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Saw it as unlikely before but Animal Crossing reinforced by the lockdown changed the trajectory for the system imo.

Also it seems sony are not intending to continue pushing the PS4 but I'm not sure if that story is over yet. PS5 is too expensive and there are way too many games coming to PS4 in the next 2 years for Sony to not use it an entry point to the playstation echo system. I think we will still see a PS4 price cut and probably a new model to go along with it. from sonys perspective there is really no hurry and the focus during the PS5's launch year should rightly be the PS5.

Its clear Switch will reach 100m in the next 12months, so it will probably pass Playstation 4 early 2023 at this rate. A year or so later if sony care to give PS4 am aggressive push