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Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii U, PS4, One exclusive sales

DucksUnlimited said:
zorg1000 said:

What will lifetime sales be for the already announced exclusives coming to Wii U, PS4 and One?

Wii U

Super Mario 3D Land-8.5 million(NSMBU and this game will eat into each others sales)

DKC Tropical Freeze-5.5 million

Mario Kart 8-12 million

Smash Bros for U-8.8 million

PS4

Killzone Shadowfall-4.5 million(being launch window game will grow franchise)

Infamous Second Son-3.5 million(same as Killzone)

Drive Club-1.5 million (not including free version for PS+)

Knack-2.5 million

One

Forza 5-3.5 million

Dead Rising-2.3 million

Ryse-2.8 million

Titanfall-5.0 million

These numbers look very much like what I would guess. Although 3D world is a tricky one. It could either have mass casual appeal and sell better than the galaxy games, or piss off core gamers enough to where it only reaches Sunshine numbers.

Agreed and it also depends on if it can share sales with NSMBU or will one be seen as the superior and more liked version. I think they can coexist and sell 8-12 million each.



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wii U
Super Mario 3D Land-6 million
DKC Tropical Freeze-4 million
Mario Kart 8-8 million(Without Bundles)
Smash Bros for U-7.8 million
PS4
Killzone Shadowfall-4 million
Infamous Second Son-3.7 million
Drive Club-2.5 million (not including free version for PS+)
Knack-1.5 million
One
Forza 5-3.5 million
Dead Rising-1.2 million
Ryse-2.5 million
Titanfall-6 million



Wii U:

Super Mario 3d Land: 5.5 Milion
DKC Tropical Freeze: 2.5 Million
Mario Kart 8: 6.5 million
Smash Bros U: 5 million
X: 1.2 Million

PS4

Killzone: Shadow Fall: 3..8 Million
Infamous Second Son : 3.2 Million
Drive Club: 1 Million
Knack: 1.3 Million

x1

Forza 5: 4 Million
Dead Rising 3: 3.5 Million
Ryze: No idea
Titan Fall: 5.5 million



areason said:
Wii U:

Super Mario 3d Land: 5.5 Milion
DKC Tropical Freeze: 2.5 Million
Mario Kart 8: 6.5 million
Smash Bros U: 5 million
X: 1.2 Million

PS4

Killzone: Shadow Fall: 3..8 Million
Infamous Second Son : 3.2 Million
Drive Club: 1 Million
Knack: 1.3 Million

x1

Forza 5: 4 Million
Dead Rising 3: 3.5 Million
Ryze: No idea
Titan Fall: 5.5 million

Titan Fall outselling Smash Bros and selling the same amount as 3D Mario.......Bahahahahahahah!!!!



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Wii U

Super Mario 3d Land: 9 Million
DKC Tropical Freeze: 2.2 Million
Mario Kart 8: 11 million
Smash Bros U: 8 million
X: 900 k

PS4

Killzone: Shadow Fall: 2.2 Million
Infamous Second Son : 2.8 Million
Drive Club: 1.5 Million
Knack: 700 k

XO

Forza 5: 3.5 Million
Dead Rising 3: 2.8 Million
Ryze: 2 million
Titan Fall: 4.1 million 



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Nirvana_Nut85 said:
areason said:
Wii U:

Super Mario 3d Land: 5.5 Milion
DKC Tropical Freeze: 2.5 Million
Mario Kart 8: 6.5 million
Smash Bros U: 5 million
X: 1.2 Million

PS4

Killzone: Shadow Fall: 3..8 Million
Infamous Second Son : 3.2 Million
Drive Club: 1 Million
Knack: 1.3 Million

x1

Forza 5: 4 Million
Dead Rising 3: 3.5 Million
Ryze: No idea
Titan Fall: 5.5 million

Titan Fall outselling Smash Bros and selling the same amount as 3D Mario.......Bahahahahahahah!!!!


I'm not sure how much 3d mario and smash bros did on the wii but i think it was 10 million for each, i just halfed the numbers. 



areason said:
Nirvana_Nut85 said:
areason said:
Wii U:

Super Mario 3d Land: 5.5 Milion
DKC Tropical Freeze: 2.5 Million
Mario Kart 8: 6.5 million
Smash Bros U: 5 million
X: 1.2 Million

PS4

Killzone: Shadow Fall: 3..8 Million
Infamous Second Son : 3.2 Million
Drive Club: 1 Million
Knack: 1.3 Million

x1

Forza 5: 4 Million
Dead Rising 3: 3.5 Million
Ryze: No idea
Titan Fall: 5.5 million

Titan Fall outselling Smash Bros and selling the same amount as 3D Mario.......Bahahahahahahah!!!!


I'm not sure how much 3d mario and smash bros did on the wii but i think it was 10 million for each, i just halfed the numbers. 

I don't think that's how it works. Especially Smash Bros, it was the highest selling game on the GC and sold more than your Wii U prediction.

But Titanfall is a new franchise. Why should it sell so much, I ask?



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Conegamer said:
areason said:
Nirvana_Nut85 said:
areason said:
Wii U:

Super Mario 3d Land: 5.5 Milion
DKC Tropical Freeze: 2.5 Million
Mario Kart 8: 6.5 million
Smash Bros U: 5 million
X: 1.2 Million

PS4

Killzone: Shadow Fall: 3..8 Million
Infamous Second Son : 3.2 Million
Drive Club: 1 Million
Knack: 1.3 Million

x1

Forza 5: 4 Million
Dead Rising 3: 3.5 Million
Ryze: No idea
Titan Fall: 5.5 million

Titan Fall outselling Smash Bros and selling the same amount as 3D Mario.......Bahahahahahahah!!!!


I'm not sure how much 3d mario and smash bros did on the wii but i think it was 10 million for each, i just halfed the numbers. 

I don't think that's how it works. Especially Smash Bros, it was the highest selling game on the GC and sold more than your Wii U prediction.

But Titanfall is a new franchise. Why should it sell so much, I ask?

What does being new have anything to do with sales? Plenty of new IPs on their first outing do gangbusters.

Mario Galaxy games did around 10m no? I don't see Super Mario World 3D getting near those figures. Gamecubes userbase was very densley Nintendo fans, I don't think the WiiU is going to be similar.



 

Conegamer said:
areason said:
Nirvana_Nut85 said:
areason said:
Wii U:

Super Mario 3d Land: 5.5 Milion
DKC Tropical Freeze: 2.5 Million
Mario Kart 8: 6.5 million
Smash Bros U: 5 million
X: 1.2 Million

PS4

Killzone: Shadow Fall: 3..8 Million
Infamous Second Son : 3.2 Million
Drive Club: 1 Million
Knack: 1.3 Million

x1

Forza 5: 4 Million
Dead Rising 3: 3.5 Million
Ryze: No idea
Titan Fall: 5.5 million

Titan Fall outselling Smash Bros and selling the same amount as 3D Mario.......Bahahahahahahah!!!!


I'm not sure how much 3d mario and smash bros did on the wii but i think it was 10 million for each, i just halfed the numbers. 

I don't think that's how it works. Especially Smash Bros, it was the highest selling game on the GC and sold more than your Wii U prediction.

But Titanfall is a new franchise. Why should it sell so much, I ask?

I expect the one to outsell the wi u. Which is why i gave it such numbers, more hardware sales will cause more software sales and the game being an exclusive i gave it a number which is close to gears 1. As for wii u numbers i expect compeition to cut the legs of a couple of games. 



Seece said:

Conegamer said:

I don't think that's how it works. Especially Smash Bros, it was the highest selling game on the GC and sold more than your Wii U prediction.

But Titanfall is a new franchise. Why should it sell so much, I ask?

What does being new have anything to do with sales? Plenty of new IPs on their first outing do gangbusters.

Mario Galaxy games did around 10m no? I don't see Super Mario World 3D getting near those figures. Gamecubes userbase was very densley Nintendo fans, I don't think the WiiU is going to be similar.

Very true, and I don't anticipate these games to do as much as the Wii counterparts. Indeed, I expect SSB to sell much more than 3D World, hence I never mentioned it in my post.

But a new IP at launch for the Xbox One is unlikely to ever pull mega numbers, above 1.8mil is out of reach IMO. A sequel could do much better, but I don't see it doing particularly well for these reasons. I could be wrong, of course. I hope so, because it looks damn good! But a new IP, for a launch of a new system, outselling Smash Bros.? I don't see it. 



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.