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Shatts said:

I have to be honest, I can guarantee u Steam Deck (at least this version) won't do well in Japan. Too big, too expensive. The main reason why handhelds especially Nintendo do so well in Japan is bcuz most gamers are kids, cheap, small. Even the Switch is considered big in handheld mode, parents aren't buying something double the price of the Switch and from a brand that isn't widely known in Japan. Mobile prevails the casual market, Nintendo dominates the middle. So is the hardcore gamer or adults buying it? No cuz they got PC or PS. The reason for rise in PC gamers in the first place is bcuz of FPS games and streamers playing them. The thing is, PC players hate pad players, Steam Deck is a controller. This means the market for the Deck is extremely niche in Japan, even more than the West. I don't even know if Steam Deck is compatible with FPS games, it doesn't even have Valorant one of the bigger titles there. People don't understand this and thinks Steam Deck is a huge opportunity in Japan just bcuz it's a handheld. They forgot what Bill Gates said with the OG Xbox and its big controller. 

Maybe it would do Xbox level being extremely optimistic, and it it does, that should be considered a humongous success. But realistically, it would do less than 100k.

"The main reason why handhelds especially Nintendo do so well in Japan is bcuz most gamers are kids, cheap, small."

Most gamers in Japan are kids? It has 75 million gamers, more than half the population play video games:
https://newzoo.com/insights/articles/the-gamers-powering-japans-22-1-billion-games-market-consumer-motivations-behavior-data

Less than 12% of the population are younger than 15 years. So no, the majority of gamers aren't kids in Japan.

Also the bigger Switch models are much more popular than the smaller Switch Lite in Japan, less than a fifth of the sold models are Switch Lites:

"parents aren't buying something double the price of the Switch..."

The Steam Deck ain't double the price of a Switch or a Switch OLED.

"The thing is, PC players hate pad players"

I call bullsh*t on that stereotype.

"I don't even know if Steam Deck is compatible with FPS games"

It gets better and better... such ignorance!