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Forums - Sales Discussion - Generation 8 Prediction Time Worldwide

Since the gen is as good as fully started now, its time to see how good our prediction skills have become over the past few years.

You can just put down your predictions for the LTD of the Xbox One, PS4, and Nintendo's offering, but for those of you who want to do some calculating, I'll offer you this template. Good luck for everyone who gives it a go.

 

Gen Prediction Time
- Xbox One Playstation 4 Nintendo
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
TOTALS 0 0 0


 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

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PDF said:
Interesting you chose to use Nintendo instead of the WiiU. Are you secretly telling us something?

You will see when I present my predictions and enlighten them



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

I'll put them up when I get back in +- 3 hours
i bet some of you have some glorious predictions for this gen



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Noone dared yet?

well here it goes, Kirby007's scenario#1 :  WW LTD 8th generation!

 

 

Gen Prediction Time

 

-

Xbox One

Playstation 4

Nintendo

2012

0

0

2.200.000

2013

2.100.000

3.500.000

3.000.000

2014

7.900.000

13.000.000

6.000.000

2015

14.000.000

13.500.000

5.500.000

2016

13.500.000

13.000.000

5.000.000

2017

12.500.000

13.500.000

14.000.000

2018

11.000.000

12.500.000

18.000.000

2019

11.500.000

12.000.000

19.000.000

2020

9.000.000

10.000.000

19.500.000

TOTALS

81.500.000

91.000.000

92.200.000

 

 

Note one:

I expect that Nintendo will follow up the wii u with a different console end 2016 ( wii 2 a.k.a. nintendo tab )

Note two:

Sony currently looks like to be #1 during the 8th gen

Note three:

Microsoft will once again build a solid userbase, but will lose the "war" with around 9 million unit difference

 

Now, show me your visions!!!



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Wii U 25 Million
PS4 150 Million
Xone 90 Million



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So you're gonna string two Nintendo consoles together in order to achieve a larger userbase? How about we combine 360/One and PS3/PS4, it's more or less the exact same thing.

A new console in 2016 would effectively be a 9th generation console. And if it isn't, then the PS3 and 360 can be included in the 8th gen as well.

Is this what people are willing to resort to in order to make the scenario look better? John Lucas would be proud of you son.



PS4 - 103m
Xbone - 68m
Wii U - 21m



Sales by 2020:

Wii U = 39 Million / NNC = 16 Million
PS4 = 91 Million
Xbox One = 53 Million

PSVita(with VitaTV) = 48 Million
3DS = 141 Million

Note: NNC - New Nintendo Console Launching at the end of 2015, while i personally don't believe it will happen at all (Its existence or not won't change Wii U numbers).



Mummelmann said:
So you're gonna string two Nintendo consoles together in order to achieve a larger userbase? How about we combine 360/One and PS3/PS4, it's more or less the exact same thing.

A new console in 2016 would effectively be a 9th generation console. And if it isn't, then the PS3 and 360 can be included in the 8th gen as well.

Is this what people are willing to resort to in order to make the scenario look better? John Lucas would be proud of you son.

You have a point, but Nintendo starts being out of sync with the generations. You can still take them largely apart, but i found it interesting to add it into this scenario, to have a guess on production numbers. i can take it out or even make another row for Nintendo Tab if you prefer that.



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

updated with request:

 

 

Gen Prediction Time

 

 

 

-

Xbox One

Playstation 4

WII U

NINTENDO TAB

Total NEW hardware sales

2012

0

0

2.200.000

0

2.200.000

2013

2.100.000

3.500.000

3.000.000

0

8.600.000

2014

7.900.000

13.000.000

6.000.000

0

26.900.000

2015

14.000.000

13.500.000

5.500.000

0

33.000.000

2016

13.500.000

13.000.000

5.000.000

0

31.500.000

2017

12.500.000

13.500.000

2.000.000

12.000.000

40.000.000

2018

11.000.000

12.500.000

0

18.000.000

41.500.000

2019

11.500.000

12.000.000

0

19.000.000

42.500.000

2020

9.000.000

10.000.000

0

19.500.000

38.500.000

           

TOTALS

81.500.000

91.000.000

23.700.000

68.500.000

 


 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.