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Forums - Sales Discussion - Gran Turismo 5 will fail to sell...

 

Gran Turismo 5 will fail to sell...

Best Selling Gran Turismo 939 37.95%
 
2nd Best Selling Gran Turismo 494 19.97%
 
3rd Best Selling Gran Turismo 389 15.72%
 
4th Best Selling Gran Turismo 116 4.69%
 
The Worst Selling Gran Turismo 536 21.67%
 
Total:2,474

http://www.computerandvideogames.com/article.php?id=275822



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Notorius.A.i.G said:
Frieza said:
pizzahut451 said:
Frieza said:
pizzahut451 said:
Frieza said:

The odds of it doing under 7 million are 10x greater than it doing over 15 million.


The odds of doing over 7 million are 1000000x times greater than doing under 7 million

Yeah because so many games passed 7 million on PS3, oh wait theres just the measly one. The most anticipated game of all time GTA4 after 2 and a half years hasnt done it aswell as the other thousands, even on Xbox only 4 games have sold over that a GTA, a Halo and a COD game all more popular than a GT game.

But thats not what i said anyway because there is a chance it can sell under 7 million copies, the game may not be recieved all that well like GT PSP which everyone thought would do well. However it is impossible for it to pass 15 million.


Yeah, because every game on PS3 is big like Gran Turismo franchise. And you really must be living in clouds when you think that Halo is more popular than Gran Turismo

Halo 3 has sold 11.2 million copies more than 3 of the 4 Gran Turismo games and GT3 only sold 14 million because it was heavily bundled in US (though Halo 3's US sales still beat it) if it wasnt Halo 3 would have surpassed that in sales aswell easily.

Halo Reach just sold 4 million week 1, theres no way Gran Turismo 5 is doing that. Halo Reach will outsell GT5.

Halo 2 sold 8.4 million copies excluding PC on Xbox, GT4 sold 10.6 million copies on PS2 which had 3x the userbase, if Halo 2 was available to as many people as GT4 was its have easily have outsold it.

People brag about GT Prologue selling 4 million copies the crappy Halo ODST "expansion pack" has nearly sold 6 million copies. If Halo was as popular in Europe as US its be doubling GTs sales.




What about people doubting Uncharted 2, Heavy Rain, or God of War 3 ? Both God of War 3 and Metal Gear Solid 4 are outselling their previous iterations while on a smaller userbase. I agree that GT5 selling 15 Million is unlikely but it's not impossible. As for the bolded, it could be an advantage for GT aswell.

MGS4 isn't outselling MGS2, and it never will.  MGS3 was the 2nd MGS on PS2 (and it also likely had some simmering resentment over MGS2 controversial decisions), it's really not the one you should be comparing to.

People do the same thing with FFXII and FFXIII (when FFX should be the point for comparison).  They did it last gen too, comparing FFX to FFIX rather than FFVII, despite the fact that Square expected FFX to match FFVII sales (10m).



pezus said:
Frieza said:

GT3 was B.U.N.D.L.E.D thats why it sold like it did if it hadnt it probably would have sold the same as GT4, things like Motorstorm and Resistance are gonna sell much better than their sequels, they were launch titles and there was hardly anything out worth getting for the PS3 for months thats why they sold well. Same goes for Halo 1 however sales increased for its sequel unlike Resistance 2.

MGS4 was also bundled, its sold 5 million, MGS3 sold 4 million it also has subsistence which sold 0.5 million so its not miles behind. And MGS3 came out the same time as GTA San Andreas and Halo 2 which is why it didnt sell as well as MGS2.

It doesnt always matter but theyve sold like 4x as many PS2s as Xbox.

So many excuses that don't make sense. Most big games are bundled to some degree, Halo 3 was bundled too you know.

 

Why would Halo 2 have any effect on MGS3 sales? And MGS4 came out around the same time GTAIV launched...The fact that MGS3 is even "not miles behind" says alot!

 

Anyway, enough of this for today. See you in a few years when GT5 has topped your prediction :P

I remember MGS3 came out and i went to get it on a friday, the store i got it from in is probabily the second biggest games retailer chain in the UK.... i was the only person who bought MGS3 that day (in that store), guess what everyone else bought instead.....GT4.



Frieza said:

Halo 3 was barely bundled at all unlike GT3.

Halo 2 coming out took away attention from MGS3, all you heard about that month was Halo 2, MGS3 was just in the shadows, it didnt have the attention of the previous games.

Again MGS4 had the bundle thats why it did better than normal, it was also the first big name PS3 exclusive to come out and only the second big name game to come out thats why it sold so well, due to lack of competition from the PS3 libary.

Its not that MGS4s sales were surprisingly good its just that MGS3's were a disappointment.

Wrong.



jarrod said:
Notorius.A.i.G said:
Frieza said:
pizzahut451 said:
Frieza said:
pizzahut451 said:
Frieza said:

The odds of it doing under 7 million are 10x greater than it doing over 15 million.


The odds of doing over 7 million are 1000000x times greater than doing under 7 million

Yeah because so many games passed 7 million on PS3, oh wait theres just the measly one. The most anticipated game of all time GTA4 after 2 and a half years hasnt done it aswell as the other thousands, even on Xbox only 4 games have sold over that a GTA, a Halo and a COD game all more popular than a GT game.

But thats not what i said anyway because there is a chance it can sell under 7 million copies, the game may not be recieved all that well like GT PSP which everyone thought would do well. However it is impossible for it to pass 15 million.


Yeah, because every game on PS3 is big like Gran Turismo franchise. And you really must be living in clouds when you think that Halo is more popular than Gran Turismo

Halo 3 has sold 11.2 million copies more than 3 of the 4 Gran Turismo games and GT3 only sold 14 million because it was heavily bundled in US (though Halo 3's US sales still beat it) if it wasnt Halo 3 would have surpassed that in sales aswell easily.

Halo Reach just sold 4 million week 1, theres no way Gran Turismo 5 is doing that. Halo Reach will outsell GT5.

Halo 2 sold 8.4 million copies excluding PC on Xbox, GT4 sold 10.6 million copies on PS2 which had 3x the userbase, if Halo 2 was available to as many people as GT4 was its have easily have outsold it.

People brag about GT Prologue selling 4 million copies the crappy Halo ODST "expansion pack" has nearly sold 6 million copies. If Halo was as popular in Europe as US its be doubling GTs sales.




What about people doubting Uncharted 2, Heavy Rain, or God of War 3 ? Both God of War 3 and Metal Gear Solid 4 are outselling their previous iterations while on a smaller userbase. I agree that GT5 selling 15 Million is unlikely but it's not impossible. As for the bolded, it could be an advantage for GT aswell.

MGS4 isn't outselling MGS2, and it never will.  MGS3 was the 2nd MGS on PS2 (and it also likely had some simmering resentment over MGS2 controversial decisions), it's really not the one you should be comparing to.

People do the same thing with FFXII and FFXIII (when FFX should be the point for comparison).  They did it last gen too, comparing FFX to FFIX rather than FFVII, despite the fact that Square expected FFX to match FFVII sales (10m).

It would if it got a Substance version like MGS2.



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41 % of people voted it will be the best sellin gran turismo?



Frieza said:
pizzahut451 said:
Frieza said:
pizzahut451 said:
Frieza said:

The odds of it doing under 7 million are 10x greater than it doing over 15 million.


The odds of doing over 7 million are 1000000x times greater than doing under 7 million

Yeah because so many games passed 7 million on PS3, oh wait theres just the measly one. The most anticipated game of all time GTA4 after 2 and a half years hasnt done it aswell as the other thousands, even on Xbox only 4 games have sold over that a GTA, a Halo and a COD game all more popular than a GT game.

But thats not what i said anyway because there is a chance it can sell under 7 million copies, the game may not be recieved all that well like GT PSP which everyone thought would do well. However it is impossible for it to pass 15 million.


Yeah, because every game on PS3 is big like Gran Turismo franchise. And you really must be living in clouds when you think that Halo is more popular than Gran Turismo

Halo 3 has sold 11.2 million copies more than 3 of the 4 Gran Turismo games and GT3 only sold 14 million because it was heavily bundled in US (though Halo 3's US sales still beat it) if it wasnt Halo 3 would have surpassed that in sales aswell easily.

Halo Reach just sold 4 million week 1, theres no way Gran Turismo 5 is doing that. Halo Reach will outsell GT5.

Halo 2 sold 8.4 million copies excluding PC on Xbox, GT4 sold 10.6 million copies on PS2 which had 3x the userbase, if Halo 2 was available to as many people as GT4 was its have easily have outsold it.

People brag about GT Prologue selling 4 million copies the crappy Halo ODST "expansion pack" has nearly sold 6 million copies. If Halo was as popular in Europe as US its be doubling GTs sales.




Gran Turismo is know for its long and strong legs (wheels in this case) and Halo is know big openning weeks. And Gran Turismo attracts more casual gaming audience, while Halo  is a strict core franchise, so the userbase argument fails. And how many other worth-playing games did original Xbox have besides Halo? Halo had no competition on original Xbox, mostly because of weak 3rd party support. PS2 on the other hand had tons of good quality games so Gran Turismo had much bigger competition.  As for the rest of your argument:

5 Gran Turismo games- 55 million copies sold      http://www.polyphony.co.jp/english/list.html (not counting PSP version, Concept series and GT4P)  

5 Halo games- Little over 30 million copies sold      http://www.computerandvideogames.com/article.php?id=231667  



Freiza is right about 1 thing. GT5 is being released the week of Black Friday, typically a week where all games get a fairly large sales boost. So we know week 1 it will sell above 1.5 million units.

However this means nothing, you can't exactly compare GT5 week 1, or even month 1 sales to GT4 because it's being released right during the peak holiday window. It's like comparing Halo 2 to Halo 3, In the first 10 weeks Halo 2 outsold Halo 3 because of the November release date (vs september for Halo 3), however Halo 3 ended up selling 3 million more copies.

Also the ODST vs. GT5P comment was a pretty good one, except the numbers were off. (6 million vs 5, not 4).

He makes a good arguement for why GT5 will not sell 10 million units, I mean no PS3 games (nvm exclusive) has sold that well. People may say Uncharted, and God of War broke those sale ideologies (MGS4 was heavily bundled with the last backward compatible PS3), but those games are still only looking at roughly 4 million LTD sales. GT5 is of another league, it may not be as successful as prior installments, lets not forget GT for PSP.

I think both Freiza and the people who are debating with him should all calm down. Your entitled to your own opinion, lets not attack each other over it. 6-8 million is not entirely unrealistic (I'm predicting 9.3 btw).

I think all Freiza intended to do was attack the 40% of voters who beleive GT5 will outsell GT3, because....well it is a little over eggagerated. He was a bit rude, but being rude in return doesn't solve anything. I mean I see these same people attack others who predict sub-6 million, so how are you guys any different from Freiza?

Lets stop the bickering and all join in for a big hug <---I'm joking, don't touch me!!! AHHH!!!!! WHAT ARE YOU DOING IN MY HOUSE!!!!!!!!!!!!



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Michael-5 said:

Freiza is right about 1 thing. GT5 is being released the week of Black Friday, typically a week where all games get a fairly large sales boost. So we know week 1 it will sell above 1.5 million units.

However this means nothing, you can't exactly compare GT5 week 1, or even month 1 sales to GT4 because it's being released right during the peak holiday window. It's like comparing Halo 2 to Halo 3, In the first 10 weeks Halo 2 outsold Halo 3 because of the November release date (vs september for Halo 3), however Halo 3 ended up selling 3 million more copies.

Also the ODST vs. GT5P comment was a pretty good one, except the numbers were off. (6 million vs 5, not 4).

He makes a good arguement for why GT5 will not sell 10 million units, I mean no PS3 games (nvm exclusive) has sold that well. People may say Uncharted, and God of War broke those sale ideologies (MGS4 was heavily bundled with the last backward compatible PS3), but those games are still only looking at roughly 4 million LTD sales. GT5 is of another league, it may not be as successful as prior installments, lets not forget GT for PSP.

I think both Freiza and the people who are debating with him should all calm down. Your entitled to your own opinion, lets not attack each other over it. 6-8 million is not entirely unrealistic (I'm predicting 9.3 btw).

I think all Freiza intended to do was attack the 40% of voters who beleive GT5 will outsell GT3, because....well it is a little over eggagerated. He was a bit rude, but being rude in return doesn't solve anything. I mean I see these same people attack others who predict sub-6 million, so how are you guys any different from Freiza?

Lets stop the bickering and all join in for a big hug <---I'm joking, don't touch me!!! AHHH!!!!! WHAT ARE YOU DOING IN MY HOUSE!!!!!!!!!!!!

He makes no good arguments, you only say he does casue you agree atleast partly with him.  

These guys are diffderant cause they get their point across in a more respectfull manner liek adults, not tamper throwing children.  They make intelligent points that make sense, not just opnion as fact like him.  

Sub 6 million aren't predictions they are troll jobs, 6-8 million is totally unealistic to anyone with a shread of smarts.



Outselling GT3 is very unlikely. But 4th place is at GT5 reach, with a good launch and intense bundling. Once achieved that, Sony should be able to see whether 3rd place is achievable too, and support sales to get it, but as current 2nd and 3rd place are very close to each other (less than 300k separe them), once decided to make the effort to get 3rd place, it would be natural to make it strong enough to get 2nd place too, for prestige reasons. Beyond that, no, 1st place is too far, so it couldn't be achieved just intensifying late life offers, whether it will be achievable or not will be most likely evident quite soon in GT5 life, as it will require every single phase of GT5 life to go very well, from launch, to Xmas, to bundling, to short and mid term legs, to late life offers, budget editions and bundles to extend its life as long as possible.



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