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Forums - Sales Discussion - WW UP 12th of November

reviniente said:
Reasonable said:


Yeah, I probably stated that to definatively.  I should say I think 360 will outsell PS3 over holidays although I think EMEAA and Japan will keep PS3 close enough that WW will come close to a tie.  I still favour the PS3 to be ahead WW for 2011 but it's going to be close and I can see 360 reaching a draw.

But... all speculation of course as you note and far from a given.

I do wonder how things would be if PS3 had a MW3 bundle in EMEAA.  I'm presuming MS paid to have exclusive WW bundle so it was probably impossible but on these numbers it's likely PS3 would have remained even closer to 360 with such a bundle in EMEAA.

Curiously, the PS3 will have the FFXIII-2 Lightning Edition Ver. 2 bundle on December 12, but only for Japan. For some reason, SON¥ refuses to release this for the rest of the world. This could do some damage. Whatever it is that MS understands 'bout bundles, SON¥ sees it differently.

 

:sexyconsolepic:


Actually we don't know if the Lightning ed PS3 is releasing in the west yet, although I doubt it will. FFXIII-2 isn't releasing in the west until February.



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Reasonable said:
Slimebeast said:
Happy for Skyrim's sales obviously (my original optimistic prediction was 2 million first week).

X360 surprisingly good sales. I don't understand how it can outsell the PS3.

Fablle 3 selling almost 100K, please tell me that's because of bundles.


The Skyrim sales are great, however I believe they could relatively easily be better.  With a little more marketing effort and sense Bethesda could easily have seen higher PS3 sales than they did IMHO.  Like most developers more associated with 360 they seem to struggle to shake free of the reputation of previous titles.  They should have looked at how Valve handled Portal 2.

Still great sales - and great game - but it just maddens me to see multi-platform titles allowed to slump (relativly speaking) on one platform vs another due to basic marketing errors.

In terms of 360 outselling PS3 it's simply down to having the bigger market for this time of year and the right deals and momentum.  The PS3 outsold the 360 earlier in the year for the same reason really, outside of holidays the general demand outside US is higher, during this period US often has more demand than other territories so the advantage flips from PS3 to 360 for a while.

BTW I bet you're enjoying Skyrim, right?  I bought two copies by mistake but I might swap one for a console version rather than return it just to directly compare console to PC.

The marketing effect (or lack of it) on Skyrim never crossed my mind. What should they have done to increase sales of PS3 version?

About the X360 sales, yes the NA market becomes proportonately bigger at this time of year but just in general, as an Xbox fan myself I have a hard time seeing where gamers see the value in the Xbox 360 compared to PS3, when the PS3 has free online, better games, bigger BRAND (remember that argument? ) and has a very attractive price now.

I'm enjoying Skyrim very much. Kinda suffering from fatigue right now. I want to play constantly but my mind is tired and slow. Weekends are so short and workdays so long. :(

How did you end up buying 2 copies of the same game??



Seece said:
goforgold said:
Seece said:



1. no I'm not, I'm just not congratulating nor am I shocked it did roughly the same as it did last year

2. Jesus Christ man do you know what happens to a console when it's official price drops lower than $199, there's literally a similarity between every console, do you not know what that is....

3. a bundle and or/including a deal in almost EVERY major territory on the biggest game of the year that have only gotten bigger...EVERY YEAR,  during the holiday no less. really? how low did you guys think it was going to do??? 10k... 11k??? honest question

You really don't get it do you. The 360 has been at $199 for many years now, past what is normally a peak for a console (actually way past it) so for it to be almost flat in its 6th year (3rd year at the same price) and to not have the buzz of Kinect launch, yes, that is amazing. I know exactly what happens to a console when it goes $199. Do you know what normally happens to a console 3 years AFTER it's gone $199? obviously not seen as you're not surprised by its sales.

Yes it truly is amazing. And for half of consumers (just guessing) the console is $300, for them a HD-less console is not an option. And these guys know very well that there's not been a drop in years while they've seen the PS3 go from $400 to only $250 in the same time. And yet they choose the X360. I always hated the argument of "look, the 360 is only $200" when most gamers want the version that still costs $300.

Also let's not forget that there's a market demand for $149 consoles too or else the Wii hadn't dropped to that price and all those consoles in the last gen wouldn't have dropped to $149 (or even less).



Outstanding 360 numbers............

And MW3/Skyrim sales on 360 trounced the competition.



postofficebuddy said:
reviniente said:
Reasonable said:


Yeah, I probably stated that to definatively.  I should say I think 360 will outsell PS3 over holidays although I think EMEAA and Japan will keep PS3 close enough that WW will come close to a tie.  I still favour the PS3 to be ahead WW for 2011 but it's going to be close and I can see 360 reaching a draw.

But... all speculation of course as you note and far from a given.

I do wonder how things would be if PS3 had a MW3 bundle in EMEAA.  I'm presuming MS paid to have exclusive WW bundle so it was probably impossible but on these numbers it's likely PS3 would have remained even closer to 360 with such a bundle in EMEAA.

Curiously, the PS3 will have the FFXIII-2 Lightning Edition Ver. 2 bundle on December 12, but only for Japan. For some reason, SON¥ refuses to release this for the rest of the world. This could do some damage. Whatever it is that MS understands 'bout bundles, SON¥ sees it differently.

 

:sexyconsolepic:


Actually we don't know if the Lightning ed PS3 is releasing in the west yet, although I doubt it will. FFXIII-2 isn't releasing in the west until February.

No, I know. The Special Edition version of FFXIII-2 wasn't announced in the US until quite recently, so there might still be an opportunity for SON¥ to rectify. Even if it doesn't count towards this year, that bundle might give the PS3 a nice head start for 2012. Thing is, they didn't even entertain the idea of releasing a custom bundle for any of their exclusives this year, at least in the West. They would just cram a standard black PS3 with the game, inside a pretty box. SON¥ sees little point in making custom consoles for the likes of us.



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skeezer said:
dany612 said:
hahah Super Mario 3D Land had no effect in America or Europe. Surely now the 3DS is doomed. Japan saw a monstrous push but that's not the case now.


Super Mario 3D Land released on 11/13 in NA and 11/18 in EU, these numbers are up to 11/12.


Anticipation raises hardware. There apparently is no enthusiasm for another easy handheld Mario game.



 

        

Awesome numbers 360, still a chance to steal 2011 from sony!



T

dany612 said:
skeezer said:
dany612 said:
hahah Super Mario 3D Land had no effect in America or Europe. Surely now the 3DS is doomed. Japan saw a monstrous push but that's not the case now.


Super Mario 3D Land released on 11/13 in NA and 11/18 in EU, these numbers are up to 11/12.


Anticipation raises hardware. There apparently is no enthusiasm for another easy handheld Mario game.


Japan 3ds sales:

2 weeks before Mario....74,883(+36%)

1 week before Mario.... 66,647(-11%)


The week of Mario....

                                                    



My 3ds friendcode: 5413-0232-9676 (G-cyber)



Slimebeast said:
Reasonable said:
Slimebeast said:
Happy for Skyrim's sales obviously (my original optimistic prediction was 2 million first week).

X360 surprisingly good sales. I don't understand how it can outsell the PS3.

Fablle 3 selling almost 100K, please tell me that's because of bundles.


The Skyrim sales are great, however I believe they could relatively easily be better.  With a little more marketing effort and sense Bethesda could easily have seen higher PS3 sales than they did IMHO.  Like most developers more associated with 360 they seem to struggle to shake free of the reputation of previous titles.  They should have looked at how Valve handled Portal 2.

Still great sales - and great game - but it just maddens me to see multi-platform titles allowed to slump (relativly speaking) on one platform vs another due to basic marketing errors.

In terms of 360 outselling PS3 it's simply down to having the bigger market for this time of year and the right deals and momentum.  The PS3 outsold the 360 earlier in the year for the same reason really, outside of holidays the general demand outside US is higher, during this period US often has more demand than other territories so the advantage flips from PS3 to 360 for a while.

BTW I bet you're enjoying Skyrim, right?  I bought two copies by mistake but I might swap one for a console version rather than return it just to directly compare console to PC.

The marketing effect (or lack of it) on Skyrim never crossed my mind. What should they have done to increase sales of PS3 version?

About the X360 sales, yes the NA market becomes proportonately bigger at this time of year but just in general, as an Xbox fan myself I have a hard time seeing where gamers see the value in the Xbox 360 compared to PS3, when the PS3 has free online, better games, bigger BRAND (remember that argument? ) and has a very attractive price now.

I'm enjoying Skyrim very much. Kinda suffering from fatigue right now. I want to play constantly but my mind is tired and slow. Weekends are so short and workdays so long. :(

How did you end up buying 2 copies of the same game??


I was ordering a few games with 2 copies to give the second as a gift and accidently included Skyrim in the list.  Lucky for Bethesda my kids want it on console rather than PC so I've agreed to swap the second PC disk for console rather than return it.

As for marketing the error I see is that Bethesda made no effort to specifically push the game to PS3.  This I believe is a mistake.  Valve showed you don't lose any 360 sales by making a big push on PS3 with Portal 2, and I really think more developers in Bethesda's position should do this.  It's about making it clear there is no favourite platform and making sure both titles are equal.  Instead Bethesda developed on 360 and ported, left the market with the impression 360 would likely get DLC first and generally didn't do anything to make the title more appealing to PS3 owners.

As a result while the title saw the stellar 360 (and PC from what I can see on Steam) numbers it deserves the PS3 version is below what I believe a better marketing effort would have delivered.  Not that PS3 numbers are bad (just under 1 million after all) but they should have been at least around 300 to 350 K higher IMHO going by install base and more recent ratio splits of similar titles.  Still, great numbers whatever.



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mjk45 said:
Reasonable said:
pezus said:
D-Joe said:
Shinobi-san said:
Now that i checked the region numbers i see 360 had a massive increase in EMEAA, while ps3 had a very minor increase...

well it dropped last week

and 40~50k gap not really close,and should be 100k+ again later

Considering it was 100k last week I think it's pretty close. As far as I know there wasn't a special edition 360 this week in EMEAA, or was there?

There was.  MW3 bundle in all main European countries I believe.  As I noted in a few of the prediction threads while MS is clearly looking to avoid an official RRP price drop they're going to use bundles and deals to effectively aggresively reduce the price to the consumer or appeal to the CoD fanbase to drive their holiday spike.

Not there's anything wrong with that, PS3 will have deals, etc. too - but I always feel MS does a better job of judging which bundles/deals to drive maximum return in the countries 360 is popular in and sees a bigger return.

That said with a SW title over 100K in Japan and huge MW3 numbers for PS3 in EMEAA matching those of 360 I'm a little surprised the PS3 saw no real boost in those territories.  The 360 numbers make sense, and given the lack of MW3 bundles for PS3 I didn't expect it to match 360 boost wise anywhere, but it does seem to have seen particularly weak boosts nonetheless.

Still - I can't complain, things are heading to the virtual (and sure to be entertaining) tie for HW for the year with 360 sure to do more over the holidays.  The forums are going to be interesting place for the next few weeks.

Would I be right in assuming that these MW3 deals cost MS a fair bit of money  and that a higher proportion than usual are sold to people who are already  360 owners ,and Sony spreads theirs out more and  tends to use theirs to promote their exclusives and gets benefit year round where as Ms spends up at the peak buying time to gain ground,  also being the start to the holiday season and MW3 being a blockbuster  is the real impact positive as it is , clouded.

Unless MS are marketing wizards (which they might be) then yes the MW3 deals would have cost them money.  Activision has no need to favour MS and would certainly have made them pay for the advertising favouritism while retailers/Activision would almost certainly have got MS to vendor fund bundles.

I suspect a fair number of the MW3 bundles went to existing 360 owners.  Not all but a decent amount.  This is normal for special editions which target existing fans.  Given Sony do this well in Japan I'm always amazed then seem somewhat flumoxed in West about doing the same thing.  But kudos to MS for good targeting of special edition bundles in West.

I think both spend all year round but I do feel there is a situation where Sony spends a bit more all year round and MS focuses more on certain time periods.  Given MS main install base is countries with big seasonal spikes in demand this makes sense whereas Sony at the moment has a more spread install base for PS3 geographically and tends to lean towards more regular advertising to maintain brand visibility.

Overall I think MS advertises better than Sony in the West,particularly in the US, although both do a good job overall I guess.



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