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haxxiy said:
JWeinCom said:

Yeah, it's worth noting, but being a Republican outlet doesn't mean they're necessarily wrong. Good to be skeptical, but without knowing their polling method, can't really say that they're doing anything that would skew the results.

And yet that's what happens most of the time, so yeah. Maybe it's not the fault of the pollsters themselves but of the cherrypicked results their hirers decide to make public.

Of course, Rasmussen manages to be an exception even then. Their results have always been infamous, though they do present a herding effect from time to time not to be 100% laughed off the scene. They predicted Republicans +1 in 2018 but Democrats won the House by almost 9 points. And yet they defended their results and said they wouldn't change their methodology.

Edit - all that I said, of course, can also be applied to Dem pollsters like Data for Progress & others. You get far less dithering in polls that way.

Honestly don't know a ton about the situation, as I really only followed the polls closely for this election. I know their results are consistently leaning towards Trump. I also know that a lot of them are funded by "center for American Greatness" which obviously makes me suspect.

I think it's worth looking at their results, but to look more closely at the averages, which tend to be more reliable than any individual polls.

Speaking of Rasmussen though, here's a video on what would happen if their polls are accurate.

Mnementh said:
Nice info-nugget partially related to the election: Trump paid more taxes in China than in the US: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/21/donald-trump-china-bank-account-nearly-200000-taxes-report

A little bit misleading in the wording. He (through his company) paid more in taxes in China than on income tax in the US. But, unless his accountants are really amazing or he's going to go to jail for a really long time, he likely paid more overall taxes in the US through his companies.

Last edited by JWeinCom - on 21 October 2020