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I think it will trend slightly below or equal to Halo 2. Never before has a franchise in its 6 iteration, regardless of "spin offs" been able to generate best of series sales. You could point ot call of duty, but my argument would be MW was really the first big titles and MW2 is the first actual sequal so theres room for debate there.
Im thinking slightly more than 2.5 million first week with 8 millionish lifetime.
Obvious things can effect it like natal tie in if its part of the "super secret mode" and its bundles.
steverhcp02 hasn't added any games yet!