Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii U, PS4, One exclusive sales

It depends on the sales of the consoles.



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Conegamer said:
Seece said:

Conegamer said:

I don't think that's how it works. Especially Smash Bros, it was the highest selling game on the GC and sold more than your Wii U prediction.

But Titanfall is a new franchise. Why should it sell so much, I ask?

What does being new have anything to do with sales? Plenty of new IPs on their first outing do gangbusters.

Mario Galaxy games did around 10m no? I don't see Super Mario World 3D getting near those figures. Gamecubes userbase was very densley Nintendo fans, I don't think the WiiU is going to be similar.

Very true, and I don't anticipate these games to do as much as the Wii counterparts. Indeed, I expect SSB to sell much more than 3D World, hence I never mentioned it in my post.

But a new IP at launch for the Xbox One is unlikely to ever pull mega numbers, above 1.8mil is out of reach IMO. A sequel could do much better, but I don't see it doing particularly well for these reasons. I could be wrong, of course. I hope so, because it looks damn good! But a new IP, for a launch of a new system, outselling Smash Bros.? I don't see it. 

Well, Gears of War reached 6 million and that was a year after launch, there is only a 6 month gap between the two.



 

Wii U

Super Mario 3D World: 3.5m
Donkey Kong Country Tropical Freeze: 0.9m
Sonic Lost World: 0.6m
WindWaker HD: 2.0m
W101: 0.6m
Bayonetta 2: 0.5m
Mario Kart 8: 4.0m
SSB for Wii U: 4.5m
X: 1.1m

For PS4/Xbox One it's too difficult to say atm.




Titanfall: >10 million



Let's make this fun and only count third party exclusives.



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I dont think infamous second son will sell 3+ million . 2-2.5 because its not infamous 3.



areason said:
Conegamer said:
areason said:
Nirvana_Nut85 said:
areason said:
Wii U:

Super Mario 3d Land: 5.5 Milion
DKC Tropical Freeze: 2.5 Million
Mario Kart 8: 6.5 million
Smash Bros U: 5 million
X: 1.2 Million

PS4

Killzone: Shadow Fall: 3..8 Million
Infamous Second Son : 3.2 Million
Drive Club: 1 Million
Knack: 1.3 Million

x1

Forza 5: 4 Million
Dead Rising 3: 3.5 Million
Ryze: No idea
Titan Fall: 5.5 million

Titan Fall outselling Smash Bros and selling the same amount as 3D Mario.......Bahahahahahahah!!!!


I'm not sure how much 3d mario and smash bros did on the wii but i think it was 10 million for each, i just halfed the numbers. 

I don't think that's how it works. Especially Smash Bros, it was the highest selling game on the GC and sold more than your Wii U prediction.

But Titanfall is a new franchise. Why should it sell so much, I ask?

I expect the one to outsell the wi u. Which is why i gave it such numbers, more hardware sales will cause more software sales and the game being an exclusive i gave it a number which is close to gears 1. As for wii u numbers i expect compeition to cut the legs of a couple of games. 

Console sales do not always mean smaller ltd for software. Take Mario Sunshine for example. 6.31 million units sold on a console that only pushed 22 million units. Wii U will surpass GC sales imo (I'm predicting 60-80 mill ltd) and Mario 3D will mostlikely end up with 8-10 mill in sales. Smash Bros U, I'd say between 10-12mill.



" Rebellion Against Tyrants Is Obedience To God"

Wii U
Smash Wii U-12 million
Mario 3D land-5 million
Mario Kart-7 million
DK-1 million

Xbox One
Halo-8 million
Forza-3 million
Ryse-1 million
Dead Rising-.5 million
Kinect Sports-.3 million

PS4
Infamous-6 million
Killzone-4 million
Knack-.8 million
DriveClub-.6 million



My Predictions all have a breathing room of +- 500,000
All depends on reviews too
Wii U:
Smash U- 7 million
3d Land- 4 million
Mario Kart- 12 million
DK- 1.5 million

PS4:
Killzone- 4 million
Infamous 2nd Son- 3 million
Drive Club- 2 million (Euro Power)
Knack- 700k

One:
Forza 5- 3 million
Dead Rising- 1.5 million
Ryse- 700k
Kinect Sport- 500k



Can somebody explain to me why so many people think Donkey Kong will only do 1-1.5 million?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.