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151 million or so. Switch would need the perfect storm to outsell PS2.
-Switch 2 not launching until at least March 2025 (Q3/Q4 2024 is looking very likely after recent dev kit rumors).
-Price cuts at a strategic time and significant enough price cuts.
-Slower rate of adoption for Switch 2 because of mistakes made by Nintendo (gimmicks, lack of titles people want, etc.)

Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima