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IcaroRibeiro said:

Well, I'm forecasting PS5 to flop in Japan as selling as much as Vita. Looking at the dreadful software sales there is no demand for PS5 games and JP developers are likely going release their next exclusives on Switch

Plus I was keeping the 14 million numbers in mind that I've take from you OP, wasn't aware the right number was 17 MI

Either way, anything around 25% is already a sharp decline from the 8th generation, the fact Switch games are more expensive helps to mitigate the decrease in sales, just not sure if it's enough to cover it

My projection of 37m has Switch at 30m and the PS5 at 7m, so my PS5 number isn't much more optimistic than yours. Down 6m from 43m to 37m is a decline of about 15%, but 37m is a conservative projection.

What makes software more difficult to compare over time is the increasing share of digital sales, so I seriously wonder if we'll ever get numbers with high accuracy. Famitsu's estimates for digital sales don't have a good reputation so far.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments