will do, but I'll guess and say it will sell 6 million lifetime.  




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cpg716 said:
Raziel123 said:
thx1139 said:
Seriously?

Halo 4 9+ million
Uncharted 3 6+ million
Zelda TP 6+ million on a console that sold over 100 million

With that in mind
Halo 5 9+ million
Uncharted 4 6+ million
Zelda Wii U 2-3 million


You're neglecting to take into account the ~10 million bigger install base on PS4 compared to xb1

He is neglecting to take into an account a number you just made up in your head??

The gap right now is less then 4 million and likely won't be increasing much over the next 6 months..    $399 price cut in June..  September marks the releases of 20 or so more markets..   Novermber is Halo: MCC..   Plus big titles of COD, Battlefield,  Fable and Sunset Overdrive. While the PS4 will maintain a healthy lead.. I dont think it will widen to 10 million within the next year. 

Let's talk in November 2015



Title metacritc first week sales litfetime sales
Uncharted 4 96 2. milion 8.8 million
Zelda U 93 1.5 million 7.8 million
Halo 5 95 2.7 million  9.2 million 


Uncharted: 98 metacritic  FW: 2.4m  Lifetime: 8.2m (I know I'm optimistic )

Halo 5: 91 metacritic FW: 2.7m   Lifetime: 7.1m

Zelda: 92 metacritic  FW: 1.1m   Lifetime: 4.2m



I agree.



the-pi-guy said:
cpg716 said:
I am curious on how you think Uncharted 4 will sell 3 million more on the PS4... With an install base of only 15-20 million compared to 80+ million. Uncharted 2 and 3 both sound just barely 6 million copies.. and there was no growth between 2 and 3.. in fact it sold a little less copies..

I agree with your HALO 5 figure.. Halo 3 sold 11+ and Halo 4 sold about 9 mil. While the X1 console base will only be around 15m on release and maybe hit 20 m during Halo 5 lifespan could see a 8m in sales (as it would be a decline from previous outings)...

U2 - 6.38 in 4.5 years

U3 - 6.34 in 2.5 years

Well,

U2 - ~5.6 in 2.5 years.

U3 - 6.3 in 2.5 years

And more popular franchises on large install bases get more frontloaded. UC3 is dropping faster and will sell 6.7 million by the looks of it, UC2 6.5 million. I'm not saying an increase in UC4 isn't impossible but I don't think 9+ is a likely choice. Maybe breaking 7 million if it sells for a long time.